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Twins vs. White Sox,
8-21-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#957 Minnesota
Twins
#958 Chicago
White Sox

Monday, August 21, 2017 at 5:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Minnesota Twins

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Chicago White Sox

-

W's
L's
0
ERA
0
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Minnesota Twins (62-59 SU, 61-60 RL, 53-59-9 O/U) vs Chicago White Sox (46-74 SU, 63-57 RL, 58-57-5 O/U)

When: 5:10 PM EDT, Monday, August 21, 2017

Where: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois

Lines: Chicago White Sox -140/Minnesota +130

Total: 9.5

Major League Baseball action within the American League Central this evening as the Minnesota Twins duke it out with the Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago Illinois in game one of their five-game series. This is game one of a doubleheader. Pitching Probables: Tim Melville (0-0, 0.00 ERA) will get the nod for the Twins and he will be opposed by Carlos Rondon (1-4, 4.00 ERA).

Berrios Outduels Greinke In Win

The Minnesota Twins have gotten some solid pitching at times this year, mainly from Jose Berrios and Ervin Santana and they have been instrumental in the turnaround for this team. Last year they had the worst record in the league with just 59 wins and they have already surpassed that this year with 62 and they are now tied with the Angels for the 2nd wildcard slot in the American League. Back to Berrios, who has a very strong outing in the Twins’ 5-0 win over the Arizona on Saturday. He allowed just two hits and one walk, while striking out seven in 7.0 innings of work. Berrios is now 11-5 on the year with a 3.99 ERA and he really needed the effort after allowing 11 ERs on 12 hits in 8.1 innings of work over his two previous starts. The Twins have gone 32-24 on the road this year, after going just 29-52 on the road last year and they are 26-25 against the Central so far, after going just 24-52 against their own division a year ago. Taking the hill for the Twins will be Tim Melville and he will be making his first start of the year in this game. He started his career at Cincinnati and had just three games and two starts for them, going 0-1 with an 11.00 ERA in those games.  He has spent nine seasons in the minors and has gone 36-59 with a 4.58 ERA in 161 games (149 starts) in those years, including 4-3 with a 2.760 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) this year Rochester (AAA).

The Twins have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 16th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.68 rpg, while also ranking 16th in hitting at .256 and 23rd in homers with 140. On the mound, they have been poor so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in ERA at 4.72, while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.40.

White Sox Get Crushed In the Lone Star State

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in the American League and they will continue to struggle for the rest of the season as they have traded away many of their better players to upgrade their farm system and start building for the future. One area that has been a mess for them of late has been their pitching and that pitching really got rocked in their 17-7 loss to the Rangers on Saturday night. Derek Holland got the start in the game and he allowed seven ERs on six hits and four walks in just 2.2 innings of work. Dylan Covey then came in an allowed six ERs on seven hits and a walk in just 1.1 innings of work. A horrible display of pitching from both guys. Holland is now 6-13 with a 6.07 ERA on the year. The White Sox as a team have now allowed 9.00 rpg in their last six games prior to Sunday. Toeing the slab for the White Sox will be Carlos Rondon and he has gone 1-4 with a 4.00 ERA in nine starts on the year, including 0-0 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts and 0-2 with a 3.09 ERA in four starts here at home. Rondon has gone 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA in 13 career starts in August and he is 11-10 with a 4.31 ERA in 31 games (30 starts) here at Guaranteed Rate Field in his career, while against the Twins in his career he is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA in seven games (six starts).

The White Sox have been a poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in scoring, putting up 4.36 rpg, while also ranking 14th in hitting at .257 and 25th in homers with 138. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 27th in the league in ERA at 4.85, while also ranking 27th in WHIP at 1.46.

Trends

Minnesota is:

  • 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30
  • 7-2 in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % below .400

Chicago is:

  • 4-14 in their last 18 vs. the American League Central
  • 15-37 in their last 52 vs. a team with a winning record

The Twins are rolling right now, while the White Sox are heading the other way, but the Twins are just 1-11 in their last 12 opening games of a double-header and they will be sending out a pitcher that has not had much experience in MLB. Still, the Twins have really been hot on offense of late and should be able to pick apart Carlos Rondon and this Chicago staff that has allowed 9.00 rpg over their six games prior to Sunday. Minnesota has won four of their last five games in this series and they will be far more motivated than the White Sox in this series as they look to stay in the hunt for a wildcard berth. Take the Twins in game one.

Pick: Minnesota

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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