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Rockies vs. Marlins,
8-11-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#955 Colorado
Rockies
#956 Miami
Marlins

Friday, August 11, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Colorado Rockies

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Miami Marlins

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Colorado Rockies (65-49; 48-60-6 O/U) vs. Miami Marlins (53-59; 58-47-7 O/U)

MLB: Friday, August 11, 2017 at 7:10pm EST

Line: Colorado -115/Miami +105

Total: 8.5

The Miami Marlins and the Colorado Rockies will kick off a three game weekend series Friday night from Marlins Park. The Rockies will give the nod to 25-year old right-hander Jon Gray and the Marlins will counter with 25-year old right-hander Jose Urena. This marks the first head-to-head series this season, and the Marlins won the 2016 season series 5-2.

Gray Silences Phillies in Best Start of Season

Jon Gray will get the call for the 11th time of the season, aiming for his second straight win. Gray was terrific in his previous start, limiting the Phillies to one run in seven innings, and notched the win to improve his record to 4-2. The young right-hander has looked good in three straight starts and now possesses a 4.94 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP to go with a 4-2 record in 51 innings pitched. The Marlins have given Gray trouble in his two career meetings, as he has allowed ten runs in 9.2 innings to go with a 0-2 record. Martin Prado is 3 for 6 with two RBI’s against Gray, while Christian Yelich is 2 for 6 with four RBI’s, and Marcell Ozuna is 1 for 2. Gerardo Parra continues to come through at the plate, collecting another five RBI’s over his last seven games, and is hitting .333 this month. The 30-year old left fielder is having a career-year, hitting .351 with eight home runs and 50 RBI’s. Parra owns a solid .301 average with two homers and 14 RBI’s in 40 career games against the Marlins.

The Rockies potent lineup is averaging 5.24 runs per game, good for third in the Majors, and are hitting .274 as a team. The Colorado pitching has been subpar, posting a 4.64 team ERA, placing them 20th in the Major Leagues.

Urena Seeks Third Straight Quality Start

Jose Urena will make his 25th appearance and 19th start of the season, hunting for his 11th victory. Urena was outstanding in his previous performance, holding the Braves to only one run in six innings, and registered the win to improve his record to 10-5. The young right-hander is having a breakout season, posting a 3.70 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in 114.1 innings of work. He silenced the Rockies in his two career starts, allowing only two runs in 12.2 innings to go with a 1-0 record. Nolan Areando is 0 for 4 against Urena, while Mark Reynolds is 0 for 3, and Charlie Blackmon is 2 for 6. Marcell Ozuna continues to drive in runs at a rapid pace, collecting another nine RBI’s over his last nine games. The 26-year old left fielder is having a tremendous season, sporting a .303 average with 26 home runs and 87 RBI’s. Ozuna has enjoyed success against the Rockies, bashing five homers along with 17 RBI’s in 22 career games.

The Marlins are averaging 4.68 runs per game, ranking them 13th in the Majors, and own a .264 team batting average. The Miami pitching possesses a 4.63 team ERA, positioning them 19th in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The Colorado Rockies are:

  • 1-8 in their last 9 road games against a team with a losing record.
  • 6-18 in their last 24 road games overall.
  • 3-9 in their last 12 games against the Marlins.

The Miami Marlins are:

  • 11-4 in Urena’s last 15 starts.
  • 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a right-handed starter.
  • 4-1 in Urena’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his previous appearance.

I am siding with the Marlins in this matchup. Urena continues to impress, allowing only one earned run in three out of his last four starts, and he’s limited the Rockies to only two runs in 12.2 career innings, so I am very confident backing him. In addition, the Marlins have scored ten runs in 9.2 innings against Gray, and he possesses an abysmal 6.67 ERA in his six road starts this season.

Pick: Miami Marlins

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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