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Yankees vs. Tigers,
8-24-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#911 New York
Yankees
#912 Detroit
Tigers

Thursday, August 24, 2017 at 1:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Yankees
J. GARCIA

68 - 57

5
W's
8
L's
4.52
ERA
1.38
WHIP

Detroit Tigers
M. FULMER

54 - 71

10
W's
11
L's
3.6
ERA
1.14
WHIP

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New York Yankees (67-57 SU, 66-58 RL, 63-58-1 O/U) vs Detroit Tigers (54-70 SU, 58-66 RL, 67-51-6 O/U)

When: 1:10 PM EDT, Thursday, August 24, 2017

Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan

Lines: Detroit -117/NY Yankees +107

Total: 10

Major League Baseball action on Thursday afternoon and the New York Yankees will duke it out with the Detroit Tigers at Comerica, Park in Detroit, Michigan in the final game of their three-game series. The Under is 5-2-1 the last eight games in this series. Pitching Probables: The Yankees will trot out Jaime Garcia (5-8, 4.52 ERA) in this one and the Tigers will counter with Michael Fulmer (10-11, 3.60 ERA).

Gary Sanchez Leads Rout Of Tigers In Game One

The New York Yankees have had their issues on offense in the 2nd half of the season, but that offense really had a fun time in the Motor City in game one of this series as the Yankees took down the Tigers by a score of 13-4. The 13 runs were the most they scored in a game since putting up 13 on the Astros back on June 30th. Having the big game in the win was Gary Sanchez, who had three hits overall, including two homers, while driving in four runs. He now has 25 homers on the year, which is 2nd on the team behind Judges 37. Aaron Hicks also homered in the game and now has 13 on the year. Masahiro Tanaka was the recipient of all the offense and he allowed just three ERs on six hits in 7.0 innings of work to move to 9-10 with a 4.86 ERA on the year. The Yanks weren’t able to pick up ground on Boston as the Sox also won, so they are still 4.5 games out of first in the American League East, but they are also still atop the wildcard standings. The Yankees are 32-35 on the road for the year. Taking the hill for the Yankees in this one will be Jaime Garcia and he has gone 5-8 with a 4.52 ERA in 22 starts on the year, including 0-1 with a 6.32 ERA in three starts as a member of the Yankees and 4-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 13 starts on the road. Garcia has gone 11-10 with a 4.34 ERA in 35 games (27 starts) during the month of August. This will be his first career meeting with the Tigers.

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 4th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.19 rpg, while also ranking 9th in hitting at .260 and 7th in homers with 181. On the mound, they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.85, while also ranking 3rd in WHIP at 1.23.

Boyd Gets Rocked By The Yankees

The Tigers will not be apart of the postseason this year and the reason is their pitching, which is among the worst in the league. Matthew Boyd has not been a good starter in his career and he had a really bad outing in game one of this series as he allowed seven ERs on seven hits and three walks in just 2.1 innings of work. He is now 5-7 with a 6.24 ERA on the year. The pen is by far the worst in the league as it has a 5.35 ERA, which compares to the 29th ranked pen of Washington, which has a 4.73 ERA. Foer about 10 years now the Tigers have been near the bottom of the rankings with their pen and at some point they will really have to address that. The pen allowed six ERs on nine hits and two walks in the final 6.2 innings of the game. The Tigers are now 10.5 games out of a wildcards slot. Detroit has gone 30-31 at home for the year. Getting the nod for the Tigers will be Michael Fulmer and he has gone 10-11 with a 3.60 ERA in 23 starts on the year, including 0-3 with a 5.50 ERA in his last three starts and 6-4 with a 3.38 ERA in 12 starts here at home. Fulmer has gone 1-5 with a 3.38 ERA in seven career starts in August and he is 9-6 with a 3.22 ERA in 22 career starts here at Comerica, while against the Yankees he has gone 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts.

The Tigers have been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 12th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.79 rpg, while also ranking 11th in hitting at .259 and 22nd in homers with 146. On the mound, they have been poor so far this year as they come in ranked 29th in the league in ERA at 5.14, while also ranking 26th in WHIP at 1.45.

Trends

New York is:

  • 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15
  • 5-0 in their last five vs. a team with a losing record

Detroit is:

  • 1-5 in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record
  • 0-5 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter

The Yankees are trying to stay in the race for a division title, while also trying to stay atop the wildcard standings in the American League. The Yankees have had some issues on offense as they came out of the break, but they have now averaged a solid 5.20 rpg in their last 10 games and they showed in game one of this series what they are really capable of against bad pitching. Michael Fulmer is ace of the Tigers, but even he has slumped of late as he owns a 5.96 ERA over his last five starts and in his lone start against the Yanks this year, he allowed six ERs in six innings of work in a 7-3 road loss. Jaime Garcia has not had a great year, but he is in better form as he has allowed three ERs or less in five of his last six games and behind him is one of the best pens in the league, while Fulmer is backed by the worst pen. Take the Yankees in this one.

Pick: New York

The Yankees have not been the offensive team in the 2nd half, that they were in the first half and they will be facing Michael Fulmer, who has a 3.08 ERA at home for the year, while a decent Tigers’ offense will be facing a pitcher that they have never seen before. Still, the Yankees are starting to get their offense going as they have averaged 5.20 rpg in their last 10 games and they will be facing Fulmer, who has a 5.96 ERA in his last five starts, plus we note that backing him is the worst pen in the league and the Tigers as a team have allowed 7.90 rpg in their last 10 games. The Tigers are 12th in the league in scoring and they have averaged 5.36 rpg at home. They will be taking on Jaime Garcia, who has allowed three ERs or less in five of his last seven starts, but he still has 4.89 ERA in those games. This one looks like a slugfest to me.

Pick: Over

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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