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Phillies vs. Giants,
8-17-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#959 Philadelphia
Phillies
#960 San Francisco
Giants

Thursday, August 17, 2017 at 10:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
A. NOLA

43 - 75

9
W's
7
L's
3.02
ERA
1.15
WHIP

San Francisco Giants
J. SAMARDZIJA

48 - 74

7
W's
12
L's
4.74
ERA
1.19
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Philadelphia Phillies (43-75 SU, 60-58 RL, 52-57-9 O/U) vs. San Francisco Giants (48-74 SU, 50-72 RL, 57-54-11 O/U)

MLB: Thursday, August 17, 2017, AT&T Park, San Francisco, California, 10:15 pm ET

Lines: San Francisco -110, Philadelphia +100; Over/Under: 7.5

It’s the opener of a series out on the west coast between the two worst teams in the National League in the city by the bay. The Philadelphia Phillies play the first of four on the road against the San Francisco Giants Thursday night. Philadelphia closed out a three game series on the road against San Diego Wednesday afternoon and suffered a sweep with a 3-0 loss. San Francisco dropped the rubber game of their set on the road against the Marlins, losing 8-1 Wednesday. The Phillies took two of three meetings in the first series this season, which came June 2-4 in Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Try to Stop Latest Slump

Philadelphia lost their fourth straight and sixth in their last seven games with the blanking Wednesday by the Padres. The Phillies totaled only three hits in the game: Freddy Galvis and Cameron Rupp each doubled while Nick Williams had a single. Philadelphia went 0 for 6 with runners in scoring position in the game. The lack of offense negated a solid pitching performance by the Phillies staff as they recorded 16 strikeouts in the game. Nick Pivetta (4-8) took the loss after allowing three runs on five hits with three walks and 11 strikeouts over five innings.

Aaron Nola is expected to make his 20th start of the season in this contest for the Phillies. He missed nearly a month earlier this season with a lower back strain. Nola is 9-7 with a 3.02 ERA, a 1.148 WHIP, 35 walks and 125 strikeouts over 119.1 innings of action. He picked up the win in his last start, which was Saturday at home against the Mets. Nola threw seven innings, allowing one run on two hits with two walks and eight strikeouts as the Phillies were victorious, 3-1. He is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, five walks and 18 strikeouts over 20 innings in his last three starts. Nola recorded a no-decision in his lone start against the Giants, which came on the road on June 28, 2016. He allowed five runs on 10 hits with no walks and four strikeouts over 3.1 innings in an eventual 8-7 Phillies loss.

San Francisco Giants Look for Home Success

San Francisco lost the rubber game of their series on the road with the Marlins and now look to regroup as they return home. The Giants at least managed to keep Giancarlo Stanton in the ball park, snapping his six game homer string. San Francisco was in a 4-0 hole after one inning and that set the tone for the day. Jarrett Parker (run) and Hunter Pence each had two hits for the Giants in the loss Wednesday. There was no RBI for the Giants as the lone run scored on an error on a ball hit by Brandon Crawford. Matt Cain (3-10) took the loss on the mound after allowing five runs (two earned) on five hits with a walk and seven strikeouts over four innings of work.

Jeff Samardzija takes the ball and logs his 25th start of the season for the Giants here trying to get things going. He is 7-12 with a 4.74 ERA, a 1.195 WHIP, 23 walks and 160 strikeouts over 155.2 innings this season. Samardzija took the loss in his last start, which came on the road against the Nationals Saturday. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on nine hits with one walk and six strikeouts in a 3-1 Giants defeat. Samardzija is 2-1 with a 3.98 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, six walks and 14 strikeouts over 20.1 innings in his last three starts. He makes his 11th career appearance and fifth start against the Phillies in this contest: he is 1-4 with an 8.67 ERA and a 1.667 WHIP over 27 innings. Samardzija is 10-11 with a 3.84 ERA and a 1.275 WHIP over 171 innings in 28 appearances, 27 starts, at AT&T Park in his career.

Trends:

Philadelphia

  • Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record

San Francisco

  • Giants are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
  • Giants are 2-9 in their last 11 Thursday games

This matchup of the two worst teams in the National League features what, on paper at least, is the best pitching matchup of the series. Philadelphia is slumping with six losses in seven games but they have Nola on the mound and he’s suffered only one loss in his last six starts. Samardzija has pitched better lately after a dreadful start to the season but the fact remains that the Giants have a weak offensive attack that the dimensions of AT&T Park doesn’t help. The Shark has also had major issues with the Phillies in his career. Look for Nola and the Phillies to steal the opening game of this set over the travel weary Giants.

Pick: Philadelphia Phillies +100

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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