Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#901 Tampa Bay Rays -180 vs.
#902 Baltimore Orioles 10
Sunday, August 2, 2020 at 1:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles will conclude a three-game AL East set Sunday afternoon from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Rays will give the starting nod to 26-year old right-hander Yonny Chirinos, and the Orioles will respond with 33-year old right-hander Tommy Milone. Baltimore came through with a 6-3 win in Friday's series opener. They also beat the Rays on Saturday night 5-4 in 11 innings. They go for the sweep on Sunday.

Chirinos Stellar in First Start, Aims for Fifth Career Win vs. O's

Yonny Chirinos will be on the hill, eying his second victory of the season. Chirinos was sharp in his season debut on Tuesday night, limiting a terrific Braves lineup to one run (zero earned) in five innings in a game the Rays won 4-1. The third-year right-hander has quietly produced outstanding numbers with the Rays. He tallied a 3.85 ERA and a sharp 1.05 WHIP accompanied by a 9-5 record in 133.1 innings pitched last season. Chirinos held the Orioles to five runs in 19.1 innings in 2019 and stands at 4-2 with a 3.21 ERA in 33.2 career innings against the AL East foes.

The Rays do not have any big stars, but they have benefited from a steady contribution from their entire lineup. Brandon Lowe is thriving, sporting a .300 average with six RBI’s on the season, and also owns a 1.01 OPS. The 26-year old third baseman hit a solid .308 with five RBI’s in 26 at-bats against the Orioles in 2019.

Tampa Bay rebounded from their season-opening loss to the Blue Jays by winning four consecutive games which included a four-game series split against a good Braves team, but have since dropped three straight games heading into Saturday. They are well managed and have a strong pitching staff.

The Rays stand 10 overall with an average of 5.13 runs on the season. They are sporting a 3.60 team ERA, good for 10th in all of baseball.

Milone Roughed Up in O's Debut, Makes Second Start

Baltimore will give the nod to Tommy Milone in the series finale. Milone was roughed up in his season debut on opening day, squandering four runs across three innings against the Red Sox. The veteran left-hander joins the Orioles after spending last year with the Mariners. He struggled, logging a 4.76 ERA although he did register a strong 1.12 WHIP. The Rays hit Milone hard in 2019 as he has squandered nine runs in nine innings, and stands at 3-4 with an awful 6.75 ERA in 38.2 career innings against Tampa Bay.

Watch for Renato Nunez in this one. The 26-year old first baseman was able to get to the Rays tough pitching last year, earning a .319 average with 10 RBI’s in 69 at-bats, and posted two base hits in Friday's win. Nunez has tallied three RBI’s along with a .250 average so far this season.

Baltimore was able to come away with a series win at Fenway Park in their first series which was followed by two postponed games. They were swept in a mini two-game series against the Yankees this week.

The Orioles are averaging a solid 5.17 runs per game, ranking them ninth overall. They bring an awful 6.45 ERA into this one, placing them 29th in the Majors.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am backing the Rays in this clash. Rays' starter Yonny Chirinos held a potent Braves lineup to only one run in his first start and he quietly enjoyed a fantastic 2019 season highlighted by a 3.85 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. The right-hander stifled the Orioles last season, limiting them to only five runs in 19.1 innings which equates to a stellar 2.33 ERA.

Furthermore, the Rays’ offense has been solid through the first week of the season and they should be able to get to a vulnerable Tommy Milone.  The right-hander served up four runs in three innings against the Red Sox in his lone action last weekend.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Full-Game Total Pick

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I expect this total to go over. The Orioles pitching staff is among the worst in the Majors and starter Tommy Milone won’t go deep into the game. Baltimore’s bullpen has also been exploited as they stand 25th in the Majors with an abysmal 5.86 ERA. The over is 3-0-1 in the O’s last four games overall entering Saturday.

In addition, while I expect a majority of the offense to come from the Rays, the O’s bats have been lively and have plated an average of five runs per game this season and scored six runs in Friday's win. The over is 6-0 in the Rays’ last six games in the third game of a series.

Prediction: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The over on the Rays team total is a solid play. The Rays feasted on the O’s pitching last season, averaging 5.25 runs in the 19 games and are well overdue for a big game at the plate against a subpar pitching staff. Moreover, Baltimore still owns a terrible 5.60 team ERA despite keeping the Rays' offense in check the last two games.

Prediction: Rays Team Total Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am going with Yonny Chirinos to record the win. Chirinos went 9-5 last season and he did not allow an earned run against the Braves in his first start. Also, he should receive a ton of run support from the offense against Tommy Milone who was roughed up in his first start, plus he posted a subpar 4.76 ERA in 2019.

Prediction: Yonny Chirinos to Record the Win
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.