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Padres vs. Dodgers,
8-11-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#963 San Diego
Padres
#964 Los Angeles
Dodgers

Friday, August 11, 2017 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Los Angeles Dodgers

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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San Diego Padres (50-64 SU, 61-53 RL, 60-48-6 O/U) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (80-33 SU, 63-50 RL, 52-57-4 O/U)

When: 10:10 PM EDT, Friday, August 11, 2017

Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California

Lines: Los Angeles -340/ San Diego +300

Total: 8.5

Major League Baseball action this evening and the San Diego Padres will duke it out with the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California in game one of their three-game series. The Padres are just 23-51 the last 74 games in this series. Pitching Probables: The Padres will trot out Clayton Richard (5-12, 5.17 ERA) and he will be opposed by Rich Hill (8-4, 3.47 ERA).

Road Woes Continue For The Padres

The San Diego Padres have really struggled on the road this year and are currently in the midst of a 10 game road trip. On Thursday, they faced the Reds and fell in that game 10-3 to go to just 2-5 on the current trip and just 21-37 on the road for the year, which is one of the worst marks in the league. The Padres have been a bad offensive team this year overall, but it really has been their pitching that has let them down on the road as they have a 5.37 ERA away from home and they have now allowed 7.00 rpg on this road trip so far. That does not bode well as they are about to face one of the best offenses in the league. This could be a long series and the Padres’ only hope for success in this series may be the fact that the Dodgers could be disinterested in playing them, especially coming off a tough series against Arizona. Taking the hill for the Padres in this one will be Clayton Richard and he has gone 5-12 with a 5.17 ERA in 23 starts on the year, including 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in his last three starts and 1-5 with a 4.71 ERA in 11 starts on the road. Richard has gone 17-6 with a 3.20 ERA in 38 games (26 starts) during the month of August and he has gone 7-6 with a 4.13 ERA in 22 games (20 starts) against the Dodgers, including 3-2 with a 3.51 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) here at Dodger Stadium.

The Padres have not been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.82 rpg, while also ranking 30th in hitting at .235 and 16th in homers with 141. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 26th in the league in ERA at 4.74, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.38.

Dodgers Hand Greinke First Home Loss

Zack Greinke came into his out with the Dodgers at home on Wednesday night with a 10-0 record at Chase Field on the year, but the best team in baseball ended that run with a 3-2 win over the Diamondbacks. The Game was tied 1-1 and then the D-Backs took a 2-1 lead heading to the 7th, but Greinke couldn’t hold the lead as he allowed two runs in the seventh and that was all the Dodgers needed to secure their 80th win of the year. Yasiel Puig got the game-winning hit as he drove in Joc Pederson to put them ahead for good. Cody Bellinger had a nice game was well as he had two hits, including his 33rd homer of the year. Alex Wood got the win in the game as he allowed just two ERs on six hits in 6.0 innings to improve to a sparkling 14-1 on the year with a 2.37 ERA. Kenley Jansen then got his 29th save of the year. The Dodgers have gone an amazing 47-13 here at home for the year and they have averaged 5.30 rpg and have allowed just 3.12 rpg in those games. Toeing the rubber for the Dodgers in this one will be Rich Hill and he has gone 8-4 with a 3.47 ERA in 16 starts on the year, including 2-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three starts and 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA in nine starts here at home. Hill has gone 6-5 with a 4.65 in 35 games (15 starts) during the month of August and he is 7-4 with a 2.28 ERA in 12 career starts in this park, while against the Padres in his career he is 3-3 with a 3.90 ERA in six starts.

The Dodgers have been a very solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.09 rpg, while also ranking 11th in hitting at .258 and 4th in homers with 166. On the mound, they have been the best in the league so far as they come in with an ERA of 3.08, while also ranking 1st in WHIP at 1.11.

Trends

San Diego is:

  • 10-25 in their last 35 vs. a team with a winning record
  • 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600

Los Angeles is:

  • 44-11 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a losing record
  • 44-21 in their last 65 home games vs. a left-handed starter

Will the Dodgers be up for this series after coming in off a tough series in Arizona? It really doesn’t matter if they are or not because they are so deep that even if they rest players they can still win this game easily. Clayton Richard has gone just 5-12 overall on the year and he is 0-5 with a 7.03 ERA in his last seven starts, plus he has gone 1-5 with a 4.71 ERA on the road. He has decent lifetime numbers against the Dodgers, but is 1-2 with A 5.24 ERA in his last five starts against them. Rich Hill comes in pitching really well as he is 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last six starts and he is 5-3 with a 3.19 ERA here at home. He will be facing a San Diego team that hits just .218 on the road against lefties. This looks like it will be a rather easy win for the Dodgers, who are 47-13 here at home.

Pick: Los Angeles

The biggest challenge for a team that is such a huge favorite is being focused and that will be the challenge for the Dodgers in this one, even though they have gone 43-17 here at home for the year. They have a huge edge on the mound and that could lead to their offense taking the night offense, which happens more often than not when a team has a big edge on the mound. The Padres are the worst offense in the league and they hit just .218 on the road against lefties. I expect them to struggle against Hill, who has a 2.00 ERA in his last six starts. The Dodgers are a strong offensive team, but we note that Richard threw eight shutout innings against them in this park earlier in the year. Hill’s six home starts have averaged just 6.44 rpg and I will call for a 5-1 Dodgers win in this one.

Pick: Under 8.5

Confidence: 5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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