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Mariners vs. Rays,
8-20-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#913 Seattle
Mariners
#914 Tampa Bay
Rays

Sunday, August 20, 2017 at 1:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
Y. GALLARDO

63 - 61

4
W's
8
L's
6.41
ERA
1.59
WHIP

Tampa Bay Rays
B. SNELL

60 - 65

1
W's
6
L's
4.89
ERA
1.52
WHIP

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Seattle Mariners (62-61 SU, 56-67 RL, 59-59-5 O/U) vs Tampa Bay Rays (60-64 SU, 61-63 RL, 61-60-3 O/U)

When: 1:10 PM EDT, Sunday, August 20, 2017

Where: Tropicana Field in Tampa, Florida

Lines: Tampa Bay -120/ Seattle +110

Total: 9

Sunday afternoon Major League Baseball action and the Seattle Mariners will invade Tropicana Field in Tampa, Florida to battle it out with the Tampa bay Rays in the final game of their three-game series. The Mariners have won the last five meetings between these teams. Pitching Probables: The Mariners will send out Yovani Gallardo (5-8, 5.84 ERA) and the Rays will counter with Blake Snell (1-6, 4.78 ERA).

Ramirez Gives The Mariners a Strong Six

The Seattle Mariners took a big game in game one of this series as they topped the Rays by a score of 7-1. Both the Mariners and the Rays are battling for a wildcard slot in the American League, so it was a huge win for the Mariners, who are now just a half a game out of that 2nd wildcard slot. Erasmo Ramirez started the year with the Rays, before getting traded to the Mariners and in game one he took on his old team and had a really strong showing as he allowed just one ER on two hits and two walks in 6.0 innings of work. He is now 1-1 with a 3.54 ERA in four starts as a member of the Mariners. Nelson Cruz had a solid day on offense as he had three hits, including his 30th homer, and he had two RBIs and scored three runs. The Mariners are now 28-29 on the road and have averaged 4.70 rpg and have allowed 5.18 rpg in those games. Toeing the Rubber for the Mariners will be Yovani Gallardo and he has gone 5-8 with a 5.84 ERA in 23 games (19 starts) on the year, including 0-1 with a 9.45 ERA in his last three starts and 3-4 with a 5.14 ERA in 10 games (nine starts) on the road. Gallardo has gone 24-16 with a 4.36 ERA in 50 career starts in August and 36-33 with a 4.01 ERA in 107 games (104 starts) in the daytime, while against the Rays he has gone 3-2 with a 4.71 ERA in seven starts, including 2-1 with a 2.82 ERA in four starts here at the Trop.

The Mariners have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.71 rpg, while also ranking 7th in hitting at .261 and 20th in homers with 142. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in ERA at 4.47 while also ranking 12th in WHIP at 1.30.

The Rays Are Sliding Out Of Contention

The Tampa Bay Rays are in trouble as far as making it to the postseason. After falling in game one, they have now lost 11 of their last 14 games to fall to 11.5 games out of first in the AL East and three games out of the 2nd wildcard slot. They are still in the wildcard race, but they are not looking at all like a team that will be able to make a run. The offense continues to be an issue for they as they have now averaged just 1.71 rpg over their last 14 games and they have been shutout five times over that stretch. If they don’t get their offense going, then they will continue to slide out of playoff contention. Their pitching has been very solid of late, but not good enough to overcome an offense that has averaged just 1.71 rpg of late. The Rays are 31-31 at home and they have averaged 4.21 rpg and have allowed 4.06 rpg in those games. The Rays will trot out Blake Snell in this one and he has gone 1-6 with a 4.78 ERA in 16 starts on the year, including 1-0 with a 4.41 ERA in his last three starts and 0-3 with a 4.37 ERA in six starts here at home. Snell has gone 7-14 with a 4.15 ERA in 35 career starts overall, including 1-5 with A 3.30 ERA in 11 day starts, while against the Mariners he is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA in one start. That start was here at home and it was his 2nd career start last year. He allowed one ER on eight hits in just 3.1 innings of work in a 6-4 loss.

Tampa Bay has been a bit below average on offense this year so far as they come in ranked 25th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.27 rpg, while also ranking 25th in hitting at .245 and 12th in homers with 167. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 9th in the league in ERA at 4.08, while also ranking 8th in WHIP at 1.28.

Trends

Seattle is:

  • 1-5 in their last six games on astroturf
  • 3-7 in Gallardo’s last 10 starts with five days of rest

Tampa Bay is:

  • 8-2 in their last 10 vs the Western Conference
  • 4-0 in Snells last four home starts vs. a team with a winning record

The Tampa Bay Rays are reeling right now, while the Mariners have gone the other way. The Rays have gone just 3-11 in their last 14 games and have averaged just 1.71 rpg over that stretch, but I feel that they can get their offense going some in this one against Yovani Gallardo, who is 0-1 with a 9.45 ERA in his last three starts and 3-4 with a 5.14 ERA on the road. He has pitched well in this park, but this won’t be a good start for him. The Rays will send out Blake Snell and while he has a 1-6 record on the year, we note that he has allowed more than three ERs just once in his last seven starts. He is in a bit better for than Gallardo and that should be enough to give him and the Rays an edge in this game.

Pick: Tampa bay -120

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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