Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#903 Chicago Cubs -130 vs.
#904 Philadelphia Phillies 9.5
Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Ricky Dimon

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The Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago Cubs will begin a three-game series when they square off at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Tuesday night.

Lucky seven for Quintana

The Cubs have endured disastrous results away from the friendly confines of Wrigley Field, and their last outing appeared headed in that direction before they erupted for six unanswered runs. Chicago aims to ride the momentum of that 6-3 comeback victory over Cincinnati into Philadelphia on Tuesday when it continues a 10-game road trip with the opener of this three-game series. Kris Bryant belted a three-run homer in the seventh inning on Sunday, helping Chicago salvage a split of its four-game set while giving the club a 0-9-2 mark in its last 11 road series. Bryant tormented the Phillies in their visit to the Windy City, going 5-for-8 with two doubles and four runs scored in a pair of wins for the Cubs in late May.

Left-hander Jose Quintana (10-7, 4.23 ERA) is taking the mound for Chicago on Tuesday. Quintana has turned his season around over the last seven weeks, posting a 6-0 record with a 3.67 ERA in his last seven starts to reach the 10-win plateau for the fourth straight year. The 30-year-old authored one of his best performances of the campaign last Wednesday, allowing just one run on two hits while striking out seven in as many innings of a 10-1 romp over Oakland.

Continuing to fight

The Cubs may not be great on the road, but the Phillies are not great in general. Philadelphia went 2-5 on a recent seven-game road trip against fellow NL wild-card contenders Arizona and San Francisco.

“It was a disappointing road trip; we didn’t execute enough on offense or on the mound,” manager Gabe Kapler lamented. “We go back home; we know we’re right in the hunt and we continue to fight…. We’ll get up and we’ll get up strong.”

Jason Vargas (6-6, 4.09 ERA) will oppose Quintana on Tuesday. The left-hander failed to build on a strong start in his Philadelphia debut on Aug. 2 with a subpar performance five days later, surrendering four runs and three walks in 5.0 innings of a 6-1 setback at Arizona. The 36-year-old got a no-decision against the Cubs on June 21 after yielding four runs on as many hits in 4.2 innings. Vargas has a 3-0 record with a 3.95 ERA in seven career starts with Chicago.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Philadelphia first baseman Rhys Hoskins is 2-for-28 in his last eight games overall heading into the series versus the Cubs, against whom he went 2-for-12 in May. Quintana, who is sporting a 3.77 ERA in five career starts against Philadelphia, turned in a gem in this matchup on May 21 but settled for a no-decision after scattering two hits over 6.0 scoreless innings. The Cubs are 7-0 in Quintana’s last seven starts.

Prediction: Chicago Cubs

Full-Game Total Pick

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Philadelphia second baseman Cesar Hernandez collected three hits and two RBIs in Sunday’s 9-6 setback to the Giants after going 2-for-17 without driving in a run in his previous five games. Vargas has cooled off a bit of late, so Chicago’s bats could be hot. The over is 5-2-1 in the Cubs’ last eight overall and 5-1 in Quintana’s last six road starts against opponents with winning records. It is also 18-8 in the Phillies’ last 26 at home against left-handed starters. Additionally, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the two teams. Look for this one to go over the total.

Prediction: Over

Written By Ricky Dimon

A 2006 graduate of Davidson College, Ricky is a freelance sports writer based in Atlanta, Georgia. He has previously worked with various websites in the sports handicapping industry and is generally a fan of going with the hot hand while in most cases showing a willingness to take favorites and give the points. Beyond the four major sports, Ricky is an avid tennis fan—and writer—and covers the ATP Tour on a daily basis.