Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#905 New York Mets 10.5 vs.
#906 Atlanta Braves -120
Sunday, August 2, 2020 at 1:10pm EDT
Written by Nick Raffoul

This article covers a past game!

View upcoming games.

The New York Mets will close out their National League East series clash versus the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park on Sunday afternoon.

Atlanta has yet to close a series yet this season. The Braves opened the year by stealing two of three on the road at Citi Field against the Mets before salvaging the final two games of their four-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays. Atlanta took Saturday's contest 7-1 to take a 2-0 series lead.

Peterson comes one out away from quality start in debut

The Mets led by as many as six runs but the bullpen imploded late to send New York to a disappointing 11-10 loss on Friday night. The loss was New York’s third consecutive defeat and its fifth in seven games. However, scoring runs hasn’t been an issue for the Mets, who lead the MLB with a .266 team batting average. They are also tied for 11th in the MLB in runs scored (37) and home runs (10) so far this season.

Mets manager Luis Rojas will have to do a better job of managing his bullpen. Instead of locking down victories, the Mets’ relievers have made a habit of giving up runs. New York ranks 27th in the MLB with a bullpen ERA of 7.09 and the bullpen has stranded a league-low 57.2 percent of runners on base so far this season.

Left-hander David Peterson will toe the rubber in the series finale at SunTrust Park on Sunday afternoon. The 24-year-old enters with a 1-0 overall record to go along with a 3.18 ERA after limiting the Boston Red Sox to just two runs in 5 ⅔ frames. Peterson cruised through the minor leagues before earning a spot on the Opening Day roster. In 24 Double-A starts last season, he posted a 4.19 ERA and 3.19 FIP. He also had solid peripherals, posting a healthy 9.47 K/9 and 2.87 BB/9.

Wright struggling to command fastball at MLB level

The Braves used a five-run eighth inning to push their current winning streak to three games on Friday night. Former Mets catcher Travis d’Arnaud drove in five runs, including a bases-clearing double in the decisive fifth inning to help cap off the rally.

Atlanta is scheduled to counter with right-hander Kyle Wright, who struggled in his 2020 debut. After cruising through two innings, the wheels completely fell off for Wright, who allowed five runs before being chased with two outs in the third inning. The Braves’ righty zoomed through the minor leagues by exhibiting tremendous command of his arsenal but he hasn’t enjoyed the same success at the MLB level. In 12 career MLB games (five starts), Wright owns an unspectacular 8.58 ERA and has walked nearly as many batters (22) as he has struck out (26) in 28 ⅓ innings of work.

Wright will need to have a short memory to capitalize on his second turn through the starting rotation. He owns an 0-1 record and a 14.73 ERA against New York coming into this matchup. In his only career start against the Mets, he allowed six earned runs on eight hits and four walks in just 3 ⅔ frames in 2019.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Both of Sunday’s starters cruised through the minor league ranks but Wright has struggled since joining the Big Leagues. Wright’s struggles have mostly been due to his fastball command, or lack thereof, which could become a major issue for him. If he can’t consistently control his heater, he’s going to have a tough time setting up his best putaway pitch -- a top-notch slider. Meanwhile, Peterson nearly put together a quality start in his MLB debut and the lefty should enter Sunday’s series finale with a little bit of added confidence. The Mets will also be seeking some revenge after squandering a six-run lead in the series opener on Friday night. Look for New York to salvage the series with the victory on the road in Atlanta on Sunday afternoon. 

Prediction: New York Mets

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

Neither of Sunday’s starters have a lot of MLB experience. Peterson had never pitched above the Double-A level prior to his debut earlier this week while Wright has made a combined five starts over the past few seasons combined. With that being said, it’s hard to expect either of these youngsters to complete more than five or six innings of work. New York’s bullpen has struggled to shut the door late in games, allowing a 7.09 ERA so far this season. That should open up a few scoring opportunities late in this one. Look for this game to go over the projected total on Sunday afternoon.

Prediction: Over
Loading...

Written By Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with an Honors in Business Administration, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to investing in the performance of sports teams. And has now joined our team here at Winners & Whiners. Nick uses a combination of advanced stats and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits. Let Nick win for you.