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Reds vs. Brewers,
8-12-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 Cincinnati
Reds
#906 Milwaukee
Brewers

Saturday, August 12, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Cincinnati Reds (48-67; 61-49-5 O/U) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (59-58; 53-58-6 O/U)

MLB: Saturday, August 12, 2017 at 7:10pm EST

Line: Milwaukee -140/Cincinnati +130

Total: 9

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds will continue a three game divisional series Saturday night from Miller Park. The Reds will give the nod to 34-year old right-hander Scott Feldman, and 27-year old left-hander Brent Suter will toe the rubber for the Brewers. The Brewers own a 7-3 lead in the season series.

Feldman Returns from DL, Faces Brewers for Third Time

Scott Feldman will make his return from the DL and make his 20th start of the season in this contest. Feldman last started on July 17th and was roughed up, conceding five runs including two homers in just one inning to the Nationals. The veteran right-hander has been wildly inconsistent this season, and is currently carrying a 4.34 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP to go with a 7-7 record in 103.2 innings pitched. He has conceded six runs in 11 innings against the Brewers this season, and now owns a 2-3 record with a 4.06 ERA in six career starts against Milwaukee. Ryan Braun is 2 for 11 with three RBI’s against Feldman, while Travis Shaw is 4 for 8, and Domingo Santana is 2 for 8. Scooter Gennett has slowed down a bit after his red hot June and July, collecting five RBI’s along with eight hits this month. Overall, the 27-year old second baseman is having an outstanding season, hitting .294 with 19 home runs and 64 RBI’s. Gennett is 5 for 22 with four RBI’s against the Brewers this season.

The Reds are scoring an average of 4.58 runs per game, ranking them 17th in the Majors, and are hitting .254 as a team. The Cincinnati pitching continues to struggle, carrying a Major League worst 5.22 team ERA.

Suter Shaky in No Decision Against Twins

Brent Suter will make his 16th appearance and ninth start of the season, aiming for win number three. Suter exited after allowing three runs in four innings to the Twins in his previous start, and finished with the no decision in a game Milwaukee lost. The young left-hander has pitched well this season, posting a solid 3.31 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP to go with a 2-2 record in 54.1 innings of work. He has tossed 4.1 shutout innings in his young career against the Reds. Manny Pina has enjoyed success against the Reds this season, notching a hit in 12 of 26 at bats with two homers and six RBI’s. The 30-year old catcher is having a solid season, sporting a .284 average with seven home runs and 32 RBI’s in 77 games. Pina has been very quiet as of late, driving in only one run with a .167 average this month.

The Brewers are currently averaging 4.55 runs per game, ranking them 19th in the Majors, and feature a .249 team batting average. The Milwaukee pitching has been strong, registering a 4.13 team ERA, good for tenth overall.

Trends:

The Cincinnati Reds are:

  • over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Brewers.
  • over is 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • over is 19-7 in their last 26 Saturday games.

The Milwaukee Brewers are:

  • over is 11-2-1 in their last 14 home games against the Reds.

I am taking the over in this contest. Feldman has had some trouble against the Brewers this season, as the Brewers scored four runs in five innings in the latest meeting and he has issued 10 walks in his ten innings against Milwaukee. Furthermore, Suter has conceded eight runs over his last two starts (9.1 innings), and Reds are only averaging a solid 5.4 runs over their last ten games, plus the over is usually a strong play when these two clubs meet.

Pick: Over 9

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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