The Baltimore Orioles (61-57) will host the Boston Red Sox (59-60) on Friday in the opening matchup of a three-game series. The Orioles hold a 5 to 4 advantage in the season series.
Red Sox have let down in PittsburghThe Red Sox are still in playoff contention, but there isn't much room for error as they are five games out of a Wild Card spot and also have the Twins, Orioles, and White Sox all ahead of them on the outside looking in. After winning three straight games, the Red Sox didn't show up on Thursday until the eighth inning, losing 8-2 to the Pirates.
Doubling down. pic.twitter.com/Y5bfaCNlNG— Red Sox (@RedSox) August 18, 2022
The Red Sox are 12th in MLB averaging 4.5 runs per game, and 19th with 112 home runs. Rafael Devers leads the team with 25 home runs and 63 RBI. Pitching has not been a strength for Boston, ranking 25th with a 4.33 ERA.
Kutter Crawford (3-4, 4.18 ERA) will start for the Red Sox on Friday. He is 2-2 with a 4.30 ERA in 10 road games this season. Crawford's only appearance against Baltimore this season came in relief on May 1, when he allowed one hit, a walk, and two runs, without recording an out.
Will Cinderella make it to the ball?After going 3-4 during a seven-game road trip, the Orioles returned home on Thursday and fell short in a 3-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. The Orioles' offense did not wake up until the bottom of the eighth inning, when they scored twice. The Orioles had the tying run on third with one out but failed to score after Ryan Mountcastle was thrown out at home on a fielder's choice. In the bottom of the ninth, the Orioles got runners on first and second with one out, but Hays lined into a double play to end the game.
The Orioles have the best record in the AL East since May 17th, put some damn respect on their name pic.twitter.com/pB5xzkXgUa— Talkin’ Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) August 19, 2022
The Orioles now trail the Toronto Blue Jays and Tampa Bay Rays by three games in the race for the final Wild Card spot. Minnesota is also one game ahead of Baltimore in the first spot out.
The Orioles are 19th in MLB averaging 4.2 runs per game, and 16th with 120 home runs. The pitching staff is 16th with a 3.92 ERA. Jordan Lyles (9-9, 4.48 ERA) will make the start on Friday. Lyles is 4-2 with a 2.73 ERA at home this season. In two starts against the Red Sox this year, Lyles is also 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA.
Best Bets for this Game
Full-Game Side Bet
This season series has been close to even, with the Orioles holding a one-game edge. The Orioles do have the starting pitching and bullpen advantage in this game when considering how well Lyles has performed at home this season. Speaking of home, the Orioles have won 20 of their last 27 games at Camden Yards, and they are also 10-2 in their last 12 games overall following a loss. The Red Sox are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games against winning clubs. I will back the Orioles here.
Full-Game Total Pick
The Orioles have held their opponents to four runs or less in 10 of the last 11 starts made by Jordan Lyles, and the Red Sox have allowed four runs or less in four of the last five starts made by Kutter Crawford. The under has also cased in Crawford's last four starts against a team with a winning record, and in seven of the last eight head-to-head games between these teams played in Baltimore. The total here seems a little too high.