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Padres vs. Marlins,
8-25-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#957 San Diego
Padres
#958 Miami
Marlins

Friday, August 25, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres
T. WOOD

57 - 70

2
W's
2
L's
5.49
ERA
1.44
WHIP

Miami Marlins
A. CONLEY

63 - 63

6
W's
4
L's
4.87
ERA
1.4
WHIP

Betting Trends

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San Diego Padres (56-70 SU, 67-59 RL, 65-53-8 O/U) vs Miami Marlins (62-63 SU, 70-55 RL, 64-54-7 O/U)

When: 7:10 PM EDT, Friday, August 25, 2017

Where: Marlins Park in Miami, Florida

Lines: Miami -152/ San Diego +142

Total: 9

Major League Baseball action on Friday evening and the San Diego Padres will grapple with the Miami Marlins in game one of their three-game series from Marlins Park in Miami, Florida. Pitching Probables: Travis Wood (3-4, 5.81 ERA) will toe the slab for the Padres in this one, while the Marlins will be sending out Adam Conley (6-5, 4.93 ERA).

Padres Are Just Looking To Next Year

The San Diego Padres are just looking forward to the season ending so that they can regroup and hopefully make a play for a playoff spot next year. The Padres have gone just 2-4 in their last six games and they scored 12 runs in one of those games, but just eight runs in their other five games. The offense is really the first thing that they must fix as it seems to be every year for them. Yes, they play in a pitcher’s park, but still, other teams can hit there as the Padres have a 4.01 ERA at home and they had a 4.13 ERA last year at Petco. The pitching has been a problem for them for most of the year, but they have turned that around of late as they have a 3.27 ERA over their last 10 games. Offense is a must to fix. The Padres have gone just 23-40 on the road this year and they have averaged 3.98 rpg and have allowed 5.60 rpg in those games. Taking the hill for Padres in this one will be Travis Wood and he has gone 3-5 with a 5.81 ERA in 33 games on the year overall, including 2-2 with a 5.49 ERA in eight games as a starter. He has made five starts as member of the Padres this year and is 2-1 with a 4.18 ERA in those starts. Wood has gone 37-52 with a 4.25 ERA in 141 career starts overall and he is 1-3 with a 7.92 ERA in 10 games (four starts), including 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in five games (one start) here at Marlins Park.

The Padres have not been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.85 rpg, while also ranking 30th in hitting at .234 and 16th in homers with 155. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 20th in the league in ERA at 4.63, while also ranking 13th in WHIP at 1.36.

Marlins Get Blanked In Philadelphia

That is not a statement that has been made much this year as the Phillies have thrown just four shutout all year. One of them was on Wednesday night as they blanked the Marlins by a score of 8-0. The Marlins were able to get just one hit off of Mark Leiter in seven innings and then one hit off the pen over the final two innings against their pen. Tomas Telis and Miguel Rojas got the two hits for the Fish. The Marlins will not be a part of the postseason this year, but they would still love to finish the year above .500. Right now they are a game below that mark, so are will within the goal. Despite getting blanked, the Marlins have still averaged a solid 5.40 rpg in their last 10 games and they look to keep that offense going in this series against a Padres team that has allowed 5.60 rpg on the road for the year. The Marlins are 32-29 at home and have scored 4.44 rpg and have allowed 4.57 rpg in those games. Adam Conley will get the nod in this one and he has gone 6-5 with a 4.93 ERA in 14 games (13 starts) on the year, including 2-1 with a 4.42 ERA in his last three starts and 2-3 with a 7.52 ERA in seven games (six starts) here at home. Conley has gone 18-11 with a 4.09 ERA in 49 career starts overall and he is 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA in 26 games (23 starts) here at Marlins Park in his career, while against the Padres he has gone 0-0 with a 1.13 ERA in two games (one start).

The Marlins have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 16th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.72 rpg, while also ranking 4th in hitting at .265 and 18th in homers with 152. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in ERA at 4.57, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.39.

Trends

San Diego is:

  • The Over is 7-1 in their last eight vs. a team with a losing record
  • The Over is 14-3-2 in their last 19 road games

Miami is:

  • The Over is 8-1-1 in Conley’s last 10 home starts
  • The Over is 12-3-1 in Conley’s last 16 starts overall

Neither team is going anywhere this year, but still they both have a game to play and I hope to give you a winner. The Padres have really been horrible on the road this year, especially their pitching and they will be facing a hot Miami offense that has averaged 5.73 rpg over their last 11 games. The Padres have allowed 5.60 rpg on the road this year. Adam Conley has pitched a bit better of late, but he still has 7.52 ERA here at home and a 4.93 ERA overall. The Padres are not a great offensive team, but it is better on the road than at home and the Marlins have allowed 5.27 rpg in their last 11 games. I look for both offenses to have fun in this one as we see at least 12 runs being scored.

Pick: Over 9

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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