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Brewers vs. Dodgers,
8-27-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#961 Milwaukee
Brewers
#962 Los Angeles
Dodgers

Sunday, August 27, 2017 at 4:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers
J. NELSON

67 - 63

9
W's
6
L's
3.79
ERA
1.28
WHIP

Los Angeles Dodgers
Y. DARVISH

91 - 37

8
W's
9
L's
3.77
ERA
1.16
WHIP

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Milwaukee Brewers (66-63 SU, 68-61 RL, 57-66-6 O/U) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (91-36 SU, 72-55 RL, 59-64-4 O/U)

When: 4:10 PM EDT, Sunday, August 27, 2017

Where: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California

Lines: Los Angeles -190/ Milwaukee +174

Total: 8.5

Sunday afternoon bases and the Milwaukee Brewers will head to Chavez Ravine to battle it out with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the final game of their three-game series from Dodger Stadium. The Brewers are just 2-9 their last 11 games in this series. Pitching Probables: The Brewers will send out Jimmy Nelson (9-6, 3.79 ERA) in this one, while the Dodgers will send out Yu Darvish (8-9, 3.83 ERA).

No Offense In Game One Loss

The Milwaukee Brewers are in the race for a wildcard berth, but they have a tough hill to climb in this series as they are take on the best team in baseball and on the road. The Brewers lost in game one of this series by a score of 3-1 as they offense really failed to show up for the game. The only hit they got in the game was a homer by Domingo Santana in the 2nd innings. It was his 21st of the year. The Brewers offense has struggled of late as they have now scored just six total runs in their last four games. They did get a decent start from Chase Anderson in the game as he allowed just two ERs on six hits in 5.0 innings of work. He is now 7-3 with a 2.87 ERA on the year. The Brewers are now 3.0 games out of first in the Central and 3.5 games out of the 2nd wildcard slot in the National League. Taking the hill for the Brewers in this one will be Jimmy Nelson and he has gone 9-6 with a 3.79 ERA in 26 starts on the year, including 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts and 4-2 with a 4.30 ERA in 12 starts on the road. Nelson has gone 5-9 with a 5.60 ERA in 21 career starts in August and 7-15 with a 4.25 ERA in 31 games (29 starts) in the daytime, while against the Dodgers he has gone 0-2 with a 1.33 ERA in four starts, including 0-1 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts here at Dodger Stadium.

The Brewers have been a below average offensive team so far as they come in ranked 19th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.60 rpg, while also ranking 20th in hitting at .251 and 5th in homers with 185. On the mound they have been solid so far as they come in ranked 12th in the league in ERA at 4.13, while also ranking 18th in WHIP at 1.38.

Maeda Shuts Down The Brewers

The Los Angeles Dodgers continue to win and they continue to get great pitching. They lead the league in team ERA and have the thew top pen ERA in the league as well. Kenta Maeda got the start in game one of this series and he had a very strong outing as he allowed just one ER on one hit and two walks in 6.0 innings of work of the 3-1 win. He is now 12-5 with a 3.76 ERA on the year. This team just continues to churn out strong starters, but the pen also played well in the game as they allowed no hits and just one walk over the final three innings, Getting the save in the game was Kenley Jansen, which was his 35th of the year, which is 3rd in the league. The Dodgers are now on pace for 116 wins, which would tie them with the 1906 Chicago Cubs and 2001 Seattle Mariners for most wins in a season. The Dodgers are 52-14 at home. The Dodgers will trot out Yu Darvish in this one and he has gone 8-9 with a 3.83 ERA on the year, including 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three starts as a member of the Dodgers. This will be his first game back from the DL. Darvish has gone 10-5 with a 3.44 ERA in 22 career starts during the month of August and 15-9 with a 2.82 ERA in 34 career day starts. This will be his first career start against the Brewers.

The Dodgers have been a very solid offensive team so far as they come in ranked 5th in the league in scoring, putting up 5.08 rpg, while also ranking 14th in hitting at .257 and 8th in homers with 181. On the mound they have been the best in the league so far as they come in with an ERA of 3.12, while also ranking 1st in WHIP at 1.12.

Trends

Milwaukee is:

  • The Under is 8-0 in their last eight vs. the National League West
  • The Under is 34-14-3 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter

Los Angeles is:

  • The Under is 20-7-1 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record
  • The Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 vs. a team with a winning record

The Dodgers continue to chase history, while the Brewers are looking to stay in the race for both a division title and a wildcard berth. The Brewers had turned around their offense, but they have now scored just six total runs in their four games prior to Saturday and that offense isn’t likely to get going against Darvish, who has a 2.50 ERA in his three starts for the Dodgers so far, plus he also has a 2.82 ERA in 34 career day starts. Jimmy Nelson has a 9,00 ERA in his last three starts and a 4.30 ERA on the road, but he also has a 1.33 ERA in four career starts against the Dodgers, including a 1.38 ERA in two starts here at Dodger Stadium. I cannot see this game being high scoring at all, especially since it will have a playoff atmosphere to it, just like it did in game one.

Pick: Under 8.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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