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Reds vs. Braves,
8-19-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#955 Cincinnati
Reds
#956 Atlanta
Braves

Saturday, August 19, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Cincinnati Reds
R. STEPHENSON

52 - 71

0
W's
2
L's
5.28
ERA
1.63
WHIP

Atlanta Braves
J. TEHERAN

54 - 66

7
W's
10
L's
5.05
ERA
1.4
WHIP

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Cincinnati Reds (51-71 SU, 62-60 RL, 67-50-5 O/U) vs Atlanta Braves (54-65 SU, 63-56 RL, 62-53-4 O/U)

When: 7:10 PM EDT, Saturday, August 19, 2017

Where: SunTrust Park in Atlanta, Georgia

Lines: Atlanta -138/ Cincinnati +128

Total: 9.5

Tonight on the MLB diamond, and the National League Central will grapple with the National League East as the Cincinnati Reds take on the Atlanta Braves in game two of their three-game series from SunTrust Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Pitching Probables: Robert Stephenson (0-4, 6.64 ERA) will toe the slab for the Reds in this one and the Braves will counter with Julio Teheran (7-10, 4.98 ERA).

Reds Hang 13 Runs On The Cubs

The Chicago Cubs are not the same team they were a year ago, but still, the Cubs shouldn’t have a four-game split at home to a Cincinnati team that is just horrible on the road and 20 games under .500 for the year overall. This is a bad team, but they did make it tough on a Cubs team that is fighting for a National League Central title. In the finale against the cubs, the Reds stormed out to a 9-0 lead in the 2nd, but then their pitching went away and the Cubs tied the game in the 5th. It was nearly a monumental collapse by the Reds, but they went ahead for good in the 7th and eventually won the game 13-10. Their offense has been good for much of the year, but teams always have a chance against them as their pitching is the worst in the league right now and that will have to be addressed in the offseason or they will have another long year. The Reds are 22-40 on the road and they have averaged 4.48 rpg and have allowed 5.73 rpg in those games. Toeing the rubber for the Reds in this one will be Robert Stephenson and he has gone 0-4 with a 6.64 ERA in 17 games on the year overall, including 0-2 with a 5.28 ERA in three games as a starter. Stephenson has gone 2-5 with a 5.85 ERA in 11 career starts overall and he will be facing the Braves for the first time in his career.

Cincinnati has been a bit above average on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 13th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.74 rpg, while also ranking 17th in hitting at .255 and 8th in homers with 173. On the mound they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in ERA at 5.34, while also ranking 28th in WHIP at 1.46.

Braves Split A Four-Game Series In Colorado

The Atlanta Braves also come off a four-games split on the road and theirs was also against a playoff contender. The Colorado Rockies are sitting atop the wildcard standings with the Arizona and their lead is 4.5 over the St Louis Cardinals, so the braves did them no favors when they took two of the four games played. The Low point in that series was a 17-2 loss in game three, while the high-point was a 10-4 win in the finale. Ender Inciarte had the big game with two homers (9th & 10Th), two RBIs, two walks and three runs scored, while also going deep was Freddie Freeman (22nd) and Tyler Flowers (10th). Getting the win in the game was Lucas Sims, which was his first career win. He allowed just two ERs on five hits in five innings of work to move to 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA in his first four career starts. The Braves have gone 26-30 at home and have averaged just 4.23 rpg and have allowed 5.27 rpg in those games. Getting the nod for the Braves in this one will be Julio Teheran and he has gone 7-10 with a 4.98 ERA in 24 starts on the year, including 0-1 with a 4.24 ERA in his last three starts and 1-8 with a 7.07 ERA in 12 starts here at home. Teheran has gone 11-6 with a 4.00 ERA in 23 career starts in August and he has gone 3-2 with a 3.62 ERA in six starts against the Reds. He was 24-16 with a 3.02 ERA in 70 games (68 starts) in his career at Turner Field.

Atlanta has been a bit below average on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 20th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.54 rpg, while also ranking 11th in hitting at .259 and 26th in homers with 125. On the mound they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 26th in the league in ERA at 4.78 while also ranking 25th in WHIP at 1.41.

Trends

Cincinnati is:

  • The Over is 11-1 in their last 12 on grass
  • The Over is 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a right-handed starter

Atlanta is:

  • The Over is 7-3 in Teheran’s last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record
  • The Over is 5-1 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter

The Braves and reds will not be going to the postseason this year, but that doesn’t mean that these teams can’t play some fun baseball. The Reds Will send out Robert Stephenson, who has been a horrible starter in his career was a 5.85 ERA in 11 career starts and the Braves should be able to get their struggling offense going, especially in this park. The Braves will send out Julio Teheran and he has really struggled at home with a 7.07 ERA and will be facing a hot Reds offense that has averaged 6.70 rpg in their last 10 games. This is a hitters park and both pitchers should struggle as we see no less than 12 runs scored.

Pick: Over 9.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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