Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#911 Baltimore Orioles 10 vs.
#912 New York Yankees -310
Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The New York Yankees will host the Baltimore Orioles in the third game of a four-game AL East series Tuesday night from Yankee Stadium. The Orioles will give the call to 26-year old left-hander John Means, and the Yankees will hand the ball to 27-year old right-hander Domingo German. The Yankees feature a 15-2 lead in the season series.

Means Squanders Four Runs in Loss to Yankees

John Means will be on the hill for the 23rd time of the season in this one. Means just pitched against the Yankees in his latest start and he was roughed up, allowing four runs in 3.2 innings in a 14-2 loss. The second-year right-hander has been a bright spot on a weak Orioles pitching staff, logging a 3.36 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP accompanied with an 8-7 record in 101.2 innings of work. Means has squandered five runs to go with a 1-1 record in 9.1 innings against NY this season. DJ LeMahieu is 1 for 3 against Means, while Gary Sanchez is 1 for 2, and Aaron Judge is 1 for 6.

Hanser Alberto has been a tough out against the Yankees, logging a .391 average with six RBI’s in 46 at-bats. The young second baseman is having a strong year, filing a .316 average with six home runs and 33 RBI’s on the season. Alberto is red-hot, hitting .361 on the month.

The Orioles are facing a tough portion of their schedule. They just played the Astros this past weekend, and they now have to take on the Yankees followed by the Red Sox. The O’s are second-last in the MLB to only the Tigers after finishing last in 2018.

The Orioles are currently averaging 4.35 runs on the season, ranking them 25th in the big leagues. The Baltimore pitching staff continues to falter, and they are last in the Majors with a 5.67 team ERA. The O’s are 21-35 on the road this season.

German Eyes Third Consecutive Victory

Domingo German will take the mound for the 21st time of the year in this one. German squandered four runs (three earned) in five innings against the Blue Jays in his latest effort, although he benefited from run support and earned another win to bolster his record to 15-2. The young right-hander has only tallied a Quality Start in one out of his last four outings, and he features a 4.05 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP in 109 innings pitched on the season. German has limited the Orioles to six runs (five earned) in 18 innings this year, and he is 3-0 with a 3.09 ERA in 23.1 career innings against Baltimore. Renato Nunez is 1 for 4 against German, while Trey Mancini is 3 for 9, and Jonathan Villar is 2 for 9.

Watch for Gary Sanchez in this series as he is feasting on the Orioles’ pitching, smashing a whopping nine home runs along with 18 RBI’s in 44 at-bats on the season. The 26-year old catcher is having a productive season, bashing 25 big flys with 59 RBI’s. Sanchez was recently activated from the IL list.

The Yankees have displayed their depth this season by overcoming numerous injuries to key players. Giancarlo Stanton has seen minimal action, while Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez have missed a good portion of the season, yet they own a convincing lead for first place in the AL East.

The Bronx Bombers lead all of baseball with an average of 5.96 runs on the season. The New York pitching staff owns a 4.34 team ERA, pegging them 16th overall. The Yankees feature a dominating 43-18 record at Yankee Stadium.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

I have to go with the Yankees on the run line (-1.5) in this one. The Yankees have completely dominated the Orioles this season, winning 14 out of the 16 meetings entering Monday’s second game of the doubleheader. They are averaging a ridiculous 7.88 runs against Baltimore this season.

Furthermore, Yankees’ starter Domingo German has shut down the Orioles’ bats this season, limiting them to six runs (five earned) with a 3-0 record in three starts. Lastly, all but one of the Yankees’ wins against Baltimore this season occurred by at least two runs, so I expect the Bronx Bombers to take this one by multiple runs as well.

Prediction: New York Yankees -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Rating:

I am confident in the under in this one. Domingo German is a completely different pitcher at Yankee Stadium where he features a stifling 2.19 ERA, and the O’s are only averaging 4.1 runs against the Yankees this season, plus the under is 7-1 in German’s last 8 home starts.

In addition, while I expect solid damage from the Yankees side, O’ starter John Means is their best starter, and he has limited his opposition to three or fewer runs in 19 of his 22 appearances on the season, plus the under is also 5-2 in his last seven starts overall.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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Rating:

I am opting with the over on the Yankees team total which is offered on PointsBet. The Yankees have scored at least eight runs in each of their last four meetings against the Orioles which included a combined 19 runs in Monday’s doubleheader. I expect them to score three or four runs against John Means, then get to an Orioles’ bullpen that is carrying an awful ERA over six on the season.

Prediction: Yankees Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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Rating:

I am sticking with the under on the three-inning total. Both pitchers own strong numbers in the first three frames. Means owns an excellent 2.33 ERA through innings 1-3 before posting a poor 4.97 ERA in the next three innings, and German features a stellar 2.05 ERA in the first three innings.

Prediction: Three Inning Total Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.