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Giants vs. Diamondbacks,
8-27-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#963 San Francisco
Giants
#964 Arizona
Diamondbacks

Sunday, August 27, 2017 at 4:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

San Francisco Giants
C. STRATTON

52 - 79

2
W's
1
L's
2.59
ERA
1.31
WHIP

Arizona Diamondbacks
P. CORBIN

72 - 58

11
W's
11
L's
4.14
ERA
1.44
WHIP

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San Francisco Giants (52-78 SU, 55-75 RL, 60-59-11 O/U) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (71-58 SU, 69-60 RL, 57-65-7 O/U)

When: 4:10 PM EDT, Sunday, August 27, 2017

Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona

Lines: Arizona -185/ San Francisco +171

Total: 9.5

Major League Baseball action on Sunday afternoon and a pair of National League West foes will square off as the San Francisco Giants rumble with the Arizona Diamondbacks in game three of their three-game set from Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Pitching Probables: Chris Stratton (2-2, 3.98 ERA) will get the nod for the Giants in this one and he will be opposed by Patrick Corbin (11-11, 4.09 ERA).

The Giants Continue To Struggle Away From Home

The San Francisco Giants have really struggled overall this year, but even more so on the road as they have now gone 21-43 away from home after losing game one of this series by a score of 4-3. That is just horrible and it is the 2nd worst road record in the league behind the Phillies, who have gone just 21-46 away from home. The Giants have averaged just 4.12 rpg on the road, while allowing 5.53 rpg away from home. Ty Blach Struggled in game one as he allowed four ERs on six hits and two walks in just 5.0 innings of work to fall to 8-10 with a 4.68 ERA on the year. It really was the 3rd inning that did him in as the D-Backs scored all four of their runs in that inning. Taking the hill for the Giants in this one will be Chris Stratton and he has gone 2-2 with a 3.98 ERA in seven games overall, including 2-1 with a 2.59 ERA in four games as a starter. One of his starts was against the Diamondbacks and the Giants won the game 5-4. He got a no-decision in the game and allowed two ERs on five hits in 5.0 innings of work in the process.

The Giants have been a very poor offensive team so far as they come in ranked 29th in the league in scoring, putting up just 4.02 rpg, while also ranking 21st in hitting at .249 and 30th in homers with 100. On the mound they have been below average so far as they come in ranked 17th in the league in ERA at 4.49 while also ranking 23rd in WHIP at 1.40.

Another Home Win For Greinke

The Diamondbacks have been a strong home team this year as they have gone 40-23 here at Chase Field for the year so far. They have also been very strong at home when Zack Greinke is on the mound as they are now 12-2 in his home starts this year after taking game one of this series. Greinke allowed just two ERs on seven hits in 6.2 innings of work in that game to move to 15-6 with a 3.14 ERA on the year overall, including 11-1 with a 2.34 ERA here at home. In his career, he has now gone 100-41 with a 3.04 ERA in 212 games (192 starts) at home. Just amazing. Arizona now leads the National League Wildcard race by a half a game over the Rockies and by four games over third-place Milwaukee. Patrick Corbin will toe the rubber for the Diamondbacks in this one and he has gone 11-11 with a 4.09 ERA in 26 starts on the year, including 3-0 with a 0.39 ERA in his last three starts and 7-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 13 starts here at home. Corbin has gone 9-9 with a 4.83 ERA in 28 games (23 starts) in August and 19-21 with a 4.10 ERA in 56 games (50 starts) in the daytime, plus he is 21-21 with a 3.51 ERA in 65 games (56 starts) here at Chase Field, while against the Giants he has gone 4-7 with a 3.57 ERA in 18 games ( 16 starts).

The Diamondbacks have been a solid offensive team thus far as they come in ranked 11th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.81 rpg, while also ranking 18th in hitting at .252 and 14th in homers with 163. On the mound they have been very strong in the early going as they come in ranked 3rd in the league in ERA at 3.70, while also ranking 9th in WHIP at 1.28.

Trends

San Francisco is:

  • The Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record
  • The Under is 4-1-1 in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600

Arizona is:

  • The Under is 5-0-1 in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400
  • The Under is 4-1 in their last five games vs. a right-handed starter

The San Francisco Giants are one of the worst teams in the league on the road, while the Arizona Diamondbacks have been one of the best teams at home. Easy win for the Diamondbacks, right? Who cares, as I will be looking at the total. The Giants are not a good offensive team this year and they have averaged just 4.13 rpg on the road. I don’t expect them to get much in this game against Patrick Corbin, who has been on fire of late with a 0.39 ERA in his last three starts and he has a 2.87 ERA at home. Plus we note that the Giants have hit lefties just .091 in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have averaged just 3.60 rpg in their last 10 games and Chris Stratton has been hot as he hasn’t allowed a run in his last two starts and he has a 1.02 ERA in his last three, plus the D-Backs have hit just .208 against righties in their last 10 games. I do not see how this game comes close to 9.5 runs.

Pick: Under 9.5

David Hess (@DavidHess311)

I have always had a fascination with numbers and sports, so I combined the two to become a handicapper and a blogger. I love sports and I love writing about them and all the info I put in my blogs is well-thought-out and well-researched. I am a big fan of all the major sports and the colleges, plus I know golf pretty well, tennis and the WNBA. I am very versatile. Hope you enjoy my content.

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