Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#905 Los Angeles Dodgers -180 vs.
#906 Miami Marlins 8
Tuesday, August 13, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by David Hess

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Tuesday evening on the MLB diamond and the National League West will square off with the National League East as the Los Angeles Dodgers grapple with the Miami Marlins in game one of a three-game series from Marlins Park in Miami, Florida. The Dodgers lead the season series 3-0.

Pitching Matchup: Getting the nod for the Dodgers will be Clayton Kershaw (11-2, 2.77 ERA) and the Marlins will counter with Jordan Yamamoto (4-3, 4.17 ERA).

Dodgers Continue To Roll

The Los Angeles Dodgers have the National League West all but wrapped up and they have a nine-game lead of the Atlanta Braves for the best record in the National League, so they don’t have a tone to play for at the moment. Still, the Dodgers keep on rolling. The Dodgers come in off a three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks and after losing game one of that series, they went on to win the final two. LA now has won 10 of their last 12 games overall and their lead in the NL West is up t0 18.5 games. The pitching for the Dodgers has been dominant all season long, but even more so of late as they have allowed a total of eight runs over their last seven games. They could improve on their pitching numbers in this series as they are facing one of the worst offensive teams in the league.

On Sunday, the Dodgers took out the Diamondbacks by a score of 9-3 and leading their attack in the contest was Justin Turner and Will Smith, who each had two hits and three RBIs. Turner’s two hits went deep and he now has 19 dingers on the year. One of Smith’s hits went for distance and he now has seven on the year. Cody Bellinger also had a homer in the game and he now has 38 on the year. Hyun-Jin Ryu continued his march towards the Cy Young award by tossing seven shutout innings to grab the win. Ryu is now 12-2 on the year with a 1.45 ERA. The Dodgers are currently 31-25 on the road for the year.

Toeing the rubber for the Dodgers will be Clayton Kershaw and he has gone 11-2 with a 2.77 ERA in 20 starts on the year, including 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts and 3-2 with a 3.58 ERA in eight starts on the road. Righties have hit .228 off of Kershaw this year, while lefties have hit just .210 off the southpaw. In his career, he has gone 73-37 with a 2.78 ERA in 162 games (160 starts) on the road and 24-13 with a 2.31 ERA in 53 starts during the month of August. Kershaw has gone 5-5 with a 2.5 ERA in 12 career starts against the Fish, including 2-2 with a 1.85 ERA in four starts against them here at Marlins Park.

The Dodgers have been a solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.40 rpg, while also ranking 8th in hitting at .259 and 4th in homers with 196. On the mound, they have been strong as they come in ranked 1st in the league in ERA at 3.31, while also ranking 1st in WHIP at 1.11 and 8th in K’s with 1095. The bullpen ranks 9th in the league with a 4.09 ERA.

Marlins Split With The Braves

The Miami Marlins have been out of this year’s playoff chase since the end of last year. They have the worst record in the National League and have struggled at home, but they were able to split a four-game home series with the Braves over the weekend. The Marlins entered the series on a six-game losing streak so it was a bit shocking that they were able to gain a split with the w2nd best team in the National League. Despite the split, the Marlins are still 24.5 games out of first in the division and 15.5 games out of 4th in the NL East. The Marlins are a rebuilding team and it still looks like they are at least two or three years away from being able to contend again.

The Marlins have been a very poor offensive team all year, but they were able to score 24 runs in the series against the Braves. Their task will be tougher in this series against an LA team that leads the league in ERA. In the finale. the Fish lost by a score of 5-4 and getting it done on offense was Harold Ramirez, who had two RBIs, while Starlin Casto had four hits and an RBI, plus two runs scored. Hector Noesi absorbed the loss in the contest after allowing five ERs on four hits and three walks while striking out eight in 6.0 innings of work. He is now 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA on the year. The Fish enter this contest at 24-37 here at home for the year.

The Marlins will be sending out Jordan Yamamoto, who has gone 4-3 with a 4.17 ERA in 10 starts in this his first year in the league, including 0-2 with a 7.88 ERA in his last three starts and 2-1 with a 4.85 ERA in five starts here at home. Righties are hitting .189 off of Yamamoto, while lefties are hitting .157 off of him. He faced the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium and it was not pretty as Yamamoto allowed five ERs on four hits and four walks in 4.0 innings of work in a 9-0 loss.

Miami has been poor on offense so far as they come in ranked 29th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.66 rpg, while also ranking 26th in hitting at .241 and 30th in homers with 99. On the mound, they have been below average as they rank 16th in the league in ERA at 4.47, while also ranking 15th in WHIP at 1.32 and 18th in K’s with 1018. Their pen ranks 20th in ERA at 4.70.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The Dodgers are the best team in the National League and the Marlins are the worst. Jordan Yamamoto started out his career well, but he is 0-3 with an 8.55 ERA in his last four starts and he lost to the Dodgers in LA by a score of 9-0 earlier in the year. Clayton Kershaw has been pitching very well and he has a 1.85 ERA in his career in this park. I cannot see the Marlins hanging with the Dodgers in this one, especially when we have two pitchers trending in opposite directions. Lastly, the Dodgers are 50-21 in their last 71 games vs. a right-handed starter. Look for LA to win this one easily.

Prediction: Los Angeles -1.5

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I will look for this one to go Under the total. Jordan Yamamoto has struggled of late, but the LA offense doesn’t always show u0p when Kershaw is on the mound. It doesn’t have to show up as Kershaw doesn’t give up much. He has a 1.85 ERA in this park in his career and the Marlins have the 2nd worst offense in the league. The Dodgers will get some runs in this one, but the Marlins will not score enough to put the game over the total. The Under is 9-2 the last 11 games between these teams here in Miami. Look for a low scoring game in this one, despite the fact that Kershaw’s road starts and Yamamoto’s home starts have been high scoring this year.

Prediction: Under 8
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Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.