Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#4907 San Francisco Giants vs.
#4908 Colorado Rockies
Friday, August 19, 2022 at 8:40pm EDT
Written by Nathaniel Reeves

This article covers a past game!

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NL West rivals will begin a three-game series on Friday night when the San Francisco Giants visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. San Francisco has a lot of work to do in the Wild Card race at 59-59 after splitting a four-game set with the Arizona Diamondbacks including a 5-0 defeat on Thursday as a -148 favorite. Colorado was swept by the St. Louis Cardinals in three games including a 13-0 beatdown on Thursday as a +229 underdog, remaining well out of contention at 51-69.

The Giants have doubled up the Rockies with a 6-3 advantage in the season series thus far.

Giants stuck at .500 after split

San Francisco isn't making much ground up in the NL Wild Card race and settled for a four-game split with Arizona after winning the first two contests. The offense managed four hits in Thursday's finale, finishing 0-4 with runners in scoring position an a rough effort.

Logan Webb had one of his worst outings of the year, allowing five runs (three earned) on nine hits and three walks in 4.2 innings, failing to record a strikeout. Evan Longoria had a multi-hit game including a double to pace the offense.

“The stuff wasn’t great, but I thought I was competing,” Webb said to MLB.com. “They’ve got a sneaky good lineup, honestly. [The D-backs are the] lowest in chase rate in baseball. I’ve got to figure something out against them.”

The Giants are down a huge number on the money line as they have fallen short of expectations while going 53-65 on the run line. Overs are 58-55-5 for the Giants, with each of their last four games going under the betting total.

Despite Thursday's effort, the Giants are eighth in scoring at 4.54 runs per game on a .717 team OPS. San Francisco pitching is only middle of the pack with a 3.91 ERA including a mark of 4.42 from a bullpen that has fallen way off from last year.

Joc Pederson has proven to be a nice free agent addition, posting an .820 OPS with 17 homers and 46 driven in. Wilmer Flores has also hit well with a .782 OPS, 16 homers and 58 driven in.

Alex Wood will make his 24th start of the year, having gone 8-9 with a 4.18 ERA and strong 119:27 K:BB ratio over 118.1 innings. The 31-year-old went six innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday, allowing three runs on five hits and one walk while piling up nine strikeouts.

Third baseman Colton Welker is recovering from shoulder surgery. Starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani is out due to ankle surgery. Relievers Mauricio Llovera (strained flexor), Jose Alvarez (elbow inflammation) and Sam Delaplane (Tommy John surgery) are sidelined.

Rockies demolished by Cardinals as injuries mount

With starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela and outfielder Charlie Blackmon both leaving Thursday's game against the Cardinals, the Rockies suffered an ugly sweep as they were outscored 23-5 over three games. The offense managed only three hits without getting a runner into scoring position, as the game was decided in the first inning.

Senzatela went just 1.2 innings before leaving, allowing five runs on six hits while striking out two. Rookie Wynton Bernard recorded a hit in a rare bright spot for the Rockies.

The Rockies are down a fair amount on the money line for the season while going a strong 64-56 on the run line. Overs are 58-57-5 for the Rockies after two of their last three games went over the betting total.

Colorado is in the top 10 offensively at 4.51 runs per game on a .730 combined OPS, although its home park has a big impact on that. The Rockies haven't fared well at all on the mound, ranking third-worst with a 5.03 ERA including a mark of 4.75 from a poor bullpen.

C.J. Cron has been Colorado's best hitter all season, posting an .827 OPS with 23 homers and 80 driven in. Brendan Rodgers has also picked things up, batting .285/.338/.434 with 56 RBI and 59 runs scored.

Jose Urena will make his 13th appearance and ninth start of the season, having gone 1-4 with a 4.80 ERA across 50.2 innings between the Milwaukee Brewers and Rockies. The 30-year-old took the loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks last Saturday, allowing four runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out five across six innings.

Huge free agent acquisition Kris Bryant hasn't played much due to plantar fasciitis, while catcher Elias Diaz (sprained wrist) and outfielder Yonathan Daza (sprained shoulder) are also on the IL. The rotation is down Chad Kuhl (strained hip flexor), Helcris Olivarez (strained shoulder) and Ryan Rolison (shoulder surgery).  Relievers Jhoulys Chacin (toe), Alex Colome (elbow discomfort), Tyler Kinley (strained elbow) and Scott Oberg (blood clot) are also out.

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For all their issues in another rebuilding season, the Rockies are still 33-30 at home and almost always end up as a profitable bet year after year at Coors Field. San Francisco pitching just hasn't found the same level of success as in its magical 2021 run, and things won't get any easier in the high altitude of Denver.

There's been a lot of positives for Wood this year, but he ultimately only has a 106 ERA- and got hit hard in his lone outing at Coors Field this year back in May. Perhaps of even more concern is a Giants bullpen that has the fifth-worst ERA in baseball with few reliable options outside of flamethrowing closer Camilo Doval.

Colorado's offense is miserable on the road, but takes advantage of the favorable conditions at Coors Field with a league-best .804 OPS. This will be a challenge for a struggling Giants pitching staff, and the Rockies typically have good value as this much of an underdog at home.

Prediction: Rockies +145

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Urena is effectively an innings eater at this point with just an 0.4 K-BB%, and walking opposing batters at Coors Field is always going to lead to a lot of trouble. Colorado's bullpen also has the second-worst ERA in the bigs, and is currently dealing with injuries to some of its better arms to make matters worse.

The Giants have remained strong at the plate with a 104 wRC+ thanks to their strong home run totals, and this powerful lineup should hit it over the fence plenty at Coors Field. With two shaky pitching staffs going at it in the most hitter-friendly park in the game, expect a high-scoring one here.

Prediction: Over 11.5 (-110)
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Written By Nathaniel Reeves , "Nathaniel Reeves"

Nathaniel Reeves is an avid sports fan with degrees in journalism from the University of Washington and statistics from Western Washington University. He's always had a passion for applying statistical analysis to sports betting and has successfully handicapped college football, college basketball, and Esports for years. Nathaniel has endured being a lifelong fan of the Seattle Mariners, along with the Seattle Seahawks, UW Huskies and soon to be Seattle Kraken. He has been a very successful sports bettor the last several years and we are thrilled that Nate has chosen to bring his talents to us here at Winners & Whiners. You would be very wise to follow him daily. 
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