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Nationals vs. Padres,
8-18-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 Washington
Nationals
#910 San Diego
Padres

Friday, August 18, 2017 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Washington Nationals
M. SCHERZER

72 - 47

12
W's
5
L's
2.25
ERA
0.85
WHIP

San Diego Padres
L. PERDOMO

54 - 67

6
W's
7
L's
5.03
ERA
1.52
WHIP

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Washington Nationals (71-47 SU, 58-60 RL, 56-57-5 O/U) vs San Diego Padres (54-66 SU, 65-55 RL, 64-50-6 O/U)

When: 10:10 PM EDT, Friday, August 18, 2017

Where: Petco Park in San Diego, California

Lines: Washington -194/ San Diego +181

Total: 7

Tonight on the MLB diamond, the National League East squares off with the Nationals League West as the Washington Nationals duke it out with the San Diego Padres in game two of their four-game set from Petco Park in San Diego, California. Pitching Probables: Toeing the slab for the Nationals will be Max Scherzer (12-5, 2.25 ERA) and he will be opposed by Luis Perdomo (6-7, 4.95 ERA).

The Nats Have Lost Their Offense

The Washington Nationals have been one of the best offenses in the league this year, but lately that has not been the case. The Nats have been without Bryce harper for four games and have averaged just 4.23 rpg over that stretch, but their offense was struggling before losing him as they also averaged just 3.5 rpg in their 12 games before his injury. The Pitching has really been what has led this team of late as they have a 2.64 ERA over their last 10 games (prior to Thursday). The big issue for the Nats has been their pen, which ranks 29th in the league with a 4.83 ERA, but that pen is finally getting its act together as they have a 1.64 ERA in their last 10 games. The missing offense is still a mystery, but it is still there along with their starting pitching and now the pen is chiming in. Washington will be dangerous in the postseason. The Nats have gone 36-22 on the road and have scored 5.41 rpg and have allowed 4.41 rpg in those games. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for the Nationals in this one and he has gone 12-5 with a 2.25 ERA in 24 starts in the year, including 0-0 with a 2.40 ERA in his last three starts and 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA in 13 starts on the road. Scherzer has gone 21-11 with a 3.59 ERA in 21 50 games (48 starts) in August and he has gone 3-2 with a 2.34 ERA in nine career starts against the Padres, including 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA in four starts here at Petco.

Washington has been a very good offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.36 rpg, while also ranking 2nd in hitting at .274 and 5th in homers with 176. On the mound they have been solid so far this year as they come in ranked 8th in the league in ERA at 4.00, while also ranking 5th in WHIP at 1.25.

San Diego Completes A Sweep Of The Phillies

Not a ton to get excited out as the Phillies are the worst team, but still, a sweep is a sweep and the Padres have now won eight of their last 10 games here at home. They outscored the Phillies 18-8 in the three-game series. Their task is much tough in this one as they will be facing the team with the 2nd best record in the National League, so they better cherish the sweep they just had. In their finale against the Phillies, they got a great outing from Clayton Richard, who pitched a complete-game shutout in the 3-0 win. He allowed just three hits in the game to improve to 6-12 with a 4.84 ERA on the year. It was his 2nd complete game of the year and his 6th in his career, while the shutout was just his 3rd of his career. The Padres have gone 32-27 at home, so they are no easy out here. Getting the nod for the Padres in this one will be Luis Perdomo and he has gone 6-7 with a 4.95 ERA in 21 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts and 4-2 with a 5.14 ERA in 11 starts here at home. Perdomo has gone 3-5 with a 4.21 ERA in eight career starts during the month of August and he is 8-7 with a 5.79 ERA in 26 games (18 starts) here at Petco in his career, while against the Nationals he is 1-1 with a 3.46 ERA in two starts.

The Padres have not been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.88 rpg, while also ranking 30th in hitting at .235 and 15th in homers with 140. On the mound they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in ERA at 4.69, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.36.

Trends

Washington is:

  • 17-7 in their last 24 vs. the National League West
  • 21-6 in Scherzers last 27 starts vs. a team with a losing record

San Diego is:

  • 1-5 in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600
  • 1-6 in Perdomo’s last seven starts vs. a team with a winning record

The Padres have been a sneaky home team this year and they have won eight of their last 10 games at Petco, while the Nationals are 36-22 on the road, which is the 2nd best road mark in the league. The Padres had a pitching advantage in game one with Chacin going against Jackson, but the Nats have a huge edge in this one with Max Scherzer, going up against Luis Perdomo. Scherzer has been very tough on the road as he is 8-2 with a 1.79 ERA in 13 starts away from home and he has a 1.96 ERA in four career starts in this park. He is 1-1 in those games. Luis Perdomo has struggle this year, especially of late as he is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts and while he is 4-2 at home, he has a 5.14 ERA in those games, That’s hard to do in this park. Washington has all the edges in this game and will get their offense going against Perdomo, so look for them to win this one easily.

Pick: Washington -1.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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