Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5963 Washington Nationals vs.
#5964 San Diego Padres
Saturday, August 20, 2022 at 8:40pm EDT
Written by David Delano

This article covers a past game!

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The San Diego Padres (66-56) will host the  Washington Nationals (41-80) in the third contest of a four-game series on Saturday. The Nationals have won three of the five head-to-head games over the Padres so far this season, including the first two games of this series.

Nationals pull off another big paying upset

The Nationals have been big money winners in the first two games of this series, beating the Padres on Thursday 3-1 as a +317 underdog and 6-3 as a +293 underdog on Friday. In the win on Friday, the Nationals broke through with three runs in the top off the ninth off of Josh Hader, who failed to record an out. Alex Call hit his first career MLB home run, a two-run shot in the ninth that put the Nationals up by three.

With the Nationals' top two offensive players from this season, Juan Soto and Josh Bell now in San Diego, Nelson Cruz now leads the team with 59 RBI and is tied for second with nine home runs. Lane Thomas has 11 home runs to lead the players currently playing in a Washington uniform.

Josiah Gray is scheduled to start on Saturday. He is 7-8 with a 4.79 ERA overall, but on the road he's been better, 5-1 with a 3.21 ERA. The Nationals did however drop the last two road games pitched by Gray, although he did not get the decision.

Padres need a win

After landing Juan Soto and Josh Bell in one of the biggest deadline trades in MLB history, the Padres have struggled to live up to the hype. After Friday's loss, San Diego has dropped 10 of their last 15 games. Getting news that start shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. will miss the rest of the season due to being suspended 80-games for a banned substance also took some wind out of San Diego's sail, even though Tatis Jr. had not yet played a game for the Padres this season, he was expected to return and help lead a run for the NL Pennant.

Starting on Saturday will be Joe Musgrove who is 8-6 with a 2.98 ERA this season. If Musgrove is going to be an ace in the postseason, he has to show that he can be a stopper in spots like this. At home this year he is 3-3 with a 2.87 ERA

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

Insiders Status:

Rating:

A +275 underdog only needs to win 27% of the time to turn a long-term profit, and the Nationals have a better chance to win than 27%. Even with a 22-36 road record, the Nationals have turned a moneyline profit at home (+$293 according to covers.com). The Padres have also been inconsistent and have lost six of the last seven starts made by Musgrove. With Gray on the mound, I believe the Nationals' chances to win are even better than in the past two days. The Padres are the better team, but with close to 3 to 1 odds, I'll take a shot on the Nationals to get it done again.

Prediction: Washington Nationals +275

Full-Game Total Pick

Insiders Status:

Rating:

The total here is too low for me, as both pitchers have regressed deeper into the season. Since the All-Star break, Musgrove is 0-4 with a 4.97 ERA, and San Diego has allowed at least four runs in four of those five games.   Josiah Gray is 0-2 with a 6.15 ERA since the break, with Washington allowing at least five runs in four of those five games as well. Take the over.

Prediction: Over 7.5
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Written By David Marotta , "David Delano"

David Delano is a Bowling Green State University graduate with a passion for sports, traveling, and music. David loves to handicap MLB, NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, NBA, WNBA, and is also a big fan of boxing and track and field. Over the years, David has worn several hats in the sports world, from being behind the camera to writing, filming, editing, scouting, and coaching, along with servicing his clients as a sports handicapper.  He is also an expert sports bettor. We are glad to have David on our Winners & Whiners team, and we recommend that you follow along with him every day. 

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