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Giants vs. Diamondbacks,
8-25-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#961 San Francisco
Giants
#962 Arizona
Diamondbacks

Friday, August 25, 2017 at 9:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Francisco Giants
T. BLACH

52 - 77

8
W's
9
L's
4.58
ERA
1.35
WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks
Z. GREINKE

70 - 58

14
W's
6
L's
3.16
ERA
1.08
WHIP

Betting Trends

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San Francisco Giants (52-77; 60-58-11 O/U) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (69-58; 57-63-7 O/U)

MLB: Friday, August 25, 2017 at 9:40pm EST

Line: Arizona -240/San Francisco +200

Total: 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks will host the San Francisco Giants as the NL West rivals open a three game series Friday night from Chase Field. The Giants will give the start to 26-year old left-hander Ty Blach, and 33-year old right-hander Zack Greinke will toe the rubber for the Diamondbacks. The season series is currently tied five games apiece.

Blach Roughed Up in Second Straight Start

Ty Blach will make his 29th appearance and 22nd start of the season, looking to rebound from a couple of rough outings. Blach surrendered six runs in 5.1 innings to the Phillies last time out, and was charged with the loss. The young left-hander is having an inconsistent season and is now carrying a 4.59 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP accompanied with an 8-9 record in 139.1 innings of work. He has allowed three runs in two innings of relief against the Diamondbacks this season. Blach’s previous start marked the first time he has not logged at least six innings since June 23rd. Hunter Pence has been able to have success against the Arizona pitching this season, notching a hit in 16 of 40 at bats with six RBI’s. The 34-year old right fielder is having a mediocre season, hitting .259 with 11 home runs and 56 RBI’s. Pence has driven in a solid 14 runs this month.

The Giants weak offense is only averaging 4.03 runs per game, ranking them down at 29th in the Majors, and own a .249 team batting average. The San Francisco pitching possesses a 4.49 team ERA, placing them 16th overall.

Greinke Targets 12th Home Win of Season

Zack Greinke will take the mound for the 26th time of the season, looking to rebound from a shaky outing. Greinke conceded five runs (four earned) in four innings to the Twins in his previous start and was charged with the loss. Overall the Diamondbacks ace is having a terrific season, currently featuring a 3.16 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP accompanied with a 14-6 record in 159.2 innings of work. He faced the Giants early in the season and allowed two runs in five innings, and is now sporting a 9-2 record with a fantastic 2.55 ERA in 15 career starts against the division rivals. Buster Posey is 12 for 39 with two RBI’s against Greinke, while Hunter Pence is 8 for 34, and Brandon Crawford is 5 for 31. J.D. Martinez has been consistently driving in runs, collecting nine RBI’s in his last 11 games. The 30-year old right fielder has been a nice addition to the Diamondbacks lineup, and is now hitting .280 with 26 home runs and 65 RBI’s. Martinez is 6 for 24 with one RBI against the Giants this season.

The Diamondbacks are scoring an average of 4.83 runs per game, good for ninth in the Majors, and feature a .252 batting average. The Arizona pitching has been their greatest strength, now featuring a terrific 3.73 team ERA, ranking them fourth in the Major Leagues.

Trends:

The San Francisco Giants are:

  • 1-4 in Blach’s last 5 road starts.
  • 2-8  in their last 10 road games against a right-handed starter.
  • 2-8 in their last 10 games against a starter with a WHIP below 1.15.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are:

  • 12-1 in Greinke’s last 13 home starts against a team with a losing record.
  • 7-1 in Greinke’s last 8 starts on five days of rest.
  • 17-5 in Greinke’s last 22 home starts.

I am taking the Diamondbacks on the run line in this matchup. The Giants don’t stand much of a chance going against Greinke on the road. Greinke is sporting a dazzling 2.55 ERA with a 9-2 record in 15 starts against the Giants, so I can’t seem them generating much offense. Furthermore, Blach owns a poor 5.50 road ERA, and he has been roughed up in two straight starts. Also, the Diamondbacks last seven wins with Greinke on the mound all came by at least two runs, so I am confident taking them on the run line.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5

Greinke has dominated the Giants throughout his career and he has been outstanding at Chase Field this season. Greinke owns a stifling 2.34 ERA with an 11-1 record at Chase Field this season, and the under is 4-0 in the Giants last four games against a right-handed starter. The Diamondbacks are only hitting .234 as a team against left-handers this season, and the under is 8-0-1 in Blach’s last 9 starts against the NL West.

Pick: Under 9

4

Adam Rauzino

Adam has been a sports fanatic his entire life, closely following hockey, baseball, basketball and football. Adam enjoys analyzing various stats, as well as studying Sabermetrics and analytics to take his picks to a whole new level. Adam has a passion for writing about about various sports as well as personal finance. He graduated with a diploma in business marketing and business finance.

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