Cleveland Indians (64-50 SU, 54-60 ATS, 58-52-4 O/U) at Chicago White Sox (41-73 SU, 59-55 ATS, 54-55-5 O/U)
When and Where: Friday, Aug. 10, Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Ill., 8:10 p.m. EDT.
The surging Cleveland Indians look to continue their winning ways as they open a six-game road swing with the first of three versus the Chicago White Sox on Friday night.
Bieber looks to stay unbeaten on road for Indians
Rookie Shane Bieber (6-2, 4.58 ERA) has been effective enough to get the job done for the Indians since being being recalled in mid-June and looks to win back-to-back starts.
The right-hander was efficient against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday, yielding two runs and seven hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 4-3 victory. It marked the first time Bieber won a start with fewer than four runs of support as Cleveland has backed the rookie with an average of 7.26 runs in his 10 starts.
That number climbs to 8.63 runs for his four starts outside Progressive Field, where Bieber is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA. He has given up 13 runs and 29 hits in 24 innings in those starts, yielding four runs in all but one of them.
This will be the 23-year-old’s first career appearance versus the White Sox.
Rodon effective of late for White Sox
Carlos Rodon (3-3, 2.94 ERA) tries again to extend his personal winning streak to three games as he gets the ball in this series opener for the White Sox.
The left-hander turned in an effective performance versus Tampa Bay on Saturday, conceding an unearned run and three hits while walking five in six innings. Rodon did not get a decision, though, as Chicago eventually recorded a 2-1 victory.
He is 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA over his last five starts, not allowing more than two runs in any of them. Rodon has limited opposing hitters to a .155 batting average in that stretch while striking out 31 in 34 2-3 innings, and only six of the 18 hits he has allowed have gone for extra bases.
Rodon faced the Indians twice in a five-day span in June, getting a no-decision in the first start and a loss in the second. He had one bad inning in Cleveland on June 19, allowing all four of his runs in the second inning of his 6 1-3 innings of work in a 6-3 setback.
The lefty is 4-2 with a 2.55 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Indians, including a 1-1 mark with a 3.34 ERA in five at home.
The White Sox are:
- 10-22 in their last 32 games vs. AL Central opponents.
- 8-20 in their last 28 vs. above-.500 teams.
- 1-6 in their last seven home games.
- The over is 7-1 in their last eight home games vs. right-handed starters.
- The over is 5-1 in Rodon’s last six starts during game 1 of a series.
- The over is 7-3 in their last 10 home games.
The Indians are:
- 7-1 in their last eight road games vs. left-handed starters.
- 10-3 in their last 13 road games.
- 55-19 in their last 74 games vs. AL Central opponents.
- The over is 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
- The over is 4-1 in their last five games vs. sub-.400 opponents.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Cleveland has won the last four games between the teams and eight of 10 overall on the season. The Indians split a four-game set in Chicago in June and have won all eight games they have scored at least four runs.
Lindor has recorded five consecutive multi-hit games after going 2 for 5 with three RBIs on Thursday and is 12 for 30 with two homers and four doubles during a seven-game hitting streak.
The White Sox are coming off a three-game sweep at the hands of the New York Yankees and have lost seven of their last nine at home.
Prediction: Pick: Indians -140
Full-Game Total Pick
Even with Rodon’s recent strong performances and solid career track record versus the Indians, the AL Central leaders appear to be rolling right now and they also have shown the tendency to give Bieber more than enough run support to let him work through his errors on the road.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 9 runs
Full-Game Prop Bet
Bieber’s WHIP of near 1.40 means the White Sox are going to at least scratch out hits versus the rookie right-hander. Though Rodon’s WHIP is a solid 1.09, the Indians are hitting .298 versus White Sox pitching this year and totaled 22 runs in their four-game set against Minnesota.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 27.5 runs+hits+errors
First Five Innings Side Pick
The Indians have scored first in seven of Bieber’s 10 starts, so he usually gets a chance to pitch with the lead. That is important for any rookie, especially Bieber since he has really had only one outstanding start in the bunch. If Cleveland gets to Rodon early, it could be enough for Bieber to be in a winning position after five innings.
Prediction: Pick: Indians -0.5 runs (-105)
First Five Innings Total Bet
Bieber has yet to be dominant in any road outing this year, and coupled with Cleveland’s track record of backing the rookie with plenty of support when he does pitch on the road, the over feels like a solid play.
Prediction: Pick: OVER 4.5 runs (-115)
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Bieber has allowed first-inning runs in just one of his four road starts, while Rodon has a 0.90 ERA in the opening frame by being reached for a run just once in his 10 overall starts. Despite a 5.40 ERA in the first inning, Bieber still has kept hitters off-balance to a degree with 14 strikeouts in those 10 starts. Rodon has simply been masterful, holding opposing hitters to a .167 average.
Prediction: Pick: NO for a first-inning run (-120)