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Mets vs. Nationals,
8-25-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#951 New York
Mets
#952 Washington
Nationals

Friday, August 25, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New York Mets
J. DEGROM

55 - 71

13
W's
7
L's
3.49
ERA
1.18
WHIP

Washington Nationals
A. COLE

76 - 49

1
W's
3
L's
5.32
ERA
1.55
WHIP

Betting Trends

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New York Mets (55-70 SU, 53-72 RL, 69-45-11 O/U) vs Washington Nationals (75-49 SU, 62-62 RL, 56-62-6 O/U)

When: 7:05 PM EDT, Friday, August 25, 2017

Where: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

Lines: New York -137/ Washington +127

Total: 8

Friday night Major League Baseball action and a pair of National League East foes will square off as the New York Mets will take on the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C. in game one of their four-game series. Pitching Probables: Jacob deGrom (13-7, 3.49 ERA) will take the hill for the Mets and he will be opposed by A.J. Cole (1-3, 5.32 ERA).

Flexen Has Solid Outing Against The D-Backs

The New York Mets have had to look at many young players this year as they have been hit hard by injuries, plus they have really been out of the playoff race for a while now. Chris Flexen got off to a rough start for the Mets in his first two career starts this year as he was 0-1 with a 12.00 ERA in those games, but he has turned it around as he is now 3-1 with a 4.09 ERA in his last four starts. He faced the Diamondbacks on Wednesday night and had a very solid outing as he allowed just two ERs on six hits in 6.0 innings of work in a 4-2 win. The pen did the rest of the work and picking up the save in the game was A.J. Ramos, which was his 23rd of the year. Despite the win, they have still gone just 2-8 in their last 10 games and the Mets are still just 28-38 at home, while out on the road they have gone 27-32 so far. Getting the nod for the Mets in this contest will be Jacob deGrom and he has gone 13-7 with a 3.49 ERA in 25 starts on the year, including 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA in his last three starts and 7-3 with a 4.07 ERA in 13 starts on the road. deGrom has gone 6-7 with a 3.90 ERA in 19 career starts in August and he is 4-3 with a 2.95 ERA in 10 starts against the Nationals, including 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in five starts here at Nationals Park.

The Mets have been a bit below average on offense this year as they come in ranked 18th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.63 rpg, while also ranking 23rd in hitting at .248 and 4th in homers with 187. On the mound, they have been poor as they come in ranked 26th in the league in ERA at 4.81 while also ranking 27th in WHIP at 1.45.

It Has Been An Inconsistent 2nd Half For The Nats

The Washington Nationals have nothing to worry about when it comes to winning their division, but still, they would like to be a more consistent team on the field as they head towards the playoffs. The Nationals fell to the Astros on Wednesday night by a score of 6-1 and they have now failed to convert a two-game win  streak into a three-game win streak for the 6th time in their last seven tries. The Nationals have just one three-game winning streak in their last 31 games. The problem for the Nationals has not been their pitching as they have allowed just 2.23 rpg over their last 13 games, while putting up just 3.17 rpg on offense over their last 12 games. Pitching does win championships, but at some point they will need their offense to return or they will not survive the playoffs. The Nationals will trot out A.J. Cole and he has gone 1-3 with a 5.32 ERA in four starts on the year, including 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA in two starts here at home. Cole has gone 2-5 with a 5.30 ERA in 15 games (13 starts) in his career overall, including 0-3 with a 5.56 ERA in seven games (six starts) here at home. He is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two career starts against the Mets.

Washington has been a very good offensive team this year so far as they come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.26 rpg, while also ranking 3rd in hitting at .270 and 9th in homers with 179. On the mound, they have been solid so far this year as they come in ranked 6th in the league in ERA at 3.92, while also ranking 5th in WHIP at 1.25.

Trends

New York is:

  • 1-6 in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • 14-39 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record overall

Washington is:

  • 7-0 in their last seven during game one of a series
  • 8-3 their last 11 home games in the series

The Mets are going nowhere this year and they have really struggled of late, while the Nationals are just trying to get more consistency in their play. Jacob deGrom has been immune to the injury bug that has hit the Mets this year and her has been their best starter, but he may be wearing down as he is just 1-2 with  4.43 ERA in his last three starts and while he is 7-3 on the road, he does have a 4.07 ERA in his road starts. The Nats will be sending out A.J. Cole in this one and he has not had a good career as a starter as he is just 2-5 with a 5.63 ERA in 13 career starts overall, but he is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two starts against the Mets in his career and I feel he will rise up and have another good showing against them. The Mets offense has been good on the road this year, but I don’t see it happening in this game. Take the Nats to get a nice win here.

Pick: Washington +127

The Mets and National will hook up tonight in a game were the teams are heading in opposite directions. The Mets have been hit hard by the injury bug this year, especially to their pitching staff, but one that has been immune to it has been Jacob deGrom. He will get the nod tonight and while he has struggled of late, he has nice numbers against the Nats as he has a 2.95 ERA against them overall and a 3.38 ERA here at Nationals Park. The Nats are playing their first game back from a road trip and they have averaged just 3.17 rpg in their last 12 games. The Mets have not been a strong offensive team in the 2nd half of the year and they have averaged just 3.70 rpg in their last 10 games and while Cole has struggled as a starter in his career, he has a 3.27 ERA in two career starts against the Nats and Washington as a team has allowed just 2.23 rpg in their last 13 games. I look for both teams to struggle to score in this one.

Pick: Under 8

Confidence: 2

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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