Minnesota Twins (55-56; 48-54-9 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (59-56; 53-56-6 O/U)
MLB: Thursday, August 10, 2017 at 8:10pm EST
Line: Milwaukee -149/Minnesota +139
The Milwaukee Brewers will square off with the Minnesota Twins in the final game of a four game home-and-home series Thursday evening from Miller Park. The Twins will give the start to 29-year old right-hander Kyle Gibson, and the Brewers will hand the ball to 24-year old right-hander Zach Davies. The Twins have won the first two games of this series.
Gibson Looks to Avoid Fourth Loss in Last Five Starts
Kyle Gibson will take the mound for the 20th time of the year, looking to get back in the win column. Gibson allowed three runs in 5.1 innings to the Rangers in his previous outing, and took the loss. The veteran right-hander is having another shaky season, posting a 6.03 ERA and an ugly 1.71 WHIP accompanied with a 6-9 record in 100 innings logged. He has allowed 11 runs in his 19.2 career innings pitched against the Brewers and last faced them in the 2015 season. Ryan Braun is 1 for 4 against Gibson, while Travis Shaw is 0 for 5, and Hernan Perez is 0 for 3. Brian Dozier is on a power surge at the plate, smashing four home runs along with nine RBI’s over his last five games. The 30-year old second baseman is having another solid season, currently hitting .249 with 21 home runs and 61 RBI’s. Dozier has driven in five runs through the first two games of this series.
The Twins are scoring an average of 4.56 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the Majors, and feature a .250 team batting average. The Minnesota pitching is struggling, posting a 4.77 team ERA, positioning them down at 26th in the Majors.
Davies Dazzles Again in Win Over Rays
Zach Davies will get the nod for the 24th time of the season, looking to pick up where he left off in his previous start. Davies tossed seven scoreless innings against the Rays in his previous performance, and notched the win to improve his record to 13-5. The young right-hander has really stepped up over his last four starts, and currently possesses a 4.18 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP in 131.1 innings logged on the year. Davies, who will be facing the Twins for the first time of his young career, has pitched at least seven innings in four consecutive starts. Travis Shaw is stuck in a bit of a slump as he has not collected an RBI since July 27th, and is 6 for 26 at the plate this month. Overall, the 27-year old third baseman is having a solid season, hitting .290 with 24 home runs and 75 RBI’s. Shaw has belted one home along with four RBI’s in eight career games against the Twins.
The Brewers are averaging 4.61 runs per game, ranking them 16th in the Majors, and are hitting .250 as a team. The Milwaukee pitching has been terrific, sporting a 4.13 team ERA, good for ninth in the Majors.
The Minnesota Twins are:
- under is 4-0 in Gibson’s last 4 road starts.
- under is 4-0 in Gibson’s last 4 starts against a team with a winning record.
- under is 8-1 in their last 9 Thursday games.
The Milwaukee Brewers are:
- under is 4-0 in Davies’ last 4 starts overall.
- under is 5-1 in their last 6 interleague home games.
- under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 home games against a right-handed starter.
I am taking the under in this contest. Davies is pitching some of his best baseball of the season right now, allowing a total of only three earned runs over his last four starts (28.2 innings), and he has been pitching deep into the game. In addition, Gibson has pitched well in his last two starts, and Milwaukee is having big trouble scoring runs right now, averaging only 2.6 runs over their last ten games, making the under a strong play.