Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#975 Minnesota Twins vs.
#976 Los Angeles Angels
Friday, August 12, 2022 at 9:38pm EDT
Written by The Admiral

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Minnesota Twins (57-53) vs. Los Angeles Angels (49-63)

It is a battle of two teams fighting for a playoff spot in the American League when the Minnesota Twins begin a three-game series with the Los Angeles Angels on Friday. Minnesota enters this series 1.5 games behind the Cleveland Guardians for the top record in the AL Central and are 1.0 games out of the Wild Card chase. They are losers of three straight contests. Los Angeles is trying to stay alive in the AL Wild Card chase, winners of their last three has them 10.0 games out.

Minnesota enters as the favorite at -120 with the odds set for Los Angeles at +100. The total is 8.0 (over: -110, under: -110). These teams have not faced each other since July of last season. The Angels won four of the seven meetings last year.

Twins Suddenly Limping Down Stretch

The Minnesota Twins had held the top spot in the AL Central for much of the last month, but suddenly find themselves in second place thanks to a 4-5 start to August. The team was swept by the Dodgers on Tuesday and Wednesday, falling to 26-28 on the road.

The Twins have put together a solid offense, averaging 4.51 runs per game, 11th overall. They are ninth in team batting average (.250), 11th in OPS (.737), and ninth in home runs (136). They have been solid in August, hitting .247 with nine home runs in nine games. However, the run production is down a tad, as they have scored 38 runs in nine games, an average of 4.22 runs per contest.

Minnesota starts right-hander Tyler Mahle, who is 5-7 with a 4.49 ERA in 20 starts. The right-hander was rocked by Toronto in his last outing, giving up four runs in 6.0 innings (August 5). After spending nearly 3 weeks on the injured list, he has looked solid in his three starts since returning from the IL (July 24), allowing nine earned runs in 18.0 innings. Mahle has been good for six innings, which is good, because the bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 19th overall.

Angels Making Playoff Run

The Los Angeles Angels were all but dead coming out of July after going 6-18. However, they have gotten off to a good start in August, going 6-4, including sweeping the Oakland Athletics to begin the week. The Angels were 24th in ERA in July (4.56), but have looked much better in August, posting a 2.54 ERA through the first 10 contests.

The Angels are averaging 3.88 runs per game, 25th overall. That is not a very impressive number, but considering the fact that this club hit .199 with 71 runs scored in 24 games in July (3.00 runs per game), it is surprising that number is so high. Unlike the pitching, the hitting has not improved much in August. The club is hitting .217 with 37 runs scored (3.70 runs per game).

That means the pitching staff has to be at its best, and it will be up to Patrick Sandoval to shut down the Twins. The left-hander his 3-7 with a 3.41 ERA in 18 starts. He tossed 5.1 shutout innings in his last start, and has now allowed two earned runs over his last 11.0 innings. The Los Angeles bullpen has been slightly better than the Minnesota one, posting a 3.96 ERA.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Los Angeles has won five in the last seven meetings between these teams and looks like they may have a slight edge in this contest, as Minnesota really struggled against the Dodgers. However, the Angels have not been very good at home this season (24-32), including going 4-8 in their last 12 games in Anaheim.

The club is hitting the long ball at home, drilling 71 homers in 56 games, but a .239 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage is killing their chances of putting up beginnings. Minnesota is getting solid run production on the road, hitting .252 with 68 homers in 54 games. They are averaging just under five runs per contest away from Minnesota.

Prediction: Take the Minnesota Twins (-120)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Oddsmakers seem convinced that both Sandoval and Mahle will be able to shut down their opponent, but do not be so sure. Mahle still looks like he is working on some of the rust after coming off the injured list, and the Minnesota bullpen has not been particularly great. Los Angeles is also getting solid but not spectacular bullpen performances.

These teams have gone over in the last five meetings in Los Angeles while Minnesota has gone over in five of their last six games in 16 of the last 23 on the road. Los Angeles has gone over in five of their last seven against teams with a winning record. The over looks like the smart pick here as well.

Take Minnesota to win, 6-4.

Prediction: Go over 8.0 (-110)
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Written By Admir Aljic , "The Admiral"

You want someone to show you how to make some money, then talk to the Admiral, because he is your man. He has been handicapping for many years, so heal knows a thing or two on how to beat the spread and get your pockets loaded with cash. He has lined his own pockets for years as a betting expert. The Admiral has brought his talents to StatSalt & Winners & Whiners and will always find the best pick for you.