Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#971 Minnesota Twins 9.5 vs.
#972 Milwaukee Brewers -120
Wednesday, August 14, 2019 at 2:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Milwaukee Brewers will host the Minnesota Twins as the clubs conclude a mini two-game interleague series Wednesday afternoon from Miller Park. The Twins will give the starting nod to 31-year old right-hander Kyle Gibson, and the Brewers are expected to send 33-year old left-hander Gio Gonzalez to the hill. The Twins lead the season series 2-1.

Gibson Issues Six Walks in Loss to Indians

Kyle Gibson will take the mound for the 25th time of the year, hunting for his first win of the month. Gibson was hit hard in his latest effort, serving up six runs (five earned) in 4.1 innings against the Indians, leading to the loss to bring his record to 11-5. The veteran right-hander has recorded a Quality Start in two out of his last three outings, and he enters this one with a mediocre 4.24 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in 127.1. innings logged on the season. Gibson has had trouble in his career against Milwaukee, posting a 1-2 record and a 5.70 ERA in five starts. Mike Moustakas is 11 for 35 against Gibson, while Ben Gamel is 2 for 6, and Ryan Braun is 2 for 7.

Twins’ slugger Eddie Rosario will be an important piece to the Twins late-season push for the AL Central title. The 27-year old left fielder has driven in eight runs this month, and he owns a .284 average with 25 home runs and 78 RBI’s on the season. Rosario is 2 for 9 with two RBI’s against the Brewers this season.

The Twins once held a comfortable lead ahead of the Indians for first place in the AL Central. They just lost three of four at home to Cleveland before this series and they are currently half a game back Tuesday’s action. Minnesota’s biggest weapon has been their multiple home run threats as they lead the Majors in big flys.

The Twins have cooled off offensively, although they still rank second in the big leagues with an average of 5.72 runs on the season. The Minnesota pitching staff features a 4.15 team ERA, pegging them ninth Majors. The Twins are 35-21 on the road entering Tuesday.

Gonzalez Eyes First Win Since May

Gio Gonzalez will make his 11th start of the season in this clash. Gonzalez was stellar in his previous start, limiting the Rangers to only one run in five innings, leading to a no-decision in a game Milwaukee won. The veteran left-hander has allowed two or fewer runs in three straight starts, and he holds a solid 3.20 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP paired with a 2-1 record in 50.2 innings pitched. Gonzalez allowed four runs in 4.2 innings against the Twins earlier this season, and he is 3-3 with a poor 6.56 ERA in nine career meetings against Minnesota. Nelson Cruz is 1 for 15 against Gonzalez while Eddie Rosario is 2 for 6, and Marwin Gonzalez is 0 for 4.

Keston Hiura continues to come up big at the plate, bashing three homers with five RBI’s in his last four games. The 23-year old rookie second baseman has made the seamless transition to the bigs, and he is currently hitting .299 with 14 round-trippers and 32 RBI’s on the season. Hiura is 2 for 7 with two RBI’s against the Twins this season. Christian Yelich recently missed four games due to a sore back, although he is back in action.

The Brewers are about to embark on a big road trip that could have huge playoff hunt implications. They head out to Washington and St. Louis who are team teams they are trying to catch in the Wildcard, and they stand 2.5 games back of the Cubs for first place in the NL Central. Milwaukee owns a 2-1 record on their current homestand which ends in this game.

The Brewers are scoring an average of 4.76 runs on the season, placing them 16th in the Majors. The Milwaukee pitching staff owns a 4.59 team ERA, positioning them 17th overall. The Brewers stand at 35-25 at Miller Park.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am siding with the Brewers in this contest. I do not trust Kyle Gibson on the mound especially considering his recent performance. The veteran right-hander has surrendered 15 runs (13 earned) in his last four starts spread across 22 innings, and he issued 12 walks in that span.

Furthermore, the Twins as a whole are starting to slip after holding onto first place for most of the season. They have dropped five out of their last six games entering Tuesday, while Milwaukee is starting to turn the corner, recording a victory in five out of their last six games. Lastly, Gio Gonzalez has been steady, and he has only allowed one run in each of his last two outings against two high scoring teams in the Cubs and Rangers.

Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Full-Game Total Pick

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This contest should feature plenty of runs. The Twins are actually more productive on the road where they are averaging a remarkable six runs per game on the year, and the over is 4-1 in their last five interleague road games.

In addition, as mentioned Gibson hasn’t been good, and he owns a poor 5.70 career ERA in 30 innings against the Brewers, plus the over is a perfect 4-0 in Gibson’s last four starts overall.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Brewers team total offered on PointsBet is worth a look. The Brewers bats are heating up, plating at least five runs in four out of their last seven games and I like their chances against Gibson. Also, the Twins pitching staff is scuffling, surrendering at least five runs in six out of their last seven games.

Prediction: Brewers Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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The under on the three-inning total is a solid play. Kyle Gibson is sharp in the first three innings where he features a stellar 2.69 ERA before posting an ugly 6.15 ERA in the next three frames. Also, Gio Gonzalez has been sharp as and I don’t see him conceding many runs in his outing.

Prediction: Three Inning Total Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.