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Phillies vs. Giants,
8-18-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#911 Philadelphia
Phillies
#912 San Francisco
Giants

Friday, August 18, 2017 at 10:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
Z. EFLIN

43 - 76

1
W's
4
L's
5.92
ERA
1.38
WHIP

San Francisco Giants
M. MOORE

49 - 74

3
W's
12
L's
5.71
ERA
1.56
WHIP

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Philadelphia Phillies (43-75 SU, 60-58 RL, 52-57-9 O/U) vs San Francisco Giants (48-74 SU, 50-72 RL, 57-54-11 O/U)

When: 10:15 PM EDT, Friday, August 18, 2017

Where: AT&T Park in San Francisco, California

Lines: San Francisco -149/ Philadelphia +139

Total: 8.5

Major League Baseball action on Friday evening and the Philadelphia Phillies will rumble with the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park in game two of their four-game series. The Giants have won seven of the last eight games between these teams played here at AT&T Park. Pitching Probables. The Phillies will trot out Zach Eflin (1-4, 5.76 ERA) in this one and the Giants will counter with Matt Moore (3-12, 5.71 ERA).

Phillies Gets Swept In San Diego

The Philadelphia Phillies started out playing well in the 2nd half of the season as they won 11 of their first 17 post-break games, but now they are back to clearly being the worst team in the League. The Phillies have now lost their last four games in a row after getting swept in San Diego and six of their last seven. They have the worst record in the league and have gone just 19-44 on the road, which is also the worst mark in the league. The have made some moves this year to help strengthen their farm system, so better days are a head for the Phillies. They just must get more offense if they hope to start competing again for division title. They have been one of the worst offensive teams in the league the last few years and have averaged just 3.73 rpg on the road so far. A series in this park may not help that offense at all. Toeing the rubber for the Phillies tonight will be Zach Eflin and he has gone 1-4 with a 5.76 ERA in 10 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts and 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in five starts out on the road. Eflin has gone 3-2 with a 3.34 ERA in five career starts in August and he will be facing the Padres for the first time in his career. He is 4-8 with a 5.65 ERA in 21 career starts overall, including 3-4 with a 5.59 ERA in 12 career starts on the road.

The Phillies have been a bad offensive team so far as they come in ranked 29th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.93 rpg, while also ranking 22nd in hitting at .246 and 28th in homers with 118. On the mound they have been a bit below average as they come in ranked 19th in the league in ERA at 4.54, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.39.

Another Troubling Outing From Matt Cain

The San Francisco Giants have been one of the worst teams in the league this year and it hasn’t been any better of late as they have won just two of their last six games, after taking four of their five previous ones. Inconsistency at the plate and on the mound has led to their demise this year. The pitching has been particularly troubling for this team and a big part of that has been Matt Cain and he had another rough outing in an 8-1 loss at Miami on Wednesday after. In that game he allowed five ERs on five hits in just four innings of work to fall to just 3-10 with a 5.19 ERA on the year. The Giants may have to start thinking out moving him to the pen next year. San Francisco has gone just 27-32 here at home and they have averaged just 3.80 rpg and have allowed 4.22 rpg in those games. Another pitcher having a rough year is tonight’s starter Matt Moore, who has gone just 3-12 with a 5.71 ERA in 24 starts on the year, including 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA on the road and 2-8 with a 4.83 ERA in 12 starts here at home. Moore has gone 5-7 with a 3.69 ERA in 16 career starts in August and he is 6-20 with a 4.27 ERA in 18 career starts here at AT&T Park, while against the Phillies he has gone 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in three starts.

The Giants have been a very poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 28th in the league in scoring, putting up just 3.98 rpg, while also ranking 24th in hitting at .246 and 30th in homers with 96. On the mound they have been below average so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in ERA at 4.52 while also ranking 24th in WHIP at 1.41.

Trends

Philadelphia is:

  • The Under is 5-1 in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400
  • The Under is 8-3 in their last 11 vs. the National League West

San Francisco is:

  • The Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter
  • The Under is 8-2-2 in Moore’s last 12 home starts

The Phillies are a bad team, but the Giants have not been that much better this year, this should be an interesting series between a couple of teams that are going nowhere. Both teams have really struggled on the mound this and both starters in this game have struggled, but this will not be a high-scoring game as they offense have been very poor this year and this is a pitcher’s park, especially at night.  Matt Moore may have a 4.83 ERA at home, but still his home starts have averaged just 6.33 rpg and a big reason is the fact that his mates have averaged just 1.92 rpg for him at home. That should help Zach Eflin out, who has a 4.50 ERA on the road so far. The Phillies have averaged just 3.23 runs per nine off of lefties on the road, while the Giants have averaged just 3.80 at home overall and just 4.04 runs per nine at home against righties. Take the Under in this one.

Pick: Under 8.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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