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Brewers vs. Giants,
8-21-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#955 Milwaukee
Brewers
#956 San Francisco
Giants

Monday, August 21, 2017 at 10:15pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers
Z. DAVIES

65 - 60

14
W's
6
L's
4.26
ERA
1.39
WHIP

San Francisco Giants
C. STRATTON

50 - 76

1
W's
1
L's
3.44
ERA
1.42
WHIP

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Milwaukee Brewers (64-60 SU, 67-57 RL, 57-61-6 O/U) vs San Francisco Giants (50-75 SU, 51-74 RL, 60-54-11 O/U)

When: 10:15 PM EDT, Monday, August 21, 2017

Where: AT&T Park in San Francisco, California

Lines: Milwaukee -114/ San Francisco +104

Total: 8

Tonight on the MLB diamond, the National League Central battles the National League West as the Milwaukee Brewers grapple with the San Francisco Giants in game one of their three game series from AT&T Park in San Francisco, California. Pitching Probables: Zach Davies (14-6, 4.26 ERA) will toe the slab for the Brewers in this one and he will be opposed by Chris Stratton (1-2, 4.91 ERA).

Brewers Are Staying Close To the Cubs

The Chicago Cubs have been very mediocre all season and while they do lead the National League Central, that lead is just two games over these Milwaukee Brewers, who continue to surprise. The Brewers are hot at the moment as they went into their game with the Rockies on Sunday having won six of their last seven games. They just won’t go away and are starting to get their offense back, after struggling the last few weeks at the plate. The Brewers have now averaged 5.86 rpg in their last seven games, after averaging just 2.21 rpg over their previous 14 games. This team will stay in the race the rest of the year, especially if their offense continues to play well as they have been getting solid pitching for much of the year. The Brewers have gone 29-30 on the road and they have averaged 4.49 rpg and have allowed just 4.37 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for the Brewers in this one will be Zach Davies and he has gone 14-6 with a 4.26 ERA in 25 starts on the year, including 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA in his last three starts and 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA in 12 starts on the road. Davies has gone 26-15 with a 4.08 ERA in 59 career starts overall and 4-3 with a 4.73 ERA in nine starts during the month of August in his career. This will be his first meeting with the Giants.

The Brewers have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.64 rpg, while also ranking 19th in hitting at .251 and 4th in homers with 182. On the mound, they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 12th in the league in ERA at 4.17, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.38.

The Offense Is Waking Up For The Giants

The San Francisco Giants have one of the worst record in the league and while their pitching has let them down, they also have not been getting much in the way of offense, until lately. Prior to their game on Sunday, the Giants averaged a solid 6.80 rpg in their last five games. They scored nine runs against the Phillies on Saturday night, but the problem in that game was the fact that they allowed 12 runs. That is hard to do as they were facing a poor Philadelphia offense in a park that is the toughest to hit in. Still, the Giants have to be pleased with their recent offensive explosion, but facing a Phillies staff facing a Milwaukee staff are two different things. I would look for the Giants to struggle at the plate in this series. San Francisco has gone 29-33 here at home and they have averaged 4.00 rpg and have allowed 4.31 rpg in those games. Chris Stratton will take the hill for the Giants and he has gone 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in six games overall, including 1-1 with a 3.44 ERA in three games as a starter. These have been his first three career starts and this will be his first start against the Brewers. Stratton was 4-5 with a 5.11 ERA in 15 starts at Sacramento (AAA) this year and he has gone 38-34 with a 4.07 ERA in six seasons in the minors overall.

The Giants have been a very poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 28th in the league in scoring, putting up just 4.07 rpg, while also ranking 21st in hitting at .248 and 30th in homers with 99. On the mound, they have been below average so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in ERA at 4.56 while also ranking 24th in WHIP at 1.41.

Trends

Milwaukee is:

  • 5-1 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 7-0 in Davies’ last seven starts with five days of rest

San Francisco is:

  • 5-16 in their last 21 during game one of a series
  • 0-5 in their last five Monday games

The Giants have been playing well of late and their offense has come alive, but taking on Philadelphia and Miami in their last two series is a bit different than taking on the Milwaukee Brewers, who have been getting strong pitching all year and who need to keep winning if they are to eventually catch the Cubs in the National League Central. Zach Davies has been very solid for the Brewers this year, especially on the road where he has gone 7-0 with a 2.52 ERA thus far and he will be taking on a Giants’ squad that is still one of the worst offensive teams in the league. The Giants will send out Chris Stratton in this one and he has looked good of late as his is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA in his three starts so far, but this is a good Milwaukee offense that is waking up some and I look for him to struggle in this one.

Pick: Milwaukee -114

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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