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Red Sox vs. Yankees,
8-12-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#915 Boston
Red Sox
#916 New York
Yankees

Saturday, August 12, 2017 at 4:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

New York Yankees

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

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Boston Red Sox (65-49 SU, 59-55 RL, 50-60-4 O/U) vs New York Yankees (60-53 SU, 60-53 RL, 57-53-3 O/U)

When: 4:10 PM EDT, Saturday, August 12, 2017

Where: Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York

Lines: New York -155/ Boston +145

Total: 8.5

Saturday afternoon bases and a pair of American League East foes will tangle as the Boston Red Sox duke it out with the New York Yankees in game two of their three-game series from Yankee Stadium in the Bronx. Pitching Probables: The Red Sox will be sending Drew Pomeranz (11-4, 3.36 ERA) and the Yankees will counter with Luis Severino (9-4, 2.91 ERA).

Red Sox Are Looking To Run Away With The East

The Boston Red Sox had an off day on Thursday and prior to that they had won eight games in a row. Their offense is coming around and their starting pitching has been strong, plus they have one of the best pens in the league. The only area that they need to shore up right now is their defense as they are 21st in the league in errors with 66. The Red Sox have a 4,5 game lead over the Yankees in the East and they could really give themselves a comfortable lead by playing well in this series. It won’t be easy as the Yankees have been a strong home team and the Red Sox are just 29-29 on the road. The Red Sox have a 1.60 ERA in their last five games and they will really need their pitching to be on point in this series against a Yankee offense that has been strong at home. Toeing the slab for the Red Sox will bs Drew Pomeranz and he has gone 11-4 with a 3.36 ERA in 22 starts on the year, including 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts and 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA in 10 starts on the road. Pomeranz has gone 3-4 with a 3.01 ERA in 26 games (14 starts) during August and 7-16 with a 3.60 ERA in 57 games (33 starts) in the daytime, while against the Yankees in his career he is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in seven games (six starts), including 2-1 with a 1.29 ERA in three games (two starts) here at Yankee Stadium.

The Red Sox have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 10th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.76 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .263 and 27th in homers with 116. On the mound they have been very strong so far as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in ERA at 3.66, while also ranking 4th in WHIP at 1.23.

THe Slump Continues For Aaron Judge

The Yankees went into their final game against the Blue Jays have scored 21 runs in their previous three games, but much like the rest of the 2nd half of their season their offense was inconsistent and they failed to score in the 4-0 loss. Their offense has really not played like it did in the 1st half and a big reason is the slump that Aaron Judge is in. Judge is hitting just .167 in his last 24 games and he has just five homers and 12 RBIs since the break, after putting up 30 homers and 66 RBIs before the break. If he doesn’t break out of his slump then the rest of the offense will continue to struggle. The Yankees have now averaged just 3.27 in their last 11 games and just 4.03 rpg since the All-Star Break. That offense needs to improve. Getting the nod for the Yankees will be Luis Severino and he has gone 9-4 with a 2.91 ERA in 22 starts on the year, including 4-0 with a 0.70 ERA in his last four starts and 5-3 with a 3.29 ERA in 10 starts here at home. Severino has gone 4-4 with a 3.75 ERA in nine games (eight starts) during the month of August and 5-4 with a 3.72 ERA in 18 games (13 starts) in the daytime, plus he is 9-9 with a 4.13 ERA in 25 games (21 starts) here at Yankee Stadium, while against the Red Sox he has gone 1-3 with a 3.45 ERA in six games (five starts).

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.19 rpg, while also ranking 6th in hitting at .260 and 9th in homers with 162. On the mound they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.79, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.22.

Trends

Boston is:

  • 3-9 their last 12 games in this series

New York is:

  • 9-3 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record
  • 9-1 in Severino’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record

The Boston Red Sox have opened up a 4.5 game lead in the American League East and they would like to maintain that lead, but they are just 29-29 on the road and the Yankees have gone 32-20 at home. Boston came into this series on an eight game winning streak and that streak may come to an end on Friday and if that happens then that makes this play a bit stronger as teams they have a lengthy win streak broken, usually see the same result in their next game. Drew Pomeranz has had a heck of a year for the Red Sox so far and he is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA on the road, but the Yankees have been a solid offensive team at home where they have averaged 5.71 rpg on the year. Luis Severino gets the nod for the Yankees and he has been on fire of late as he has gone 4-0 with a 0.84 ERA in his last five starts and he is 7-3 with a 2.69 ERA at night. He is 1-3 in his career, but with a solid 3.45 ERA. The Red Sox are just 1-6 in their last seven games here in New York and I look for their struggles in this park to continue.

Pick: New York -155

This should be a very entertaining series as we have two of the better offenses in the league going up against each other in a battle for American league East supremacy. The Yankees can’t take the division lead in this series, but they can make it much closer.  The Yanks have been inconsistent of late, but their one constant has been Luis Severino as he has a 0.84 ERA over his last five starts and he has allowed just one ER in 14 innings of work over two starts against the Red Sox this year. Both starts came on the road. He has a 3.45 ERA in five career starts against the Sox and those games have averaged just 5.2 rpg. The Yankee offense has averaged just 3.27 rpg in their last 11 games and they hit lefties just .245 at home. Drew Pomeranz has a solid 1.82 ERA in his last four starts overall and a 3.27 ERA on the road. He also has a 3.00 ERA in his career against the Yankees, including a 1.50 ERA in two career starts in this park. The Under is 8-3 the last 11 games in this series and that is the way we will roll.

Pick: Under 8.5

Confidence: 5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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