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Blue Jays vs. Cubs,
8-19-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#975 Toronto
Blue Jays
#976 Chicago
Cubs

Saturday, August 19, 2017 at 2:20pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Toronto Blue Jays
N. TEPESCH

59 - 63

1
W's
2
L's
5.25
ERA
1.92
WHIP

Chicago Cubs
J. QUINTANA

64 - 57

7
W's
10
L's
4.33
ERA
1.27
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Toronto Blue Jays (59-62) vs. Chicago Cubs (63-57)

MLB Baseball:  Saturday August 19th, 2:20 pm EST

Nick Tepesch (1-2, 5.25 ERA) vs. Jose Quintana (7-10, 4.33 ERA)

Line:  Chicago Cubs -250/Toronto +210

The Blue Jays play the middle game of a three game series in Chicago over the weekend.  The Blue Jays have been playing well, having won five of six and they are only three games out of the final wild card spot.  They took three of four to start the week over the Rays, winning 6-4 in the final series game on Thursday.  They are in last place in the AL East, but still very much in the playoff race.  Don’t see that very often.

The Cubs are coming off of a wild 13-10 loss at the hands of the Cincinnati Reds, which dropped their lead in the NL Central to a game over the Brewers and a game and a half over the Cardinals.  With their considerable talent, it’s really amazing that the Cubs haven’t run away with the division.  World Series hangover indeed.

Tepesch loks for second win

Nick Tepesch will be looking for his second win of the year on Saturday, in what is only his fourth start.  He lost his first two starts, giving up six earned runs in only six innings.  Of course, one of those starts was with Minnesota before the Blue Jays acquired  him via trade.  He pitched his best game of the year in his latest, going six innings and allowing only four hits and one earned run in getting the win.

On the year, he is now 1-2 with an ERA of 5.25.  His other numbers are even worse.  His WHIP is an astronomical 1.92 and batters are  hitting well over .300 against him.  This is only his fourth start, so I’m willing to give him the benefit of the doubt.  It’s a big game too with the Blue Jays surging.

Quintana goes for the Cubs

Jose Quintana gets the call for the Cubs on Saturday.  He’s been pretty up and down since being traded across town from the White Sox to the Cubs in early July.  He’s had three good starts and three poor starts.  He’s come away with that with a 3-2 record and an ERA of 3.86.  Solid stuff, but hardly spectacular.  His WHIP is 1.27 and batters are hitting .238 against him.

His last start was his third win of the year.  He pitched five innings, giving up four hits and only one earned run.  The Cubs pulled him after five as they put up 15 runs on that day, and didn’t need to extend their starter.  With off years by Lester, Lackey, and Hendricks, Quintana will be big once the postseason starts, assuming the Cubs make it.

MLB Trends:

The Toronto Blue Jays are:

  • 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games.
  • 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.

The Chicago Cubs are:

  • 3-8 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
  • 2-5 in their last 7 interleague home games.

The Blue Jays are hot, they play well agains the National League Central, and they play well in inter league, going 8-1 over their last nine.  Let’s take them at a price to upset the Cubs on Saturday.

Pick: Toronto

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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