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Mets vs. Phillies,
8-10-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 New York
Mets
#906 Philadelphia
Phillies

Thursday, August 10, 2017 at 5:53pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Philadelphia Phillies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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New York Mets (50-61 SU, 46-65 RL, 63-37-11 O/U) vs Philadelphia Phillies (41-69 SU, 58-52 RL, 48-53-9 O/U)

When: 7:05 PM EDT, Thursday, August 10, 2017

Where: Citizens Bank Park In Philadelphia, PA

Lines: New York -151/ Philadelphia +141

Total: 8

Tonight on the MLB diamond, a pair of National League East foes will square off as the New York Mets tangle with the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Stadium in game one of their four-game series. The Mets have won deGrom’s last night starts against the Phillies. Pitching Probables: Toeing the rubber for the Mets in this one will be Jacob deGrom (12-5, 3.36 ERA) and the Phillies will counter with Vince Velasquez (2-6, 4.82 ERA).

No Offense In Loss To The Rangers

The New York Mets continue to have a miserable year as they have now lost eight of their last 10 games after falling 5-1 to the Rangers at home on Wednesday afternoon. For most of the year it has been their pitching that has let them down and that pitching still has been an issue, but now their offense is starting to struggle and that will really make for a long rest of the year for the Mets. The Mets come into this game having scored just 14 total runs in their last six games and they have averaged just 3.1 rpg in their last 10 games. This is a team that has not had those offensive issues for much of the year, but they have averaged a solid 5.21 rpg on the road, so they are hoping their offense returns in this series, but it will not be easy as the Phillies have pitched well at home of late. On the mound, they have allowed 5.71 rpg over their last 14 games, so the pitching, continues to be a problem for them. Still, the one pitcher that has not had many issues this year has been Jacob deGrom, who will get the start in this game. He has gone 12-5 with a 3.36 ERA in 22 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA in his last three starts and 6-2 with a 4.23 ERA in 11 starts out on the road. deGrom has gone 5-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 starts during the month of August and he is 5-0 with a 2.34 ERA in nine starts against the Phillies, including 1-0 with a 4.13 ERA in four starts here at Citizens Bank Park.

The Mets have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.67 rpg, while also ranking 22nd in hitting at .248 and 5th in homers with 164. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 29th in the league in ERA at 4.95 while also ranking 30th in WHIP at 1.48.

Phillies Get Strong Outing From Eflin

The Phillies come off an eight game road trip and they lost the first five games of that trip, but then bounced back to take the next two. Struggling on the road is nothing new for them this year as they have gone just 18-41 away from home, while here at home they have won seven of their last 10 and have gone 23-28 for the year. Not great, but far better than their road record. Their pitching had really struggled in their first five games of the trip, but Aaron Nola had a solid outing a 3-2 win at Colorado and then Zach Eflin followed that up with an impressive outing in the Phillies 5-2 win at Atlanta. He allowed just two ERs on seven hits in 7.0 innings of work. He is still just 1-3 with a 5.67 ERA on the year, but it was an encouraging outing for him. The Phillies will trot out Vince Velasquez in this one and he has gone 2-6 with a 4.82 ERA in 14 starts on the year, including 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts and 1-4 with a 5.54 ERA in seven starts here at home. Velasquez has gone 0-3 with a 5.97 ERA in 10 games (six starts) during August in his career and he is 5-7 with a 3.84 ERA in 19 career starts here at the Bank, while against the Mets overall he has gone 1-2 with a 3.76 ERA in five starts.

The Phillies have been a bad offensive team so far as they come in ranked 28th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.02 rpg, while also ranking 21st in hitting at .249 and 28th in homers with 113. On the mound, they have been a bit below average as they come in ranked 16th in the league in ERA at 4.52, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.39.

Trends

New York is:

  • The Under is 5-1 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter
  • The Under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings here in Philadelphia

Philadelphia is:

  • The Under is 18-7-4 in their last 29 vs. a team with a losing record
  • The Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record

The Phillies have played much better at home, especially of late, while the Mets have gone just 24-29 on the road. T he Problem for the Phils in this game is that they are facing Jacob deGrom, who is one of the best in the league right. deGrom has a 1.98 ERA in his last 10 starts and has allowed two ERs or less in seven of his last eight starts against the Phillies. He will be facing a weak Philadelphia offense that has averaged just 3.40 rpg in their last 10 games and just 4.27 rpg at home. The Phillies will be sending out Vince Velasquez and he has a 3.07 ERA in his last six starts. He has struggled at home with a 5.54 ERA, but the Mets have struggled on offense as they have averaged just 3.70 rpg in their last 10 games. Net road games have been high-scoring and Citizens Bank Park is a hitter’s park, but still I look for this one to go low as the pitching matchup, and the struggling offense would dictate so.

Pick: Under 8

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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