Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#965 Seattle Mariners 8.5 vs.
#966 Tampa Bay Rays -185
Tuesday, August 20, 2019 at 7:10pm EDT
Written by Adam Rauzino

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The Tampa Bay Rays will host the Seattle Mariners in the second game of a three-game series Tuesday night from Tropicana Field. The Mariners are expected to have 32-year old left-hander Tommy Milone on the mound after an opener, and the Rays will counter with 26-year old left-hander Jalen Beeks. The Rays swept the Mariners earlier this month, and the Mariners won Monday’s series opener by a 9-3 score.

Milone Rebounds with Second Win of Season

Tommy Milone is expected to enter this one after an opener. Matt Wisler, who has tossed seven shutout innings this month, will likely open. Milone squandered two runs in four innings against the Tigers in his latest effort, leading to the win to bring his record to 2-7. The ninth-year left-hander does own a solid 1.13 WHIP, however, he is inconsistent, and holds a 4.69 ERA in 78.2 innings logged on the year. Milone was rocked for five runs in four innings against the Rays last week, and he is 2-4 with an awful 6.68 ERA in 33.2 career innings against Tampa Bay. Kevin Kiermaier is 3 for 4 against Milone, while Mike Zunino is 5 for 10, and Austin Meadows is 0 for 2.

Watch for Kyle Seager as he is swinging a hot bat, smashing five home runs along with 11 RBI’s in his last six games. The eight-year veteran third baseman is having a decent season, bashing 16 homers and 39 RBI’s in 69 games. Seager is 3 for 10 against the Rays this season.

The Mariners are on the tail end of a long nine-game road trip. They opened their trip by taking two of three against the Tigers, followed by a series win against the Blue Jays. Seattle’s pitching has been their downfall this season.

The Mariners are currently averaging 4.86 runs on the season, ranking them 14th in the Major Leagues. The Seattle pitching staff is carrying a 5.09 team ERA, pegging them down at 27th in the Majors. The Mariners hold a 25-37 road record.

Beeks Roughed by Padres in Second Defeat of Season

The Rays are expected to go with an opener followed by Jalen Beeks. Diego Castillo has been the Rays’ primary opener since the departure of Ryne Stanek. Castillo has yet to allow a run in 4.2 innings this season. Beeks was crushed in his previous outing, serving up five runs in five innings against the Padres in a 7-2 loss. The young left-hander has struggled in his three outings this month, and his ERA has inflated to 4.13 to go with a 1.42 WHIP and a 5-2 record in 85 innings of work. Beeks just faced the Mariners earlier this month and he allowed two runs in 3.2 innings.

Jesus Aguilar has made an impact after coming over from the Brewers at the beginning of the month, registering a dazzling .325 average in his 14 games as a member of the Rays. The 29-year old slugger wasn’t playing a whole lot with Milwaukee, and he is hitting .240 with nine homers and 39 RBI’s on the year. Aguilar is a stellar 7 for 16 against the Mariners this season.

The Rays’ injuries are starting to impact their offensive production. They only managed to score a combined six runs in three games against the Tigers this past weekend, which is not good considering Detroit usually gives up a ton of runs. Avisail Garcia and Brandon Lowe are expected back at the end of August.

The Rays have cooled off at the plate, and they are now averaging 4.66 runs on the season, placing them 19th in the big leagues. The Tampa Bay pitching is sporting a sharp 3.52 team ERA, good for second in the Majors. The Rays are 33-29 at Tropicana Field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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I am taking the Rays in this one. The Rays need some wins as they attempt to increase their lead ahead of the Athletics for the 2nd Wildcard position. Tampa Bay just recorded a three-game sweep in Seattle eight days ago and the M’s could not solve the Rays’ pitching in that series.

Furthermore, Mariners’ starter Tommy Milone has trouble against the Rays. He is carrying an abysmal 6.68 ERA in 33.2 career innings against Tampa Bay. Seattle is playing without several key players which includes Ryon Healy, Mitch Haniger and Tim Beckam, and I don’t see them scoring many runs.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Full-Game Total Pick

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The under is a solid option as well. The Mariners are only averaging 4.4 runs in their last ten games overall entering Monday’s game. The Rays pitching continues to shine, and they held the Mariners to only a combined seven runs in three games earlier this month, plus the under is 4-0-1 in the Mariners’ last five games overall.

In addition, the Rays have hit a bump at the plate, scoring only a combined eight runs in their last four games entering Monday, and the under is 4-1-1 in their last six games against the AL West.

Prediction: Under

Full-Game Prop Bet

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The under on the Mariners team total offered on PointsBet is a good play. The Mariners have scored four or fewer runs in six out of their last ten games, and I don’t see the Rays’ pitching staff struggling in two straight games. Tampa Bay usually rebounds with a strong pitching performance after a rough game, plus they have allowed an average of only 3.8 runs in their last ten games overall.

Prediction: Mariners Team Total Under

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

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I am opting with the under on the three-inning total. The Mariners are having success using Matt Wisler as an opener, and Milone owns a sharp 2.25 ERA in the third inning this season. The same applies to the Rays and Diego Castillo as the opener. The right-hander has not allowed a run this month.

Prediction: Three Inning Total Under
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Written By Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about various sports as well as personal finance and has brought his talents to us here at Winners and Whiners. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.