Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#963 Kansas City Royals 10 vs.
#964 Baltimore Orioles -120
Tuesday, August 20, 2019 at 7:05pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Baltimore Orioles will host the Kansas City Royals in the second game of a three-game set Tuesday night from Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Royals will give the call to 25-year old right-hander Brad Keller, and the Orioles will hand the ball to 26-year old right-hander Dylan Bundy. This is the first series between these two foes this season, and the Royals won Monday’s series opener 5-4.

Keller Falls to Cardinals in Fourth Straight Loss

Brad Keller will make his 27th start of the season, looking to avoid his fifth straight defeat. Keller was solid in his latest effort, holding the Cardinals to three runs in six innings, and he was tagged with another loss to dip his record to 7-13. The second-year right-hander hasn’t been sharp recently, although he owns decent numbers, logging a 4.10 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP in 158 innings pitched on the season. Keller limited the Orioles to only two runs in eight innings in his lone career meeting last season.

Whit Merrifield has recorded several multi-hit games this month, and he now features a .302 average in August. The 30-year old second baseman is the Royals most consistent hitter, sporting a .300 average with 14 homers and 63 RBI’s on the season. Merrifield went a stellar 11 for 22 with four RBI’s against the Orioles last season.

The Royals offense has gone cold recently which includes a series loss to the Cardinals followed by another series loss to the Mets this past weekend. They are missing the presence of Adalberto Mondesi who remains on the IL.

The Royals are scoring an average of 4.27 runs on the year, placing them 28th in the Majors. The K.C. pitching staff is carrying a poor 4.98 team ERA, pegging them down at 23rd in the Major Leagues. The Royals are 20-41 on the road entering Monday’s play.

Bundy Shelled by Yankees, Drops to 5-13

Dylan Bundy will get the nod for the 24th time of the season in this one. Bundy was hit hard in his previous start, serving up six runs in 5.2 innings against the Yankees, resulting in the defeat to plummet his record to 5-13. The fifth-year right-hander pitched well in his first two starts of the month, and he holds a weak 5.25 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP in 120 innings of work on the year. Bundy has had trouble against the Royals in his career, posting a 1-1 record and a weak 5.66 ERA in 20.2 innings.  Hunter Dozier is 1 for 3 against Bundy, while Whi Merrifield is 2 for 9, and Jorge Soler is 1 for 3.

Hanser Alberto continues to reach base with consistency, recording a sizzling .368 batting average paired with a .965 OPS on the month. The 26-year old second baseman has been one of the few bright spots this season, hitting .319 with seven taters and 37 RBI’s. Alberto went 0 for 3 against the Royals last season.

The Orioles are close to falling into last place in the Majors. They have recorded 39 wins entering Monday, while the last-place Tigers have recorded 37 wins on the season. While no team wants to ‘tank’, the coveted first overall pick awaits the last place team.

The O’s are only averaging 4.35 runs on the season, ranking them 26th in the Major Leagues. The Baltimore pitching staff continues to stand last in the big leagues with a 6.01 team ERA. The Orioles own an 18-43 home record entering Monday.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am siding with the Royals in this one. Orioles’ starter Dylan Bundy is not a reliable option on the mound, and he especially has trouble at home where he holds a 1-8 record and a terrible 5.61 ERA on the season.

Furthermore, Royals’ starter Brad Keller is pitching well overall. He has notched a Quality Start in two out of his last three outings, and he is pitching deep into games, so the Royals’ bullpen won’t see a whole lot of action. The Orioles have dropped 12 out of their last 13 games entering Monday, and I expect another defeat in this one.

Prediction: Kansas City Royals

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I expect plenty of offense in this matchup. As mentioned Dylan Bundy has issues at home, plus he owns a weak 5.66 ERA in 20.2 career innings against the Royals, and the over is 10-3 in Bundy’s last 13 home starts against a team with a losing record.

In addition, while I expect Keller to contain the O’s bats, he isn’t as sharp on the road where he has logged a 4.45 ERA, and Baltimore’s offense hasn’t been the big issue recently. Also, consider the over is 7-1-1 in the Orioles’ last nine games against a right-handed starter.

Prediction: Over

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Insiders Status:

Rating:

I am going with the over on the three-inning total. The Royals and Orioles highest scoring stretch both occurs in the first three innings. The Royals have scored 204 runs in the first three innings, and the Orioles have plated 192 runs. Also, Bundy owns a weak 5.10 ERA in the first three frames, and Keller can be solved early as he owns a 4.04 ERA in the first three innings.

Prediction: Three Inning Total Over
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.