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Angels vs. Orioles,
8-18-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#913 Los Angeles
Angels
#914 Baltimore
Orioles

Friday, August 18, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Angels
A. HEANEY

62 - 59

0
W's
0
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Baltimore Orioles
J. HELLICKSON

59 - 62

7
W's
7
L's
4.7
ERA
1.24
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Los Angeles Angels (62-59 SU, 59-62 RL, 48-64-9 O/U) vs Baltimore Orioles (59-62 SU, 61-60 RL, 61-57-3 O/U)

When: 7:05 PM EDT, Friday, August 18, 2017

Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland

Lines: Baltimore -136/ Los Angeles +126

Total: 10

MLB action on Friday evening and the American League West will meet the American League East as the Los Angeles Angels will square off with the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in game one of their three game series. Pitching Probables: Andrew Heaney (0-0, 0.00 ERA) gets the nod for the Halos and he will be opposed by Jeremy Hellickson (12-8, 4.17 ERA).

Halos Take Finale In The Nation’s Capital

The Los Angeles Angels have been very hot of late as they have won seven of their last eight games after taking a 3-2 win over the Nationals on Wednesday afternoon. The Angels got a very good start in that game from Ricky Nolasco, who has not had a good year at all. Nolasco allowed just two ERs on five hits and three walks in 5.2 innings of work in the win. He is still just 6-12 with a 5.15 ERA on the year. The Pitching has been a big part of their recent run and they have now allowed just 2.63 rpg over their last eight games. The Angels have used their recent run to take over the 2nd wild card slot in the American League, but they must keep playing well as that lead is just a half a game over the Royals and a game over the Twins. Los Angeles is 29-33 on the road and they have averaged 4.16 rpg and have allowed 4.40 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for the Angels will be Andrew Heaney and he will be making his first start of the year. He was expected to miss the entire year after undergoing Tommy John surgery, but he has recovered faster than expected so he will be apart of the rotation the rest of the way. Heaney is 6-8 with a 4.09 ERA in 26 games (24 starts) in his career overall, including 3-3 with a 4.14 ERA in 12 games (11 starts) on the road. He is 0-0 with a 6.35 ERA in one career start against the Orioles.

The Angels have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 26th in the league in scoring, putting up just 4.26 rpg, while also ranking 26th in hitting at .243 and 24th in homers with 130. On the mound, they have been solid as they come in ranked 10th in the league in ERA at 4.13, while also ranking 8th in WHIP at 1.28.

Orioles Come Home Off Long Road Trip

The Baltimore Orioles have been up and down this year, but still, they are sitting just three games out of a wild card slot in the American League. This series is very important for both teams. The Orioles come home off a 10 road trip, in which they went just 4-6 on, despite the fact that they outscored their foes by nine runs on the trip. In their finale of that trip they fell to the Mariners by a score of 7-6 and getting hit hard in the game was Ubaldo Jimenez, who allowed six hits and eight hits in just 4.1 innings of work to fall to 5-8 with a 6.47 ERA on the year. Including this game, the Orioles are starting a stretch of playing 16 of 19 games here at home where they have gone a solid 35-23 on the year and have averaged 4.93 rpg and have allowed 4.74 rpg in those games. This is their chance to make a move to grab a wildcard spot in the AL. Toeing the slab for the Orioles in this one will be Jeremy Hellickson and he has gone 7-7 with a 4.70 ERA in 23 starts on the year overall, including 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts as a member of the Orioles. He started the year in Philadelphia. Hellickson has gone 12-18 with a 4.09 ERA in 37 career starts in August and he is 4-2 with a 4.36 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) here at Camden Yards, while against the Halos he has gone 3-4 with a 3.02 ERA in eight games (seven starts).

Baltimore has a bit above average on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 12th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.75 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .263 and 6th in homers with 175. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 28th in the league in ERA at 4.90, while also ranking 29th in WHIP at 1.46.

Trends

Los Angeles is:

  • 7-1 in their last eight when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game
  • 7-2 in Heaney’s last nine starts vs. a team with a losing record

Baltimore is:

  • 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • 3-13 in their last 16 Friday games

This is a tough one as the Orioles have played well at home this year, while the Angels have been on a roll of late. Andrew Heaney has good stuff and should be pumped up for his first start of the year after it was thought that he would miss the whole season. Jeremy Hellickson has not had a good year and he is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts for the Orioles this year. He has decent number vs the Halos overall, but still, this is a bad spot for his team as they are playing their first game back from a long road trip and the Angels have won seven of their last eight games. The Angels have been getting great pitching and their pen has a 1.04 ERA in their last five games, so they should be all set if Heaney is on a pitch count. Look for the Angels to find a way to win game one.

Pick: Los Anegels +126

This is a very important series for both squads as they look to make their stand for claiming one of the Wildcard spots in the American League. The Orioles come home off a long road trip and will be taking on an Angels squad that has won seven of their last eight games. A big reason for the run by the Angels has been this pitching which has allowed just 2.6 rpg over their last eight games and while the O’s have been a good offense team at home they could be a bit sluggish in this first game back from the long road trip. The Angels are not a great team on offense and Hellickson has a 3.02 ERA in his career against them. This looks like a low scoring game and the clincher is the fact that the Under is 7-1 the last eight games between these teams here in Baltimore.

Pick: Under 10

Confidence: 4

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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