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Diamondbacks vs. Mets,
8-24-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#901 Arizona
Diamondbacks
#902 New York
Mets

Thursday, August 24, 2017 at 12:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks
R. RAY

69 - 58

9
W's
5
L's
3.11
ERA
1.23
WHIP

New York Mets
R. MONTERO

55 - 70

2
W's
5
L's
5.37
ERA
1.65
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Arizona Diamondbacks (69-57; 57-62-7 O/U) vs. New York Mets (54-70; 69-44-11 O/U)

MLB: Thursday, August 24, 2017 at 12:10pm EST

Line: Arizona -150/New York +135

Total: 8.5

The New York Mets will host the Arizona Diamondbacks as the clubs conclude a four game series Thursday night from Cit Field. The Diamondbacks will give the start to 25-year old left-hander Robbie Ray, and the Mets will turn to 26-year old right-hander Rafael Montero. The Diamondbacks own a 5-0 lead in the season series heading into Wednesday’s action.

Rays Returns from DL

Robbie Ray will get the call for the 21st time of the season as he makes his return from a concussion. Ray last started on July 28th and exited after tossing 1.2 scoreless innings to the Cardinals after he took a line drive off his head. The young left-hander is having a stellar season, posting a 9-5 record with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP accompanied in 118.2 innings of work. He has completely silenced the Mets in his career, conceding only two runs (one earned) in 17 innings to go with a 1-0 record. Wilmer Flores is 2 for 8 against Ray, while Jose Reyes is 4 for 7, and Travis D’arnaud is 2 for 4. David Peralta continues to thrive in the leadoff position, driving in another seven runs with 12 hits over his last ten games. The 30-year old left fielder is having a solid season, currently featuring a .298 average with 13 home runs and 43 RBI’s. Peralta is 1 for 12 against the Mets this season.

The Diamondbacks potent lineup is now averaging 4.86 runs per game, ranking them ninth in the Majors, and are hitting .253 as a team. The Arizona pitching is sporting an outstanding 3.73 team ERA, good for fourth in the Major Leagues.

Montero Silences Marlins, Targets Third Straight Quality Start

Rafael Montero will make his 26th appearance and 12th start of the season, aiming for his second straight win. Montero was terrific in his latest effort, holding the Marlins to one run on six hits in six strong innings. The young right-hander has recorded two straight Quality Starts and now owns a 5.47 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP to go with a 2-8 record in 77.1 innings of work. He has limited the Diamondbacks to only two runs in six career head-to-head innings. Michael Conforto is now one of the only big bats remaining in the Mets lineup after they sold off their assets. The 24-year old left fielder now leads the team in homers and RBI’s, currently hitting .278 with 27 home runs and 66 RBI’s. Conforto is only 3 for 18 with two RBI’s against the Diamondbacks this season. He has slowed up as of late, collecting just two RBI’s over his last eight games.

The Mets are now scoring an average of 4.64 runs per game, ranking them 18th overall, and own a .247 team batting average. The New York pitching has been awful, posting a 4.84 team ERA, placing them 26th in the Majors.

Trends:

The Arizona Diamondbacks are:

  • under is 13-6-1 in Ray’s last 20 road starts.

The New York Mets are:

  • under is 10-1 in Montero’s last 11 road starts.
  • under is 4-0 in Montero’s last 4 starts against a team with a winning record.
  • under is 16-5 in Montero’s last 21 starts overall.

I am taking the under in this contest. Ray has been dominant on the road this season, sporting a minuscule 1.47 ERA with a .174 opponent batting average in his 10 road starts, and he has limited the Mets to only one earned run in 17 career innings. Furthermore, Montero has allowed only three runs over his last two starts (12 innings), so I am confident he can contain the Arizona bats, and the under has been a very common trend with him on the mound.

Pick: Under 8.5

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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