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Angels vs. Orioles,
8-20-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#917 Los Angeles
Angels
#918 Baltimore
Orioles

Sunday, August 20, 2017 at 1:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Los Angeles Angels
P. BRIDWELL

63 - 60

7
W's
1
L's
3.03
ERA
1.13
WHIP

Baltimore Orioles
C. TILLMAN

60 - 63

1
W's
7
L's
8.1
ERA
2.04
WHIP

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Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (62-59 SU, 59-62 RL, 48-64-9 O/U) vs. Baltimore Orioles (59-62 SU, 61-60 RL, 61-57-3 O/U)

MLB: Sunday, August 20, 2017, Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland, 1:35 pm ET

Lines: Baltimore N/A, Anaheim N/A; Over/Under: N/A

It’s the conclusion of a three game series between a pair of teams in the American League playoff race in the Inner Harbor. The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim play the last of three games as they take on the Baltimore Orioles Sunday afternoon. Baltimore won the opening game of the series in walk-off fashion, 9-7, Friday night. The pitching matchup for Saturday’s middle game of the set saw J.C. Ramirez pitch for the Angels against Baltimore’s Kevin Gausman. First pitch in the contest was scheduled for 7:05 pm ET.

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Battling for Wild Card

Anaheim had their chances in Friday’s opener but couldn’t get the final three outs as they dropped the game in walk-off fashion. With the loss, the Angels fell into a tie with the Twins for the second wild card spot. Ben Revere (two runs) led the Angels with three hits while Albert Pujols (his 18th), Kole Calhoun (his 15th), C.J. Cron (his 10th), Kaleb Cowart (his second) and Mike Trout (his 24th) each homered in the loss. Andrew Heaney recorded a no-decision in his return from Tommy John surgery: he threw five innings, allowing five runs on seven hits with no walks and five strikeouts. Keynan Middleton (4-1) took the loss after allowing two runs on two hits without retiring a hitter.

The Angels are expected to send Parker Bridwell to the hill for his 13th appearance and 12th start of the season. He is 7-1 with a 2.88 ERA, a 1.167 WHIP, 17 walks and 44 strikeouts over 72 innings of work. Bridwell picked up the victory in his last start, which came Sunday on the road against the Mariners. He went six innings, allowing one run on four hits with one walk and two strikeouts in a 4-2 Angels victory. Bridwell is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP, four walks and 10 strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts. He beat the Orioles in his lone start against them, which came at home on August 8. He threw seven innings, allowing one run on six hits with no walks and four strikeouts in a 3-2 Anaheim triumph. Bridwell made one relief appearance at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, not factoring in the decision: he allowed one run on two hits with two strikeouts over two innings of work.

Baltimore Orioles Seek Series Victory

Baltimore got the last laugh in a game that saw the teams combine for 10 homers, winning in walk-off fashion Friday night. The Orioles climbed to within two games of the Angels and Twins for the second wild card spot. Manny Machado (three runs, seven RBI) did the damage with three homers, giving him 26 on the season: his grand slam in the ninth inning gave the Orioles the walk-off win. Mark Trumbo (his 19th) and Caleb Joseph (his eighth) also went deep in the win. Jeremy Hellickson recorded a no-decision after allowing seven runs on eight hits, including five homers, with no walks and two strikeouts over 4.2 innings. Darren O’Day (2-3) got the win in relief: he pitched 1.1 scoreless innings, allowing two hits with a strikeout.

Wade Miley takes the ball for his 26h start of the year for the Orioles. He is 6-10 with a 5.19 ERA, a 1.69 WHIP plus a league high 72 walks against 112 strikeouts in 126 innings of work. Miley took the loss in his last start, which came Tuesday on the road against the Mariners. He tossed 4.2 innings, allowing three runs on five hits with three walks and four strikeouts in an eventual 7-2 Orioles victory. He is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, nine walks and 16 strikeouts over 16.2 innings in his last three starts. Miley faces the Angels for the fourth time in his career in this contest: he is 2-0 with a 2.01 ERA and a 0.716 WHIP over 22.1 innings of work. He is 4-9 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.576 WHIP over 98.1 innings in his 20 career starts at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Trends:

Anaheim

  • Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record

Baltimore

  • Orioles are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record
  • Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Orioles are 9-2 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record

This one has major implications in the wild card race as these are two of the teams that are right in the midst of the crowded picture. Bridwell has been a major boost for the Angels’ battered rotation this season but one has to wonder if the league will start to catch up with him soon. The Orioles just faced him less than two weeks ago, giving them some familiarity with their former farmhand. We saw a wild game Friday night and there’s no reason to expect anything different here. Look for the Orioles to find a way to get the win and take the series.

Pick: Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore took the opener to make up some ground in the wild card race, which saw six teams within two games of the second wild card spot entering Saturday. There was power aplenty in the opener with each team cracking five homers. The Orioles can ill afford to allow Miley a long leash as he continues to hand out a slew of free passes. Bridwell has been good for the Angels but as he makes another pass through the league, perhaps hitters will start to pick up on his tendencies and take advantage of that knowledge. Time will tell on that front.

The under is 4-1 in the Angels’ last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games, 4-0 in Bridwell’s last 4 Sunday starts, 4-0-1 in Bridwell’s last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 5-0-1 in Bridwell’s last 6 starts on grass. Baltimore has seen the under go 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record and 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. The teams have stayed under the total in five of their last six meetings: expect this one, while plenty of power is displayed, stays just shy of the total.

Under

4

Chris Kubala

Christopher Kubala has been crunching stats and following sports for over 30 years. His in depth analysis and passion for sports have led him to writing books about sports, regularly being featured on sports talk radio and as the go-to person for any obscure trivia. He keeps an eye on transactions and statistics like a hawk, especially when it comes to football, both the NFL and college, the NHL, the NBA and college basketball and MLB.

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