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Mariners vs. Yankees,
8-27-2017 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 Seattle
Mariners
#966 New York
Yankees

Sunday, August 27, 2017 at 1:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
A. ALBERS

66 - 64

2
W's
0
L's
3.6
ERA
1.4
WHIP

New York Yankees
M. TANAKA

69 - 59

9
W's
10
L's
4.86
ERA
1.26
WHIP

Betting Trends

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Seattle Mariners (66-63) vs. New York Yankees (68-59)

MLB Baseball:  Sunday, August 27th, 1:05 pm EST

Andrew Albers (2-0, 3.60 ERA) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (9-10, 4.86 ERA)

Line:  N.Y. Yankees -190/Seattle +170

Total: 9.5

The Mariners and the Yankees close out an important three game series in New York on Sunday.  Both of these teams are currently in the playoff race with the Mariners in the wild card race, and the Yankees are in both the AL East race and are in first place in the wild card race.  The Mariners won the opening game of the series, beating the Yankees 2-1 in the 11th inning on Friday as they beat Aroldis Chapman.

The win moved the Mariners to 66-63 and they are now a half game out of the second wild card spot which is currently held by the Twins.  The Yankees are only three games ahead of the Mariners now, and they are a bad stretch away from not being in the playoffs any longer.  Saturday and Sunday are big games.

Albers looks for third win

Andrew Albers gets the start for the Mariners on Sunday, and he’ll be looking for his third win without a loss this year.  He’s pitching big games in a pennant race, and you couldn’t have expected that at the beginning of the year.  After all, this is only the 20th appearance of his young career.

He’s 2-0 with an ERA of 3.60 in his only two starts this year.  He’s gone five innings in both and given up three earned runs in one outing and one earned run in the other start.  They won 6-5 in his opening start and 3-1 in the second.   He now seems entrenched in the pitching rotation, just as things are getting interested.

Tanaka goes for the Yanks

Masahiro Tanaka gets the start for the Yankees on Sunday, looking to even his record at 10-10.  If you had told me that the Yankees would lead the wild card while Tanaka would be under .500 and have an ERA of almost five, I’d be shocked.   Of course, if he pitches well the rest of the year then the Yankee fans will have no problem with the first three quarters of this year.

As of his last four starts, he’s been pitching much better.  He’s allowed seven earned runs over those four starts, and he’s gone 2-1 with a no decision during that time.  He’s lowered his ERA down from the mid five’s to a little more reasonable 4.86 although that is still almost a run and a half more than his career ERA.

MLB Trends:

The Seattle Mariners are:

  • 8-20 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.

The New York Yankees are:

  • 21-10 in their last 31 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • 38-13 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

He hasn’t had a great year, but I still trust Masahiro Tanaka coming down the stretch.  This is the biggest game he has pitched yet this year, and I’m predicting a gem.  Let’s take the Yankees at home.

Pick: New York

Big B

Known as Big B since his time at UCSB, Brian O’Sullivan is a novelist, screenwriter, & poker player who follows sports religiously. His betting style would be considered that of a contrarian, and he likes to bet against the general public. It seems to be working. You can find him at the coffee shops of Vegas, hanging with his family in SF, or at the bars of LA.

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