Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#975 Oakland Athletics -110 vs.
#976 San Francisco Giants 9
Wednesday, August 14, 2019 at 3:45pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala

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The two teams from opposite sides of the bay finish up a short interleague set on the diamond. The Oakland A’s are on the road as they close out a brief two-game interleague series with the San Francisco Giants Wednesday afternoon. Oakland took two of three on the road over the White Sox, winning the rubber game by a 2-0 count Sunday afternoon. San Francisco claimed three of four from Philadelphia as they won the finale of that set 9-6 at home Sunday night. The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s series opener saw Brett Anderson take the hill for the A’s against the Giants’ Madison Bumgarner. First pitch in that contest was scheduled for 9:45 pm ET.

Oakland A’s Trying to Climb Past Tampa Bay in AL Wild Card Race

Oakland bounced back from a tough loss Saturday to earn the victory in the finale of the set Sunday afternoon, claiming a series win in the process. The A’s entered Tuesday second in the AL West, 10 games behind the Astros: they were two games behind Tampa Bay for the second wild card spot. Matt Olson (run, two RBI), Robbie Grossman and Chad Pinder each had two hits in the win: Olson’s 23rd homer of the season in the fourth inning provided the game’s only offense. Chris Bassitt (8-5) turned in a sparkling start to earn the win: he threw seven scoreless innings, allowing four hits with two walks and seven strikeouts. Liam Hendriks fanned a pair in a scoreless ninth for his 12th save of the year.

Homer Bailey takes the mound for his 24th start overall on the year and his sixth for the A’s after being acquired from Kansas City last month. He comes in 9-8 with a 5.54 ERA, a 1.457 WHIP, 46 walks and 101 strikeouts over 115.1 innings of work on the year. Bailey took the loss in his last start, which came last Wednesday on the road against the Cubs. He threw 4.2 innings, allowing seven runs on six hits with one walk and no strikeouts in a 10-1 Oakland defeat. Bailey is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, five walks and 12 strikeouts over 17.1 innings in his last three starts. He has a 4-0 record with a 3.57 ERA, a 1.038 WHIP, 12 walks and 42 strikeouts over 53 innings in eight career starts against the Giants. Bailey is 2-0 with a 3.81 ERA, a 1.115 WHIP, five walks and 16 strikeouts over 26 innings in four career starts at Oracle Park.

San Francisco Giants Hoping to Make Move in NL Wild Card Picture

San Francisco took three of four from the Phillies to shake off a four-game losing skid and pushed back into the race for the wild card spots in the National League. The Giants entered Tuesday third in the NL West, 19.5 games behind the Dodgers: they stood 3.5 games behind the second wild card spot. San Francisco got three hits from Evan Longoria (two runs, two RBI) in the game while Scooter Gennett (his second) and Mike Yastrzemski (his 12th) each homered. Conner Menez didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed three runs on two hits with three walks and four strikeouts in 1.2 innings. Will Smith (4-0) blew the save but picked up the win: he threw 1.2 innings, allowing no runs or hits with two walks and a strikeout.

Tyler Beede gets the call for the Giants for his 17th appearance and 15th start of the season in this contest. He is 3-6 with a 5.61 ERA, a 1.576 WHIP, 36 walks and 76 strikeouts over 78.2 innings of work this season. Beede recorded a no-decision in his last outing, which was a start against the Phillies at home on Friday night. He threw five innings, allowing five runs on four hits with two walks and seven strikeouts in an eventual 9-6 Giants defeat. Beede is 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA, a 2.05 WHIP, six walks and 14 strikeouts over 13.2 innings in his last three starts. In his 19th major league appearance and his 17th career start, he pitches against the A’s for the first time. Beede is 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA, a 1.429 WHIP, 17 walks and 37 strikeouts over 36 innings in seven career appearances, six starts, at Oracle Park.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Beede is winless in his last five starts and the numbers of late haven’t been pretty for the right-hander. He’s given up at least four runs in each of his last four starts and hasn’t earned a victory since July 14 against Milwaukee, his first start out of the All-Star break. Bailey has been up and down: he was decent with Kansas City and in his first start with the A’s but he’s been slipping. His ERA with Oakland in five starts is 8.17 though his FIP ERA in that stretch is a more respectable 4.88, meaning that he’s had some bad luck. Pitching at Oracle Park and against the Giants in general might help mitigate some of that: the A’s earn the win here to get a split.

Prediction: Oakland A’s -120

Full-Game Total Pick

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Oracle Park has been awful for offense this season as the average game at the park provides a league-low 8.02 runs per game. The park also has been the worst hitting park in the majors with a .676 OPS mark, which is 19 points worse than the second-worst, which is Marlins Park, and a staggering 209 points worse than Coors Field. That will prove to be an issue in this one as both teams have to deal with the park’s dynamics. Can the A’s pick up an important road win here to hang tight in the AL wild card chase?

The under is 3-0-1 in the A’s last four overall, 3-0-1 in their last four on grass, 3-0-1 in their last four on the road, 7-1 in their last eight road games against teams with a losing home record and 6-1 in the second game in their last seven series. San Francisco has seen the under go 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 6-1-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter and 6-1 in their last seven against AL West opponents. Given the way offense dies at Oracle Park, lean toward this one falling short of the number.

Prediction: Under 9

First Five Innings Side Pick

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Bailey has struggled with the A’s in his five starts with an ERA north of eight despite a pair of wins on the ledger. He has thrived against the Giants in his career and he’s unbeaten at Oracle Park. Beede has been bad in his last few starts and is 0-3 with a 5.93 ERA over 27.1 innings in his last five starts. Opposing hitters have tuned him up to a .307/.355/.570 slash line in that stretch and that is with a performance against the Mets where he threw eight scoreless frames. The Giants have too many question marks here: give the A’s the upper hand after five innings.

Prediction: Oakland A’s

First Five Innings Total Bet

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We’ve discussed at length the ineffectiveness of bats at Oracle Park, given how poorly the metrics are. San Francisco averages only 3.42 runs per game at home this season with a .229/.293/.366 slash line, which is a major cause for concern. The Giants have hit a total of 47 homers at Oracle Park in their 60 games this season, showing a complete lack of power. Oakland is a power team, loaded with plenty of pop. Still, with the Giants’ struggles at the plate at home, this one ends up under the number after five innings.

Prediction: Under
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Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.