Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#913 Cleveland Indians 11 vs.
#914 New York Yankees -150
Thursday, August 15, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Chris Kubala



#913 Cleveland
#914 New York


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A pair of teams in the thick of the American League playoff race kick off a weekend set in the Big Apple. The Cleveland Indians are on the road as they open up a four-game series with the New York Yankees Thursday night. Cleveland dropped the rubber game of their three-game home set with the Red Sox, falling 5-1 Wednesday afternoon. New York continued their assault on the Orioles, sweeping a four-game series with a 6-5 win on Wednesday afternoon at home. The Indians took two of three meetings in the first series this season, which came at home June 7-9.

Cleveland Indians Hope to Bounce Back

Cleveland dropped two straight at home to the Red Sox, including the series finale Wednesday, to lose the series. The Indians enter this one second in the AL Central, half a game behind the Twins: they held the top wild card spot. Cleveland finished with just four hits in the game Wednesday with no player having more than one: Francisco Lindor scored the team’s lone run on a wild pitch in the third inning. Shane Bieber (12-5) turned in a quality start but took the loss: he allowed two runs on seven hits with a walk and seven strikeouts over six innings.

Adam Plutko takes the ball for his 13th appearance and 12th start of the season for the Indians in this contest. He is 4-3 with a 4.68 ERA, a 1.194 WHIP, 10 walks and 39 strikeouts over 65.1 innings of work on the year. Plutko took the loss in his last start, which came Saturday on the road against the Twins. He threw six innings, allowing four runs on nine hits with a walk and three strikeouts in a 4-1 Cleveland defeat. Plutko is 1-1 with a 4.32 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, four walks and eight strikeouts over 16.2 innings of work in his last three starts. He beat the Yankees in his lone career start against them, which came at home on June 8. In that outing, he threw six innings, allowing two runs on three hits with no walks and four strikeouts in an 8-4 Indians win. In his 32nd career major league appearance and his 24th start, Plutko pitches at Yankee Stadium for the first time.

New York Yankees Cruising in AL East Race

New York beat Baltimore for the 16th straight time this season as they swept a four-game set with Wednesday’s win. The Yankees entered Wednesday night with a 9.5 game advantage over the Rays in the AL East after picking up their fifth straight win. Gary Sanchez (two runs, three RBI) had three hits to lead New York, including his 26th homer of the season, 10 of which came against Baltimore. J.A. Happ (10-7) earned the win as he allowed two runs on six hits with three walks and six strikeouts over five innings. Aroldis Chapman worked the ninth, allowing one hit with no walks and two strikeouts, for his 33rd save of the year.

Chad Green is in line to get the call to start here as the Yankees deploy the opener strategy here after a doubleheader earlier this week: this would be his 42nd appearance and 12th start of the year. He comes in 2-3 with a 4.69 ERA, a 1.396 WHIP, 12 walks and 61 strikeouts over 48 innings of work this season. Green didn’t factor in the decision in his last outing, which came in a start Monday at home against the Orioles. He allowed no runs on no hits with no walks and one strikeout in 1.1 innings of an 11-8 Yankees win. In his last three starts, Green has no record, a 0.00 ERA, a 0.60 WHIP, two walks and four strikeouts over 3.1 innings of work. He is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA, a 1.00 WHIP, four walks and 27 strikeouts over 15 innings in six career appearances, two starts, against the Indians. Green is 7-2 with two saves, a 2.69 ERA, a 1.068 WHIP, 30 walks and 134 strikeouts over 117 innings in 78 career outings, 11 starts, at Yankee Stadium.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


The Yankees have been rolling along but their pitching will be stretched a little bit here after the doubleheader with Baltimore earlier this week. That helped force them to go with an opener in this one as opposed to a regular starter. Cleveland took back to back losses on the road but they have been hot since the middle of June. The Indians have gotten their bats going after a slow start to the season and that gives them a chance to hang with the Yankees. Look for the Tribe to find a way to get the upper hand in this one to start the series on a positive note.

Prediction: Cleveland Indians +144

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


We’re looking at a pair of teams that have had plenty of momentum recently. Cleveland is 22-11 since the All-Star break while the Yankees have gone 24-10. Of course, New York beating Baltimore 16 straight times en route to a 17-2 mark against the Orioles has helped drive the Bronx Bombers’ success this season. The Indians have averaged five runs per game since the All-Star break as their bats have been hot. New York has been even more prolific as they have piled up an average of 6.65 runs per game since that point. Will the bats control things again or will this be an arms race?

The under is 9-2 in the Indians’ last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, 8-2-1 in their last 11 games following a loss, 8-3-1 in their last 12 overall, 8-3-1 in their last 12 on grass and 4-0 in Plutko’s last 4 starts on grass. While both teams have been good offensively, especially in the second half of the season, Yankee Stadium hasn’t been as much of an offensive park in 2019 as in recent seasons: this one falls under the number.

Prediction: Under 11

First Five Innings Side Pick

Insiders Status:


New York has been very good at home this season as they have posted a 47-18 mark at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees are 40 games above .500 for the first time since 2009 after winning Wednesday but there’s a big difference between facing Baltimore and taking on Cleveland. Plutko has been solid if unspectacular and the Tribe is expected to get Corey Kluber back next week. The Indians have been hot the last couple of months: look for them to find a way to get the edge after five innings.

Prediction: Cleveland Indians

First Five Innings Total Bet

Insiders Status:


With Green being the likely opener in this one, you can lean heavily on this one being a bullpen type game where there will be a parade of relievers. That actually doesn’t hurt the Yankees as much as it would some teams as they have a pretty solid bullpen when you get right down to it. Plutko has pitched fairly well for the most part this season and he beat the Yankees in his lone career start against them back in June. Given the fact that both teams are solid, this one likely falls short of the total after five innings.

Prediction: Under

Written By Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in-depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. Now he is writing for our team here at Winners @ Whiners. Chris keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college. He is also very knowledgeable in the NHL, the NBA, college basketball and MLB. If you want consistency, then be sure and check out Chris’ content daily.