Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5957 New York Mets vs.
#5958 Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, August 20, 2022 at 7:15pm EDT
Written by Chris King

A pair of teams from the NL East continue a weekend series on the diamond in the City of Brotherly Love. The New York Mets are on the road as they play the second game of a doubleheader and the third game of a four-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies Saturday night. New York dropped three of four on the road against Atlanta as they were beaten 3-2 in the finale of the set Thursday night. Philadelphia won two of three on the road against the Reds though they dropped the finale of the set, losing 1-0 Wednesday afternoon in walk-off fashion. This article was published prior to the conclusion of the opener at Citizens Bank Park Friday night, not to mention the first game of the doubleheader Saturday afternoon.

New York Mets Hoping to Get Back on Track

New York dropped three of four to Atlanta on the road after falling Thursday night, tightening up the NL East a bit. The Mets entered Friday night with a 3.5-game lead over the Braves in the division race. In Thursday’s game, New York finished with six hits with Mark Canha (run, two RBI) the lone player for the team with two. Canha hit his eighth homer of the season in the game for the Mets. Jacob deGrom (2-1) took the loss on the mound as he threw 6.2 innings, allowing three runs on five hits with no walks and nine strikeouts before departing. He left after giving up an infield hit to Vaughn Grissom, who scored on a Michael Harris II double off Seth Lugo.

Trevor Williams is expected to get the start in the second game of the doubleheader and make his 23rd appearance and the ninth start of the year for the Mets here. He comes in 2-5 with one save, a 3.02 ERA, a 1.157 WHIP, 17 walks and 58 strikeouts over 65.2 innings of work on the year. Williams didn’t factor in the decision in his most recent appearance, which came at home against the Phillies in relief Sunday. He threw two innings, allowing no runs on two hits with no walks and one strikeout in a 6-0 Mets triumph. Williams has no record, a 0.00 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP, two walks and three strikeouts over seven innings in his last three appearances, which all came in relief. This marks Williams’ sixth career appearance and fourth start against the Phillies. He comes in 0-2 with a 5.95 ERA, a 1.424 WHIP, 10 walks and 11 strikeouts over 19.2 innings of work against them. Williams didn’t factor in the decision in his lone career start at Citizens Bank Park, which came with the Pirates on April 22, 2018. He threw six innings, allowing two runs on one hit with five walks and seven strikeouts in a game the Pirates eventually dropped 3-2 in 11 innings.

Phillies Trying to Improve Standing in Postseason Race

Philadelphia missed a chance to sweep the Reds as they couldn’t generate any offense in the finale of the set Wednesday night. The Phillies entered Friday third in the NL East, 10 games behind the Mets for the division lead. They held the second wild card spot in the National League, 2.5 games clear of the Brewers to remain on the right side of the cut line. On Wednesday, Philadelphia finished with five hits with no player having more than one. Alec Bohm had the lone extra-base hit, a double, but the team went zero for four with runners in scoring position. Ranger Suarez didn’t factor in the decision as he threw seven scoreless innings, allowing three hits with two walks and eight strikeouts. Seranthony Dominguez (6-4) took the loss as he allowed one run on two hits with one walk and two strikeouts in two-thirds of an inning of work.

Bailey Falter is projected to get the call for this one as he makes his 12th appearance and eighth start of the season for the Phillies. He comes in 0-3 with a 4.85 ERA, a 1.385 WHIP, 11 walks and 37 strikeouts over 39 innings of work on the year. Falter didn’t factor in the decision in his last start, which came against the Pirates on the road back on July 29. He threw six innings, allowing two runs on five hits with one walk and eight strikeouts in a game the Phillies went on to win 4-2. In his last three starts, Falter is 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA, a 1.33 WHIP, four walks and 19 strikeouts over 15 innings of work. Falter makes his third appearance and second start against the Mets in this contest. He is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA, a 1.80 WHIP, four walks and three strikeouts over five innings of work. Falter is 0-3 with a 5.14 ERA, a 1.393 WHIP, nine walks and 28 strikeouts over 28 innings in 16 career appearances, three starts, at Citizens Bank Park.

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Full-Game Side Bet

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Rating:

This one is going to be interesting as both teams are working with lesser options on the mound, thanks in part to the doubleheader and in part to injury issues. Falter hasn’t pitched in the majors in almost three weeks as he’s been making spot starts here and there. Williams at least has been more consistent as far as being an innings eater as he was a starter with Pittsburgh and Chicago before coming over to the Mets. Both teams are dangerous offensively so that part of things could be considered a wash. In the end, the Mets have the better pitcher on the hill here and that’s enough to give them a slight advantage in the nightcap.

Prediction: New York Mets ML

Full-Game Total Pick

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New York went into Friday with the over holding a 59-52-8 margin this season. They are ranked 5th in the majors with 4.74 runs per game on the year. The Mets are 8th in runs per game on the road as they put up 4.65 runs a contest to this point of the year. Their average total entering Friday night is 8.50 runs per contest and that climbs slightly to 8.83 runs per game on the road. Philadelphia comes into Friday’s action having seen the over post a 56-55-6 mark this season. The Phillies are tied for 7th in runs per game this season as they average 4.62 runs a contest. Philadelphia puts up 4.78 runs per game at home and has seen an average total of 8.61 runs per game entering Friday. That number climbs to 8.73 runs per game at Citizens Bank Park. With a pair of mediocre arms on the mound along with some suspect bullpen work, this game ends up over the total.

Prediction: Over
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.