Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#957 Milwaukee Brewers -100 vs.
#958 St. Louis Cardinals 10
Tuesday, August 20, 2019 at 7:45pm EDT
Written by David Hess



#957 Milwaukee
#958 St. Louis Cardinals


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Tuesday evening on the MLB diamond and a pair of teams from the National League Central will square off as the Milwaukee Brewers tangle with the St Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in St Louis, Missouri in game two of a three-game series. The Cardinals won game one of this series by a score of 3-0.

Pitching Matchup: Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.81 ERA) will toe the slab for the Brewers and the Cardinals will counter with Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.54 ERA).

The Offense Was A Complete No-Show

The Milwaukee Brewers need to play well in this series or they could find themselves having a tough hill to climb to get into the playoffs. It did not start off well for the Brewers as they lost game one by a score of 3-0. The offense has been solid this year and it was hot of late, but it also was a complete no-show in game one of this series. I think that the Brewers left their offense in the nation’s capital as they scored 23 runs in the final two games of that series, but they were shutout on Monday and had one measly hit in the process. Yasmani Grandal had that lone hit. The Brewers will now look to get their offense back on track in this one and they have a shot to do so as Miles Mikolas has been a mess for the Brewers this year.

Zach Davies took the loss in the contest after allowing just two ERs on three hits and two walks in 5.0 innings of work. Even though Davies did not get the win, he needed the solid outing after going 0-3 with an 11.77 ERA in his previous three starts. The Brewers as a team needed the overall outing from their staff after allowing 30 runs in their previous two games. Milwaukee needs to get back on track here as they are now 3.0 games out of first in the National League Central and 2.5 games out of the 2nd wildcard slot. After this series, the Brewers have a three-game home set against Arizona, but then they face the Cards for three at home, followed by three on the road against the Cubs. This is a very important stretch coming up for the Brewers. Milwaukee has gone 28-35 on the road for the year.

Taking the hill for the Brewers will be Gio Gonzalez and he has gone 2-1 with a 3.81 ERA in 11 starts on the year, including 0-0 with a 4.85 ERA in his last three starts and 2-0 with a 3.41 ERA in six starts on the road. Righties are hitting .265 off of Gonzalez this year, while lefties are hitting .160 off of him. In his career, he has gone 64-55 with a 4.00 ERA in 169 games (164 starts) on the road and 23-24 with a 4.18 ERA in 64 starts during the month of August. Gonzalez has gone 3-4 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 career starts against the Cardinals, including 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA in five starts against them here at Busch Stadium.

The Brewers have been an average offensive team so far as they rank 16th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.85 rpg, while also ranking 17th in hitting at .251 and 5th in homers with 202. On the mound, they have been below average as they come in ranked 21st in the league in ERA at 4.74 while also ranking 19th in WHIP at 1.37 and 10th in K’s with 1131. The pen for the Brewers comes in ranked 18th in the league with a 4.66 ERA.

Cards Shut Down the Brewers’ Offense

The St Louis Cardinals have been playing very well of late as they have now won eight of their last 10 games and have now forged ahead of the Cubs by a half a game for first place in the National League Central. The Pitching has been the key to their success overall this year and even more so of late. The Cardinals have now allowed just 2.29 rpg over their last seven games while tossing three shutouts over that stretch. That includes their 3-0 win on Monday night when the Chiefs had a no-hitter into the 8th inning before losing it on a double by Yasmani Grandal. Dakota Hudson had a strong outing as he allowed no hits and four walks while striking out seven in 6.2 innings of work. He was taken out due to a pitch count of 111. He is now 12-6 with a 3.63 ERA on the year, while Andrew Miller picked up his 5th save.

Paul DeJong led the attack on offense with his 22nd homer of the year, while Dexter Fowler and Kolten Wong also had RBIs. The Cardinals had just five total hits in the game and no one had more than one. This is a good chance for the Cards to build their lead in the Central as they have these three games against the Brewers, followed by four home games against the Rockies, but then they have a three-game road trip to Milwaukee. The Cards have now gone a solid 35-23 here at home for the year and they will look to keep it going against a Brewers team that has struggled on the road.

The Cardinals will trot out Michael Wacha and he has gone 6-6 with a 5.44 ERA in 21 games (16 starts) on the year, including 9.00 ERA in his last three starts and 2-1 with a 5.51 ERA in seven games (five starts) here at Busch Stadium. Righties are hitting .329 off of Wacha, while lefties are hitting .259 off of him. In his career, he has gone 31-14 with a 3.69 ERA in 79 games (71 starts) here at Busch and 7-5 with a 3.99 ERA in 22 games (16 starts) during the month of August. Wacha has gone 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA in 13 games (12 starts) against the Brewers in his career.

The Cardinals have been below average on offense so far as they come in ranked 24th in the league in scoring at 4.48 rpg, while also ranking 25th in hitting at .244 and 24th in homers with 153. On the mound, they have been solid, ranking 5th in the league in ERA at 4.01 while also ranking 7th in WHIP at 1.29 and 22nd in K’s with 1047. The pen for the Cardinals ranks 3rd in the league in ERA at 3.75.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:


Going with the Cards in this one, even though Michael Wacha has been a mess this year and Gio Gonzalez has pitched well. Michal Wacha has a 5.51 ERA at home for the year, but he is 2-1 in those games and in his carer, he has gone a sparkling 6-0 with a 3.84 ERA against the Brewers. Gio Gonzalez has gone 2-1 with a 3.41 ERA on the road this year, but he is also 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA in five career starts in this park. Wacha is 31-14 in his career here at Busch Stadium and the Cardinals are 34-23 at home for the year overall, while the Brewers are just 28-34 on the road. Both team,s are fighting for a division title and in this game, I feel that the Cardinals have all the edges, including their edge in the pen. St Louis is 3rd in pen ERA, while the Brewers are 18th.

Prediction: St Louis -105

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:


This game will be played just like a playoff game and those contests are usually low scoring. we will see a lot of moves to the pen late to create the best matchups and while the Brewers have a slightly below average pen, the Cards have the 3rd best pen in the league. Michael Wacha has struggled at home this year, but he still has a solid 3.69 ERA in this park in his career and a 3.84 ERA in his career against the Brewers. Gio Gonzalez has a 4.50 ERA in his career in this park, but the Cards have averaged just 4.46 rpg at home for the year and Gonzalez has a 3.41 ERA on the road for the year. The Under is 6-1 in Gonzalezs last 7 road starts and 25-7 in Cardinals last 32 home games. Lastly, St Louis home games have averaged just 8.14 rpg and that gives us added value on the Under in this one.

Prediction: Under 10

Written By David Hess

David has always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so he combined the two to become a handicapper and a writer for us here at Winners & Whiners, along with StatSalt. All the information that David puts in his articles are well-researched and his predictions are well-thought out. He is a big fan of all the major pro sports and the colleges making David a very versatile and a constantly winning handicapper. David has been writing for the past 10 years and has been handicapping for over 20 years. He will help you beat the Man, so be sure and follow along.