Philadelphia Phillies (43-77; 54-57-9 O/U) vs. San Francisco Giants (50-74; 59-54-11 O/U)
MLB: Sunday, August 20, 2017 at 4:05pm EST
Line: San Francisco -222/Philadelphia +205
The San Francisco Giants will host the Philadelphia Phillies in the four game series finale Sunday afternoon from AT&T Park. The Phillies will send 25-year old right-hander Ben Lively to the hill, and the Giants will counter with 28-year old left-hander Madison Bumgarner. The Giants lead the season series 3-2.
Lively Returns to Phillies Rotation
Ben Lively will make his eighth start of the season, aiming for his second win. Lively last started with the Phillies back on July 5th and conceded four runs (two earned) in four innings to the Pirates, and took the loss. The rookie right-hander has looked good in his first taste of the Big Leagues, posting a 3.80 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP accompanied with a 1-4 record in 42.2 innings logged. He faced the Giants in his Major League debut in early June and was terrific, holding them two one run in seven innings and recorded the victory. Rhys Hoskins is off to a promising start to his Major League career, smashing three home runs along with five RBI’s in his first nine games played. The 24-year old rookie right-fielder is ranked as the Phillies number six prospect. Aaron Altherr, who has been one of the few bright spots for the Phillies, remains out of the lineup with a hamstring injury.
The Phillies weak offense is scoring an average of 3.92 runs per game, ranking them 29th in the Majors, and own a .246 team batting average. The Philadelphia pitching is carrying a 4.59 team ERA, positioning them 20th in the Major Leagues.
Bumgarner Targets Third Consecutive Win
Madison Bumgarner will take the hill for the 12th time of the season, seeking win number four. Bumgarner allowed four runs in six innings to Marlins in his previous start, and tallied the win to bring his record to 4-5. The Giants’ ace is looking good, boasting a terrific 2.99 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP to go with a 3-5 record in 72.1 innings of work. He has yet to face the Phillies this season and owns a 4-3 record with a 3.60 ERA in nine career starts against Philadelphia. Freddy Galvis is 3 for 15 against Bumgarner, while Cesar Hernandez is 3 for 9, and Maikel Franco is 5 for 11. Denard Span is having a productive week, driving in five runs along with 10 hits over his last five games. The 33-year old centerfielder is having a decent season, currently hitting .273 with eight home runs and 29 RBI’s. Span has recorded a hit in 11 of 23 at bats with two RBI’s against the Phillies this season.
The Giants are only averaging 4.03 runs per game, ranking them down at 28th in the Majors, and are hitting .247 as a team. The San Francisco pitching has been average, sporting a 4.50 team ERA, placing them 17th in the Major Leagues.
The Philadelphia Phillies are:
- under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 Sunday games.
- under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.
- under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games in the fourth game of a series.
The San Francisco Giants are:
- under is 4-1-1 in Bumgarner’s last 6 starts on four days of rest.
- under is 13-6-1 in their last 20 games in the fourth game of a series.
I am taking the under in this contest. Bumgarner has been excellent, allowing a total of only eight runs over his last five starts (32 innings), so he should have no problem silencing the low scoring Phillies. Furthermore, Lively has looked good in his time with the Phillies this season, allowing three or fewer earned runs in all but one of his seven starts, so I am confident he can contain the Giants bats.