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Mariners vs. Braves,
8-21-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#967 Seattle
Mariners
#968 Atlanta
Braves

Monday, August 21, 2017 at 7:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
A. ALBERS

63 - 62

1
W's
0
L's
1.8
ERA
1.4
WHIP

Atlanta Braves
M. FOLTYNEWICZ

55 - 67

10
W's
8
L's
4.68
ERA
1.5
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Seattle Mariners (63-61) vs. Atlanta Braves (54-67)

MLB Baseball:  Monday, August 21st, 7:35 pm EST

Andrew Albers (1-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Mike Foltynewicz (10-8, 4.75 ERA)

Line:  Atlanta -109

The Mariners kick off an important three game series in Atlanta on Monday.  The Mariners have won four games in a row heading into Sunday’s contest and they have vaulted to within a half game of the Angels and the Twins for the all important second wild card.  An amazing nine teams are within 3.5 games of the wild card in the AL, and Seattle is just as good as any of them.

The Braves played fairly well for most of the year, but have now dropped a season high 13 games under .500.  They lost on Friday and Saturday to the pathetic Reds and are in danger of starting their nine game homestand off with three straight losses.  And that’s before the Mariners even get to town.

Albers gets the call for Seattle

Andrew Albers gets the call for the Mariners on Monday, making only his second start of the year and it’s in the middle of a pennant race.  The man is already 31 years old and this is only his 14th career start.  Still, the Mariners see enough of him to give him the ball in a very crucial situation, as they are one of many teams with a chance to win the AL Wild Card.

Albers was very solid in his first start of the season on August 15th.  He went five innings and gave up six hits, but he allowed only one earned run and got the win as the Mariners beat the Orioles by a score of 3-1.  Now, Albers will be looking to see if he can match that start, against the struggling Braves.

The Braves counter with Foltynewicz

The Braves will send out Mike Foltynewicz on Monday, and he’ll be looking to break a two start losing streak.  He had been awesome over the last few months, going 6-1 with one no decision over his last eight starts, but he’s gotten absolutely shelled in both of his last two starts.  He’s still 10-8 on the year with an ERA of 4.75 which has risen from 3.94 over his last two starts.

Two starts ago, he gave up seven hits and six earned runs over only 2.2 innings, but he managed to be even worse in his latest start.  He went only 3.1 innings and gave up nine hits and eight earned runs.  That’s a total of 16  hits and 14 earned runs over his last six innings.  Ouch, that’s rough.

MLB Trends:

The Seattle Mariners are:

  • 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
  • 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

The Atlanta Braves are:

  • 6-1 in Foltynewicz’s last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
  • 7-0 in Foltynewicz’s last 7 home starts.
  • 5-1 in Foltynewicz’s last 6 interleague starts.

Two trends push me in Atlanta’s direction on Monday.  The Braves are 7-0 in Mike Foltynewicz’s last seven at home and the Braves are also 5-1 in his last six interleague starts.  That’s enough for me.  Lets’ take the Braves at home on Monday.

Pick: Atlanta

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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