Prediction, Preview, and Odds
#925 Texas Rangers vs.
#926 Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, August 23, 2022 at 8:40pm EDT
Written by Chris King

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It’s the opening game of an interleague set on the diamond in the Mile-High City as a pair of sub-.500 teams take the field. The Texas Rangers are on the road as they open up a brief two-game set with the Colorado Rockies Tuesday night. Texas closed a four-game wraparound set with the Twins with a win on Monday night. The Rangers took 3 out of 4 from the Twins. Colorado fell 9-8 in 11 innings to the Giants at home in their previous game Sunday afternoon. The Rockies swept the first two-game series between the teams, which came on the road back on April 11-12.

Texas Rangers Try to Keep Moving in Right Direction

Texas beat Minnesota Monday for their third straight win. The Rangers are third in the AL West at 56-66, 21.5 games behind the Astros for the top spot in the division. They are 10 games behind the Mariners for the final wild-card spot in the American League playoff picture. On Sunday, Texas got two hits each from Marcus Semien (run, three RBI), Brad Miller (run, RBI) and Nathaniel Lowe (run, RBI) in the 7-0 victory. Semien (his 19th) and Lowe (his 18th) each went deep in the victory as the Rangers broke open a 1-0 game by scoring six times in the final three innings. Kohei Arihara (1-1) earned the win as he threw six scoreless innings, allowing four hits with no walks and three strikeouts. Taylor Hearn threw the final three innings, allowing no runs on no hits with no walks and five strikeouts, to earn his first save.

Dane Dunning takes the ball for his 24th start of the year for the Rangers in this contest. He is 3-6 with a 4.06 ERA, a 1.371 WHIP, 50 walks and 108 strikeouts over 124 innings of action on the year. Dunning earned the win in his last start, which came Thursday at home against the A’s. He threw six innings, allowing two runs on four hits with three walks and four strikeouts in a game the Rangers won by a 10-3 score. In his last three starts, Dunning is 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA, a 0.98 WHIP, seven walks and 15 strikeouts over 17.1 innings of work. This marks his second career start against the Rockies in this contest. He didn’t factor in the decision in his only career start against Colorado, which came on June 1, 2021. In that contest, he threw 4.2 innings, allowing two runs on six hits with no walks and three strikeouts in a game the Rangers dropped 3-2 in 11 innings. That start came at Coors Field, giving Dunning a passing familiarity with the park.

Colorado Rockies Hoping to Prevail at Home

Colorado missed a chance to sweep the Giants at home as they fell in extra innings Sunday for their sixth loss in the last eight games. The Rockies entered Monday last in the NL West, 32 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. In the NL wild-card picture, the team is 14.5 games behind the Phillies for the final wild-card spot. On Sunday, Ryan McMahon (two runs, RBI), Charlie Blackmon (run, two RBI), Randal Grichuk (run, two RBI) and Sam Hilliard (run) each had two hits in the game. Grichuk (his 13th), Brian Serven (his sixth) and Elehuris Montero (his fourth) each went deep in the loss. Kyle Freeland didn’t factor in the decision as he allowed six runs (five earned) on seven hits with three walks and five strikeouts over 6.1 innings. Jake Bird (1-4) took the loss as he allowed one run (none earned) on no hits with no walks or strikeouts in one inning of work.

German Marquez takes the hill for his 24th start of the year for the Rockies in this contest. He enters the game 6-10 with a 5.05 ERA, a 1.429 WHIP, 47 walks and 108 strikeouts over 133.2 innings of work on the year. Marquez took the loss in his last start, which came against the Cardinals on the road Wednesday. He threw six innings, allowing three runs on seven hits with three walks and four strikeouts in a game the Rockies eventually lost 5-1. In his last three starts, Marquez is 0-1 with a 3.50 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, seven walks and 13 strikeouts over 18 innings of work. Marquez makes his fifth career start against the Rangers in this contest. He comes in 0-3 with a 2.92 ERA, a 1.176 WHIP, nine walks and 18 strikeouts over 24.2 innings of action. Marquez is 29-23 with a 4.90 ERA, a 1.386 WHIP, 142 walks and 478 strikeouts over 435.1 innings of work in 82 career appearances at Coors Field.

Best Bets for this Game

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams are going nowhere fast this season, but they’ve been heading in different directions. Texas has won 4 of their previous 5 coming into this game. Meanwhile, Colorado has lost six of their previous eight and have faded in the NL West. Marquez has struggled most of the year and hasn’t been good at Coors Field, going 2-5 with a 5.85 ERA, a 1.53 WHIP, 19 walks and 63 strikeouts while allowing 15 homers over 72.3 innings of work this season. Dunning has been sharper of late as he is unbeaten in his last eight starts. He’s sputtered on the road, but he’s been better than Marquez. That spins the needle in favor of the Rangers as they take the opener.

Prediction: Texas Rangers +110

Full-Game Total Pick

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Texas has seen the over post a 58-57-6 record in 121 games on the year entering Monday’s action. The Rangers are 13th in runs per game with 4.45 runs per contest and that climbs to 4.70 runs per game on the road on the year. Texas has an average total of 8.86 runs per game and that number drops to an average of 8.80 runs per game on the road. Colorado has seen the over post a 59-58-6 edge in their 123 games on the year entering Monday. The Rockies are tied for 10th in runs per game as they average 4.52 runs a game this season. Colorado is 1st in the majors at home as they average a hefty 5.70 runs a contest on the year. The average total when the Rockies take the field this season entering Tuesday was 9.97 runs a game, a number that climbs to 11.22 runs per game at Coors Field. With both teams capable of putting up big offensive numbers combined with the respective struggles of each starter in their respective role, this game ends up over the number.

Prediction: Over 10.5
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Written By Chris King , "Chris King"

Chris King has been immersed in the world of professional and collegiate sports for more than three decades. Whether it's playing pickup games or being involved in organized sports to being a fan, he's checked all the boxes. From the NFL to arena football, the NHL to the KHL, the NBA to the WNBA to college hoops, and even MLB to the KBO.  If it's out there, he's covered it and bet on it as well, as Chris has been an expert bettor in his career.  Before joining Winners and Whiners back in 2015, his work appeared around the internet and in print. He's written books for Ruckus Books about college basketball, the NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL, golf, and the World Cup. If you're looking for the inside track on hitting a winner, do yourself a favor and read what Chris has to say.