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Mariners vs. Yankees,
8-26-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#915 Seattle
Mariners
#916 New York
Yankees

Saturday, August 26, 2017 at 1:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
Y. GALLARDO

66 - 63

4
W's
9
L's
6.28
ERA
1.57
WHIP

New York Yankees
S. GRAY

68 - 59

7
W's
8
L's
3.37
ERA
1.21
WHIP

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Seattle Mariners (65-63 SU, 58-70 RL, 62-61-5 O/U) vs New York Yankees (68-58 SU, 67-59 RL, 65-58-3 O/U)

When: 1:05 PM EDT, Saturday, August 26, 2017

Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York

Lines: NY Yankees -200/Seattle +180

Total: 9.5

Saturday afternoon bases and the American League West will duke it out with the American League East as the Seattle Mariners invade Yankee Stadium in The Bronx to take on the New York Yankees in game two of their three-game series. Pitching Probables: The Mariners will trot out Yovani Gallardo (5-9, 5.75 ERA) and he will be opposed by Sonny Gray (7-8, 3.38 ERA).

Long Trip Continues For The Mariners

The Seattle Mariners are in the midst of a long twelve-game, four-city road trip and it a very important one for them as they are looking to stay in the race for a wildcard berth. The Mariners have gone 4-2 on this trip so far and 6-2 in their last eight games overall and that has allowed them to stay just a half-game behind the Twins and Angels for the 2nd wildcard slot in the American League. They are also just four games behind the Yankees for the top spot and if they play well in this series, then they could close the gap on them, but they could also lose ground should they play poorly. The Mariners have a chance to play well as they are 31-31 on the road for the year and the Yankees could very well be short-handed for this series after the brawls in Detroit. After this three-game set, they still have to go to Baltimore for three games. Taking the hill for the Mariners in this one will be Yovani Gallardo and he has gone 5-9 with a 5.75 ERA in 24 games (20 starts) on the year, including 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA in his last three starts and 3-5 with a 5.04 ERA in 11 games (10 starts) on the road. Gallardo has gone 24-17 with a 4.36 ERA in 51 career starts in August and 36-34 with a 4.01 ERA in 108 games (105 starts) in the daytime, while against the Yankees he has gone 2-3 with a 6.32 ERA in seven starts, including 2-2 with a 6.20 ERA in four starts here at Yankee Stadium.

The Mariners have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.70 rpg, while also ranking 10th in hitting at .261 and 23rd in homers with 145. On the mound, they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in ERA at 4.47 while also ranking 12th in WHIP at 1.31.

Yanks Fall In Wild One At Detroit

The New York Yankees are fighting to keep their wildcard spot in the American League, but on Thursday afternoon, they were fighting with the Detroit Tigers, literally. The Yanks and Tigers combined for 16 runs, 19 hits and three errors in the game, but they also combined for three brawls and eight player ejections as well. The Yanks ended up losing the game 10-6 and now must wait to see who of their brethren have been suspended. Tommy Kahnle and Dellin Betances were both tossed for throwing at players, while Austin Romine was ejected as well. The Yankees don’t need to lose players, especially to their vaunted bullpen and especially at this time of the year. The Yankees are now 4.5 games out of first in the American League East, but they still hold the top spot in the AL wildcard standings by 3.5 games over both the Twins and Angels. New York has gone 35-22 at home for the year. The Yankees will trot out Sonny Gray in this one and he has gone 7-8 with a 3.38 ERA in 20 starts on the year, including 1-3 with a 3.13 ERA in four starts as a member of the Yankees. Gray has gone 5-12 with a 3.16 ERA in 21 career starts during the month of August and he 20-11 with a 3.42 ERA in 42 day starts, plus he is 1-0 with a 3.46 ERA in two career starts in this park, while against the Mariners he has gone 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA in 10 starts.

The Yankees have been a strong offensive team so far as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in scoring, putting up 5.23 rpg, while also ranking 9th in hitting at .261 and 6th in homers with 185. On the mound, they have been very solid as well as they come in ranked 5th in the league in ERA at 3.86, while also ranking 4th in WHIP at 1.23.

Trends

Seattle is:

  • 9-20 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
  • 3-8 in Gallardo’s last 11 starts with five days of rest

New York is:

  • 7-3 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 5-2 in their last seven games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

The Mariners and Yankees are both fighting to stay in the race for a playoff spot. The Mariners have been playing well of late as they are 6-2 in their last eight games, while the Yankees have won seven of their last 10 games. The Yankees have a solid edge on the mound in this one and they have gone 5-1 the last six games in this series, plus they are 35-22 at home, while the Mariners are just 31-31 on the road. Sonny Gray may be 3-4 in his last seven starts, but he has a 2.18 ERA in those games. He is 0-2 with a 4.59 ERA in his last five starts against the Mariners, but we also note that Gallardo is 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA in his last five against the Yankees and he is 2-2 with a 6.20 ERA in four starts here at Yankee stadium. Gallardo is 3-5 with a 5.04 ERA on the road this year and 3-5 with a 6.02 EA at night. Take the Yankees in this one.

Pick: New York

The Mariners really need to play well in this series as they look to gain ground on the Yankees in the Wildcard race. Their pitching has not been great of late and they are taking on a hot Yankees’ offense, but still I see Gallardo being able to slow them down some and we could also see the Yankees a bit short-handed on offense with suspensions looming from the brawl at Detroit. On the other side is Sonny Gray, who has a 2.20 ERA in his last 10 starts and he has allowed two ERs or less in all 10 of those games. His games as a member of the Yankees has averaged just 6.25 rpg, plus his last seven starts against the Mariners has averaged just 7.29 rpg. The clincher is the fact that the Under is 25-9-3 the last 37 meetings between these teams. Go with the Under in this one.

Pick: Under

Confidence: 3

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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