Milwaukee Brewers (63-59; 57-59-6 O/U) vs. Colorado Rockies (67-54; 51-64-6 O/U)
MLB: Saturday, August 19, 2017 at 8:10pm EST
Line: Colorado -164/Milwaukee +154
The Colorado Rockies will clash with the Milwaukee Brewers as the clubs continue a three game series Saturday night from Coors Field. The Brewers will give the nod to 24-year old right-hander Brandon Woodruff, and the Rockies will counter with 28-year old right-hander Chad Bettis. The Rockies own a 3-1 lead in the season series.
Woodruff Solid Through Two Career Starts
Brandon Woodruff will make his third start of the season, aiming for his second win. Woodruff was solid in his second career start ten days ago, limiting the Twins to only two runs in 5.2 innings and finished with the no decision in a game the Brewers lost. The rookie right-hander fired 6.1 shutout innings against the Rays in his Major League debut earlier this month. Woodruff posted a 4.46 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in 74.2 innings in the Minors before being called up. Manny Pina is looking good at the plate, collecting seven RBI’s over his last five games. The 30-year old catcher is having a solid season, sporting a .290 average with nine home runs and 39 RBI’s in 82 games. Pina is 2 for 6 with one RBI against the Rockies this season. The Brewers have won four straight heading into Friday’s action.
The Brewers are scoring an average of 4.63 runs per game, ranking them 18th in the Majors, and are hitting .251 as a team. The Milwaukee pitching has been solid, sporting a 4.15 team ERA, placing them 11th in the Major Leagues.
Bettis Shines in Season Debut
Chad Bettis will make his second start of the season, looking to pick up where he left off in his season debut. Bettis tossed seven shutout innings against the Braves five days ago, and finished with the no decision in a game the Rockies won. The veteran right-hander had a subpar 2016 season, posting a 4.79 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP accompanied with a 14-8 record. He has silenced the Brewers in his three career starts, allowing only six runs (five earned) to go with a 2-1 record in 18 innings. Mark Reynolds has been very productive against the Brewers this season, notching a hit in 7 of 15 at bats with two home runs and six RBI’s. The 10-year veteran first baseman is having an outstanding season, currently hitting .280 with 25 home runs and 81 RBI’s. Reynolds is heating up again, driving in six runs over his last four games.
The Rockies potent offense is currently averaging 5.23 runs per game, good for third in the Majors, and own a .275 team batting average. The Colorado pitching has been subpar, carrying a 4.63 team ERA, placing them 21st in the Major Leagues.
The Milwaukee Brewers are:
- under is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record.
- under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.
- under is 21-7-2 in their last 30 games against a right-handed starter.
The Colorado Rockies are:
- under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against the Brewers.
- under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record.
- under is 8-1 in Bettis’ last 9 starts overall.
I am taking the under in this one. Bettis was flawless in his season debut, hurling seven scoreless innings, and he has only conceded six runs in 18 career innings against the Brewers. In addition, Woodruff has been sharp in his first two career starts, allowing only two runs in 12 innings, so I am confident he can at least limit the damage. The Rockies have scored four or fewer runs in nine out of their last ten games, so I am confident taking the under.