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Twins vs. White Sox,
8-24-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#917 Minnesota
Twins
#918 Boston
Red Sox

Thursday, August 24, 2017 at 8:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Minnesota Twins
J. BERRIOS

65 - 61

11
W's
5
L's
3.99
ERA
1.15
WHIP

Boston Red Sox
D. HOLLAND

49 - 76

6
W's
13
L's
6.46
ERA
1.72
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Minnesota Twins (65-60) vs. Chicago White Sox (48-76)

MLB Baseball:  Thursday, August 24th, 8:10 pm EST

Jose Berrios (11-5, 3.99 ERA) vs. Derek Holland (6-13, 6.28 ERA)

Line:  Minnesota -170/Chicago White Sox +155

Total: 10

The Twins play the fifth and final game of their series in Chicago against the White Sox.  The series began with a double header on Monday in which they split, and the Twins came back to win on Tuesday, 4-1 behind Kyle Gibson.  It was technically their second win in a row as the won the second game on Monday night.  The win brought them to within 4.5 games of the Indians.

More likely, what’s more important is that the Twins are now alone in first for the second and all important wild card.  They lead the Angels by a half game with several others within striking distance.   The Twins are two games behind the Yankees and the first wild card.  The White Sox have long been out of the race and have the second worst record in the majors behind the Phillies.

Berrios looks for 12th win

Jose Berrios has been solid for the Twins all year long and he’ll be looking for his 12th win on Thursday.  As of late, he hasn’t been quite the pitcher that he was to start the year, going only 3-3 over his last seven starts.  He has won his last two decisions, however, but both in different ways.  His starts two and three back he gave up 11 earned runs in 8.1 innings and still managed to go 1-0 with a no-decison.

He came back and pitched fantastic in his latest start, going seven hits and allowing only two hits and no earned run in getting the win over the Arizona Diamondbacks.  The win was his 11th of the year and got his ERA back under three, after rising above it for the first time all year after his latest start.

Derek Holland hasn’t had a good year

Derek Holland has struggled all year long, and the White Sox have lost 14 of his last 17 starts.  Overall he is 6-13 with a 6.28 ERA and it’s the worst season of the 30-year-old’s career.  His WHIP is 1.70 and batters are hitting .271 against him.  Walks have been his biggest downfall this year, as he’s given up 66 in 123 innings, which is more than one every other.  That’s way too much.

As of late, he’s pitched even worse if that’s possible.  Over his last three appearances, he’s lasted only five innings and he’s given up 15 hits and 17 earned runs.  Once again, the walks have killed him, giving up eight walks in only three innings.  He’s lucky to have only lost two of those.   He’s won only one of his last 10 starts.

MLB Trends:

The Minnesota Twins are:

  • 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
  • 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • 12-3 in their last 15 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

The Chicago White Sox are:

  • 16-37 in their last 53 games on grass.
  • 3-14 in Holland’s last 17 starts on grass.
  • 3-15 in Holland’s last 18 starts.

Jose Berrios has been solid for the Twins all year while the White Sox have lost 15 of the last 18 Derek Holland starts.  This is also a better Twins team and they have something to play for.  This one is easy.

Pick: Minnesota

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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