Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#965 Boston Red Sox 9.5 vs.
#966 Cleveland Indians -185
Wednesday, August 14, 2019 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The red-hot Cleveland Indians will host the Boston Red Sox in the three-game series finale Wednesday afternoon from Progressive Field. The Red Sox are expected to have 28-year old left-hander Brian Johnson on the mound, and 24-year old right-hander Shane Bieber will get the nod for the Indians. The Indians own a 3-1 lead in the season series.

Brian Johnson Makes Spot Start

Brian Johnson will start in this one with Nathan Eovaldi available out of the bullpen. Eovaldi was supposed to start this game however Alex Cora decided to use him in a relief role on Tuesday night. Johnson has struggled in his limited action, posting a terrible 7.32 ERA and a 2.03 WHIP in 19.2 innings pitched. The left-hander has allowed three runs in 7.1 career innings against the Indians.

Watch for Andrew Benintendi as he is a tough out against Shane Bieber, recording 4 hits with three RBI’s and two doubles in six career at-bats against the right-hander. Benintendi is having another strong season, compiling a .287 average with 12 homers and 61 RBI’s, and he is 4 for 12 with three RBI’s against the Indians this season.

Boston is going to have to turn it around quickly if they want to reach the postseason. They have fallen out of contention in the AL East, and they have plummeted to 8.5 games out of a Wildcard position.

The Red Sox are currently averaging 5.71 runs on the season, good for third in the big leagues. The Boston pitching staff holds a subpar 4.83 team ERA, positioning them 21st overall. The Red Sox own a 32-27 road record heading into Tuesday.

Bieber Notches 11K’s in Another Stellar Performance

Shane Beiber will take the mound for the 26th time of the season, aiming for his third straight win. Bieber came through with another outstanding performance last time out, holding the powerful Twins lineup to only two runs in seven innings, leading to the victory to lift his record to 12-4. The second-year right-hander is establishing himself as one of the best young pitchers in the AL, sporting a sharp 3.28 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 156.1 innings pitched on the season. Bieber was roughed up in his only meeting against the Red Sox this season, squandering six runs in five innings, and he has now allowed 15 runs with a 2-1 record in 16 career innings against Boston. Mookie Betts is 1 for 6 against Bieber, while JD Martinez is 1 for 7, and Xander Bogaerts is 2 for 6.

Francisco Lindor continues to reach base in the leadoff position, recording at least one hit in all but two games this month and he has seven walks in his last six games. The 25-year old shortstop features a .300 average with 20 homers and 48 RBI’s. Lindor has fared well against the Red Sox this season, notching 7 hits in 17 at-bats with four runs driven in.

The Tribe’ have caught the Twins in the AL Central and they now have a 0.5 game lead entering Tuesday, and their pitching is a big reason why. They have won three consecutive series’ which included a big series win against the Twins this past weekend. Cleveland has been able to consistently shut down their opponents with ace Corey Kluber on the IL for most of the season.

The Indians stand 20th in the Major Leagues with an average of 4.66 runs on the season. The Cleveland pitching is locked in, and they are carrying a strong 3.66 team ERA, placing them third in the big leagues. The Tribe’ are 38-24 in their home ballpark.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with the Indians in this one. The Indians are fighting for first place in the AL Central, while the Red Sox are fading fast as their playoff hopes slip away. Boston has lost 12 out of their last 15 games which is almost hard to believe, and they just continue to come up short.

Furthermore, Cleveland is trending in the opposite direction. They have won 8 out of their last 10 games, and Indians’ starter Shane Bieber continues to shine, limiting his opposition to two or fewer runs in four straight starts, two of which were a complete game. Lastly, the Indians should do solid damage against Red Sox’ starter Brian Johnson who owns an abysmal 7.32 ERA on the season.

Prediction: Cleveland Indians

Full-Game Total Pick

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I am opting with the under in this contest. The Indians win games behind stifling pitching and timely hitting. Bieber is pitching with a ton of confidence and he has racked up 37 K’s in his last four starts, and I expect him to neutralize Boston in this one. The under is a convincing 8-3 in Bieber’s last 11 home starts.

In addition, the Red Sox aren’t scoring a whole lot of runs as of late, plating four or fewer runs in seven out of their last ten games entering Tuesday. The under is 5-1 in the Indians’ last six home games and I expect that trend to resume in this one.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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I am going with the over on the Indians team total offered on PointsBet. The Indians are piling on the runs against the Red Sox this season, averaging a stellar 7.6 runs in the five meetings which includes 12 runs in the first two games of this series. They have also scored at least five runs in six out of their last seven games overall.

Prediction: Indians Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am selecting Carlos Santana to record a hit along with an Indians win. Carlos Santana is red-hot, accumulating nine base hits in his last five games overall which includes five hits in the first two games of this series. The veteran slugger has played a big part in the Indians’ recent success with several clutch hits.

Prediction: Carlos Santana to Record a Hit/Indians Win
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.