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Padres vs. Marlins,
8-26-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#909 San Diego
Padres
#910 Miami
Marlins

Saturday, August 26, 2017 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Diego Padres
D. LAMET

57 - 71

7
W's
5
L's
4.84
ERA
1.19
WHIP

Miami Marlins
O. DESPAIGNE

64 - 63

0
W's
1
L's
5.78
ERA
1.93
WHIP

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San Diego Padres (57-70 SU, 68-59 RL, 64-54-8 O/U) vs Miami Marlins (63-63 SU, 70-56 RL, 65-54-7 O/U)

When: 7:10 PM EDT, Saturday, August 26, 2017

Where: Marlins Park in Miami, Florida

Lines: Miami -110/San Diego +100

Total: 9

Major League Baseball action on Saturday evening and the San Diego Padres will rumble with the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park In Miami, Florida in game two of their three-game series. The Over is 8-3-1 the last 12 games in this series. Pitching Probables: Dinelson Lamet (7-5, 4.84 ERA) will get the nod for the Padres in this one and he will be opposed by Odrisamer Despaigne (0-1, 5.17 ERA).

Padres Play Spoiler In St Louis

Playing spoiler is about all the Padres have left to play for this year as they are well out of the playoff race and have been for a long time. In their last series, they went into St Louis to take on a Cardinals team that is fighting for a playoff spot and the Padres took two of the three games played. They took game one by a score of 12-4, but lost game two by a score of 6-2. The Padres then took the rubber match on Thursday night by a score of 4-3. Luis Perdomo got the start and allowed just two ERs on seven hits in 6.0 innings of work. He got a no-decision as the game was tied 2-2 when he left. It stayed that way till the 9th when the Padres plated two runs to go ahead for good. Carlos Asuaje got the game-winning hit in the 9th to secure San Diego’s first series win at Busch since 2011. Kirby Yates got the win in the game and is now 3-4 with a 3.56 ERA on the year. Despite the win, the Padres are still just 24-40 on the road for the year. Dinelson Lamet takes the hill for the Padres in this one and he has gone 7-5 with a 4.84 ERA in 15 starts in this his first year in the league, including 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA in his last three starts and 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA in eight starts on the road. He will be facing the Marlins for the first time in his career. Dinelson was 20-20 with a 2.99 ERA in 64 games (60 starts) in four years in the minors.

The Padres have not been a good offensive team so far as they come in ranked 30th in the league in scoring, putting up 3.85 rpg, while also ranking 30th in hitting at .234 and 17th in homers with 155. On the mound they have a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 20th in the league in ERA at 4.61, while also ranking 13th in WHIP at 1.36.

Can The Marlins Make A Late Playoff Push?

The Miami Marlins are in 2nd place in the National League East and they are 13.5 games out of first, but still, after coming back from five runs down to beat the Phillies on Thursday, they are now back to .500 for the year and just 5.5 games out of a wildcard slot in the National League. It will not be easy for them to get in, but they still have 36 games left to work with and the teams ahead of them are not setting the world on fire. Miami is now 10-3 in their last 13 games and with their offense they do have a shot at making a push for a wildcard berth. The Marlins have been led by Giancarlo Stanton, who hit his 47th homer of the year (leads the league) in the win over Philadelphia. The offense has now averaged 5.61 rpg over their last 13 games. The Marlins have allowed 4.84 rpg over their last 13 games, so a bit more help from their pitching staff is needed. Getting a poor road team like the Padres here at home is a plus but still, Miami is a mediocre 32-29 at home. Getting the nod for the Marlins in this one will be Odrisamer Despaigne and he has gone 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in nine games (one start) on the year. In that start, he fell to the Mets on the road by an 11-3 score and he allowed eight runs (three earned) on five hits and four walks in just 4.2 innings in the game. Despaigne has gone 9-17 with a 4.46 ERA in 35 career starts overall and will be making his first career start against the Padres, who he used to play for.

The Marlins have been an average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 15th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.75 rpg, while also ranking 4th in hitting at .266 and 16th in homers with 156. On the mound they have been a bit below average so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in ERA at 4.60, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.39.

Trends

San Diego is:

  • 27-58 in their last 85 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
  • 31-63 in their last 94 road games vs. a right-handed starter

Miami is:

  • 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter
  • 12-4 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400

This should be an interesting game as Odrisamer Despaigne gets a crack at his old team. The Marlins have been hot of late and have played their way into back into the wildcard race, but the Padres are looking to play spoiler, just like the did in St Louis where they took two of three games. Still, we note that the Padres are just 24-40 on the road and Dinelson Lamet has a 5.72 ERA on the road, compared to a solid 3.98 ERA at Petco.  He will be facing a hot Miami offense that has averaged 5.80 rpg in their last 10 games, so I see him struggling in this one. Despaigne struggled in his lone start this year, but he is not facing a very good offense and would love to have a good showing against his old team. Miami is the better team in this one and they need the game much more.

Pick: Miami

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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