Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#5907 San Francisco Giants vs.
#5908 Colorado Rockies
Sunday, August 21, 2022 at 3:10pm EDT
Written by Jordy

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The Colorado Rockies entered this series by putting an end to a five-game losing streak, and they’ll try to end it with another victory over the visiting San Francisco Giants. Colorado is currently dead last in the NL West division, but they’re still in reach of avoiding a last place finish. A win over a Giants team with a losing road record would definitely help on Sunday. Jakob Junis is expected to toe the rubber as the starting pitcher against Colorado’s Kyle Freeland.

Will daylight be an issue for Junis?

The Giants haven’t played well on the road this season, and starting pitcher Jakob Junis hasn’t thrown well in daytime games. Both of those problems combined could go up in a cloud of smoke when facing the No. 1-ranked run-scoring offense in their home stadium. Things could get ugly fast and in a hurry if Junis stumbles on the mound.

He’s throwing a 5.58 ERA with a 2-2 record and eight walks in daytime games this season. Whether it’s a legitimate problem or not on Sunday remains to be seen. One thing is certain: The Rockies are hotter than fish grease when batting at their home stadium. It’s impossible to argue with a .285/.350/.456 slash line.

Junis must set the tone on the mound early in this game, and the bullpen has to follow his lead. The trouble for the Rockies has been on defense throughout the season. If the Giants are going to give up a lot of runs, they have to make sure they have the bats to back it up. It could simply come down to fighting fire with fire.

Freeland gets a second crack at the Giants

The Rockies can’t stop the bleeding defensively, but they can sure make some noise on the offensive side of things. They are averaging a league-best 9.77 hits and .806 OPS when batting at Coors Field this season. It’s like they are a completely different team in their home building.

If only that statement applied to defense as well.

Their pitchers have been getting cracked all season to the point where it’s raining runs on the scoreboard. The Rockies pile up runs just to give themselves an opportunity to compete in games. So that’s a lot of pressure right out of the gates on starting pitcher Kyle Freeland, who will be the first on the mound against the visiting Giants.

This isn’t the first time San Francisco has stared Freeland down from the plate. He pitched them in a no-decision back in May, when he allowed seven hits and three earned runs in six innings. The 29-year-old lefty is throwing a 4.82 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a 7-8 record. It would make a significant impact if he could at least slow the Giants down in the early innings.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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This isn’t the same Rockies team when playing at Coors Field.

It’s been the same story throughout the season. Granted, the pitching is always a major concern when siding with the Rockies in any matchup. But they have enough offensive firepower at the plate to keep them in the fight against a visiting Giants team that hasn’t played well on the road this season.

Kyle Freeland doesn’t need to be perfect on the mound. The Rockies simply need him to keep the team from completely imploding in the early innings. It’s a reasonable expectation that he will, and the Rockies will resume doing damage to the Giants offensively.

These two teams have been fairly evenly matched in the head-to-head meetings, despite the Giants having a superior record. But such is the case with division rivals. The Rockies are just one of those teams that have consistently played the Giants tough this season, and that’ll remain the case on Sunday. I’m taking the Rockies in this one.

Prediction: Colorado Rockies (+1.5)

Full-Game Total Pick

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Yes, the Rockies have been an absolute doormat team when it comes to run scoring this season, but that clearly hasn’t been the case every game. Heading into Saturday’s game, the total hadn’t run higher than eight runs in four of the Rockies’ last five head-to-head meetings with the Giants.

Even for a Rockies game, that reach for 11 runs is still a pretty lofty bet with the hopes that one or both sides will have a meltdown. I’m banking on Kyle Freeland standing his ground a bit and the bullpen holding up their end as well in the finale enough to make the under the winning bet here.

Prediction: Under (11)
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Written By Jordy McElroy , "Jordy"

Born in Germany and raised in the beautiful state of Tennessee, Jordy McElroy is a storyteller of sports, a sports betting enthusiast, and a semi-deep thinker. Being a New England Patriots fan means he's a six-time Super Bowl winner as well, which means you'd have to be a fool to ignore his advice. Prior to joining our team here at Winners & Whiners, Jordy’s work appeared on CNN.com, FOX Sports, Bleacher Report, USA TODAY, and BJPenn.com. There are no beaches where he comes from -- just rolling hills, green valleys, and all the Sun Drop you can drink.